West Bromwich Albion and Derby County will cross paths on 12 August at the Hawthorns Stadium.
We expect to see a very close game between these two old acquaintances, but where will the three points go? The answer to this question can be found within the following West Brom vs Derby betting tips. Don’t miss out!
Contents
West Brom vs Derby prediction:Rams to give West Brom the horns
Key Stats
- Derby County’s last loss against this opponent was on 8 July, 2020.
- The last 10 games between the two teams resulted in seven victories for Derby, two draws, and only one West Bromwich success.
- Five of the last seven meetings resulted in under 2.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: West Brom 0-1 Derby
50.0% of the last four meetings had 0-1 on the scoreboard in favour of the Rams after 90 minutes of play. We have confidence in our top West Brom vs Derby prediction, as the visitors’ manager has a great track record against this opponent.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Baggies favoured by critics
- HOME: 28/25 (2.12) – 47.2%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 53/20 (3.65) – 35.0%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
According to the bookmakers, West Brom are this week’s expected winners. The odds behind a home team win are priced at 28/25 (2.12), which means the Baggies have a 47.2% win probability before the start of the game.
Under 2.5 goals is also very plausible. We checked the odds and found out that our key West Brom vs Derby prediction stands a 57.1% chance of success at 3/4 (1.75).
The top football betting tips today can be found on Football Whispers’ designated page.
Most recent H2Hs: West Brom don’t measure up
It’s been five years since West Bromwich Albion last managed to secure a win over this opponent.
England Championship 21/04/25
West Brom
Derby
England Championship 26/12/24
Derby
West Brom
England EFL Cup 23/08/22
Derby
West Brom
England Championship 27/12/21
Derby
West Brom
England Championship 14/09/21
West Brom
Derby
West Brom team news and form: Ryan Mason with difficult decisions
The 34-year-old manager, Mason, has two big concerns before the start. First of all, he will not be able to rely on suspended Jayson Molumby. Second of all, star striker Josh Maja has a calf injury to deal with, which gives the visitors a can’t-miss chance to prove our top West Brom vs Derby prediction correct.
Predicted lineup: Griffiths (GK), Campbell, Haggem, Diakite, Price, Furlong, Styles, Wallace, Fellows, Grant & Dike
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Luton
3
West Brom
5
England Championship 26/04/25
D
Cardiff
0
West Brom
0
England Championship 21/04/25
L
Derby
3
West Brom
1
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Coventry
2
West Brom
0
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Watford
1
West Brom
2
Derby team news and form: Rams’ coach won’t slip
As we previously stated in our professional West Brom vs Derby prediction, coach John Eustace has a positive 4-1-0 record against this opponent. However, the manager would have to be careful, as the new arrival Patrick Agyemang is injured and won’t be able to participate.
Predicted lineup: Zetterstrom (GK), Sanderson, Clarke, Beck, Nyambe, Ozoh, Clark, Adams, Weidmann, Ward & Morris
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Stoke
0
Derby
0
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Hull
0
Derby
1
England Championship 21/04/25
W
West Brom
1
Derby
3
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Luton
1
Derby
0
England Championship 12/04/25
D
Portsmouth
2
Derby
2
Player to watch: Tom Fellows
Undoubtedly one of West Bromwich’s big stars, Tom Fellows’ market value reached a whopping €10.0m. If he managed to pull off another remarkable season, he might just earn himself a transfer to a bigger club.
Fellows has the quality
During the 2024/25 Championship season, the 22-year-old star was at his lethal best. He took part in 45 league games, scoring on four occasions, whilst supplying teammates with 14 assists. You can see why we have him down as the player to watch in our top West Brom vs Derby prediction this week.