A Midlands derby kicks off the Championship fixtures this weekend with Derby playing host to West Brom at Pride Park on Friday night. Both teams come off the back of contrasting results last time out, with Derby winning 2-1 at Charlton, while West Brom were thrashed 5-0 at home by Norwich.
In terms of the table, Derby are sitting comfortably in 10th, and are looking up towards the play-off places. Meanwhile, West Brom are languishing in 19th, just three points above the dreaded relegation zone.
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Derby vs West Brom prediction: Rams to beat Baggies?
Key stats
- Derby have won their last two games.
- West Brom have lost their previous four league matches.
- Derby have also won the previous six H2Hs.
Correct score prediction: Derby 3-1 West Brom
With Derby in better form and better-placed in the league table, we can see them claim all three points on home soil. They are also on six-match winning streak in terms of H2Hs, which should also give them an extra psychological advantage over West Brom.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Derby favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 6/4 (2.50) – 40.0%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- AWAY: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Derby are the slight favourites with bookmakers to win at home. However, both a draw and a West Brom victory on their travels are still rated at just over 30%.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page for more of our expert Championship predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Derby daring to win seven in a row
As mentioned before, Derby have won the previous six meetings in all competitions between the two sides. Three of those also saw West Brom score though, and we could see a similar pattern emerge on Friday.
England Championship 13/09/25
West Brom
Derby
England EFL Cup 12/08/25
West Brom
Derby
England Championship 21/04/25
West Brom
Derby
England Championship 26/12/24
Derby
West Brom
England EFL Cup 23/08/22
Derby
West Brom
Derby preview: Clarke suspended
Matt Clarke is suspended for this one, while both Max Johnston and Carlton Morris are injured. Derby should still be able to field a strong starting XI, though.
Predicted lineup: O'Donnell (GK); Ward, Langas, Elder, Forsyth; Ozoh, Thompson; Brereton Diaz, Clark, Blackett-Taylor & Agyemang
Last five results:
- Charlton 1-2 Derby
- Preston 0-1 Derby
- Derby 1-3 Leeds
- Derby 1-2 Wrexham
- Derby 1-0 Middlesbrough
West Brom preview: Diakite only injury
Ousmane Diakite is West Brom's only recognised injury concern at the time of writing. Thus, the Baggies should be able to field a strong starting XI, although they will need to perform better than they did against Norwich.
Predicted lineup: Griffiths (GK); Price, Mepham, Phillips, Taylor, Iling Junior; Maja, Bielik, Styles, Johnston & Grant
Last five results:
- West Brom 0-5 Norwich
- West Brom 2-3 Middlesbrough
- Swansea 2-3 West Brom
- Leicester 2-1 West Brom
- Swansea 1-0 West Brom
Player to watch: Bobby Clark
Bobby Clark scored the crucial goal for Derby as they beat Charlton 2-1 away from home in the Championship last time out. He was arguably the best player on the pitch, and so is one that West Brom will have to watch closely at Pride Park on Friday night.