An interesting fixture is on the cards as Swansea City and Derby County draw swords at the Swansea.com Stadium on Saturday, 5 April 2025.
View our free Swansea vs Derby predictions below.
Contents
Swansea vs Derby predictions: Visitors to open the scoring
Key stats
- Derby County have registered the first goal in four consecutive matches.
- In contrast, Swansea conceded first in each of their last three games.
- Three of the last four encounters between these teams went above the 2.5-goal mark.
- Derby are currently on a four-match winning streak.
Correct score prediction: Swansea 1-2 Derby
Derby have won four consecutive games, scoring two or more goals in each victory. Interestingly, three of the last four meetings between these teams ended 2-1.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Swansea are expected winners
- HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
John Eustace has turned Derby's fortunes around. After losing his first three games in charge, the former Blackburn Rovers coach has led the Rams to four consecutive victories.
Swansea, on the other hand, have been going through a rough patch, as they managed only two wins in their last eight games (D2, L4).
As it stands, Swansea and Derby are 16th and 20th in the Championship, respectively.
Despite their recent struggles, Swansea City are the expected winners at 21/20 (2.05). Teams with these odds generally have a 48.8% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Swansea vs Derby predictions.
It is also worth mentioning that both teams found the net in four of the last six skirmishes between these outfits. On that note, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: A one-sided contest
Derby suffered a 2-1 defeat in the reverse fixture. They are without a win in their last four encounters with Swansea (D1, L3).
England Championship 27/11/24
Derby
Swansea
England Championship 09/04/22
Swansea
Derby
England Championship 02/10/21
Derby
Swansea
England Championship 01/05/21
Swansea
Derby
England Championship 16/12/20
Derby
Swansea
Swansea City preview: Hoping to halt their three-game winless run
The Swans will be without defender Kristian Pedersen and midfielder Miles Peart-Harris for Saturday's Championship clash against Derby due to injuries.
Predicted lineup: Vigouroux (GK), Cabango, Darling, Key, Tymon, Fulton, O’Brien, Cullen, Ronald, Eom & Vipotnik.
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Oxford Utd
3
Swansea
3
England Championship 26/04/25
L
Millwall
1
Swansea
0
England Championship 21/04/25
W
QPR
1
Swansea
2
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Hull
0
Swansea
1
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Sunderland
0
Swansea
1
Derby County preview: Plagued by injuries
The injury gods have been unkind to Derby County, as up to nine players are expected to miss this contest. They include: Ben Osborn, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Curtis Nelson, Dajaune Brown, David Ozoh, Kemar Roofe, Lars-Jorgen Salvesen, Ryan Nyambe and Jerry Yates.
Predicted lineup: Zetterstrom (GK), Phillips, Forsyth, Clarke, Wilson, Elder, Adams, Armstrong, Thompson, Harness & Jackson.
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Stoke
0
Derby
0
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Hull
0
Derby
1
England Championship 21/04/25
W
West Brom
1
Derby
3
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Luton
1
Derby
0
England Championship 12/04/25
D
Portsmouth
2
Derby
2
Player to watch: Nathaniel Phillips
Since joining Derby on loan last summer, Nathaniel Phillips did not score or register an assist in his first 24 appearances across all competitions. However, the former Celtic defender has been impressive of late, registering three assists in his last two games. It will be interesting to see how Phillips performs this weekend.