Norwich will be hoping to move into the play-off places this weekend by beating struggling Derby County at Carrow Road, while the visitors will be desperate to put an end to their seven-game losing streak in the Championship.
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Norwich vs Derby prediction: Home win expected?
Key Stats
- Derby have lost their last seven league games.
- Over 2.5 goals have been produced in three of Norwich's last six outings across all competitions.
- Two of the last four league meetings between these two clubs have ended with at least five goals scored.
Correct score prediction: Norwich 2-1 Derby
The Canaries have won their last two encounters with Derby and head into Saturday's latest clash having won back-to-back games in the Championship. Derby might be in a poor run of form but the visitors haven't conceded more than two goals in any of their last six matches and the signing of Harrison Armstrong on loan from Everton will add more creativity and goals to their struggling side.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Norwich the clear favourite
- HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
- DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
- AWAY: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Norwich are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 55.6% and it's hard to disagree with the bookmakers on this one.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Level pegging
The last five meetings between these two clubs have been split evenly with each team picking up two wins, one draw and two defeats, though, Norwich did run out 3-2 winners in the pair's reverse league meeting in September.
England Championship 28/09/24
Derby
Norwich
England Championship 10/04/21
Derby
Norwich
England Championship 03/10/20
Norwich
Derby
England Championship 29/12/18
Norwich
Derby
England Championship 03/10/18
Derby
Norwich
Norwich preview: One goal proved enough
The Canaries made the trip to Vicarage Road last weekend where Watford had a player sent off in the 31st minute.
Norwich took advantage of their extra man by taking the lead in the 41st minute through Josh Sargent and that goal proved enough to secure all three points.
Gabriel Forsyth, Anis Ben Slimane, Marcelino Nunez and Forson Amankwah are all major doubts for this weekend's clash with Derby due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Gunn (GK), Duffy, Doyle, Fisher, Mahovo, McLean, Marcondes, Sorensen, Sargent, Dobbin & Schwartau
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Cardiff
2
Norwich
4
England Championship 26/04/25
D
Middlesbrough
0
Norwich
0
England Championship 21/04/25
L
Millwall
3
Norwich
1
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Portsmouth
5
Norwich
3
England Championship 11/04/25
L
Burnley
2
Norwich
1
Derby preview: Yet another defeat
Derby would have been expecting a tough game at home to title-challenging Sheffield United, and that is just what they got.
The pair went in at the break goalless but Sheff Utd did take the lead early in the second half through Ben Brereton Diaz and that goal proved enough to win the game as Derby were guilty of failing to create enough chances. The Rams will be hoping that the addition of Harrison Armstrong from Everton on loan will add that missing creativity as well as a few goals from midfield.
Callum Elder, Kane Wilson and Dajaune Brown are expected to miss the trip to Norwich this weekend due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Widell Zetterstrom (GK), Forsyth, Clarke, Nyambe, Osborn, Adams, Goudmijn, Ozoh, Jackson, Salvesen & Yates
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Stoke
0
Derby
0
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Hull
0
Derby
1
England Championship 21/04/25
W
West Brom
1
Derby
3
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Luton
1
Derby
0
England Championship 12/04/25
D
Portsmouth
2
Derby
2
Player to watch: Harrison Armstrong
Derby signed 18-year-old Everton midfielder Harrison Armstrong on loan for the rest of the season and the teenager could make his debut away at Norwich this weekend.
Harrison has been in and around the first team at Goodison Park, setting up a goal in the FA Cup tie against Peterborough, and many at the club see him as the future.
The Derby fans will be excited to see their deadline-day signing
Is Harrison what Derby really need? The short answer is, yes! This young midfielder has a big future ahead of him and he will bring creativity and goals to the team if he plays regularly and in the right position.