In this article, we have given our Middlesbrough vs Derby prediction, odds & betting tips ahead of their Championship clash at the Riverside Stadium on Saturday afternoon. At the time of writing, the hosts are in 11th place on 47 points from 34 games played, while the visitors are in 23rd spot on 29 points from the same number of matches.
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Middlesbrough vs Derby prediction: Boro back to winning ways?
Key stats
- Middlesbrough ended a four-game losing run by beating Stoke 3-1 away from home last time out.
- Derby are winless in five matches, losing three of them.
- Four of the last five H2Hs have seen the home team win.
Correct score prediction: Middlesbrough 2-0 Derby
Middlesbrough will take some confidence from winning at Stoke, and should be favourites to beat a struggling Derby side at home. The Rams have been toothless in attack of late, and so should do little to trouble Boro.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Middlesbrough big favourites
- Home: 13/20 (1.65) – 60.6%
- Draw: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- Away: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The implied probabilities show Middlesbrough as big favourites to take all three points at home. A draw is the next fancied result, followed by an unlikely Derby victory away from home.
Also, check out our other free betting tips which may be of interest to you.
Most recent H2Hs: Home advantage counts
Four of the previous H2Hs have seen the home team win, with one draw and no away victories. Both teams have scored in only two of the fixtures too.
England Championship 17/08/24
Derby
Middlesbrough
England Championship 12/02/22
Middlesbrough
Derby
England Championship 21/08/21
Derby
Middlesbrough
England Championship 13/02/21
Derby
Middlesbrough
England Championship 25/11/20
Middlesbrough
Derby
Middlesbrough preview: Boro back on track?
Middlesbrough got back to winning ways against Stoke, and could use that as a catalyst to push them on further. They are currently five places and four points behind the play-off spots.
Predicted lineup: Travers (GK), Dijksteel, Fry, Edmundson, Neto, Morris, Hackney, Forss, Whittaker, Azaz & Conway
England Championship 03/05/25
L
Coventry
2
Middlesbrough
0
England Championship 26/04/25
D
Norwich
0
Middlesbrough
0
England Championship 21/04/25
L
Sheff Wed
2
Middlesbrough
1
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Plymouth
1
Middlesbrough
2
England Championship 12/04/25
L
Millwall
1
Middlesbrough
0
Derby preview: Rams relegation inevitable?
Derby are second-from-bottom and winless in five games, making it difficult to see them turn their form around at the Riverside. Just one goal scored from those matches also shows a lack of clinical edge in the final third.
Predicted lineup: Zetterstrom (GK), Nyambe, Langas, Clarke, Osborn, Adams, Ozoh, Jackson, Yates, Goudmijn & Salvesen
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Stoke
0
Derby
0
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Hull
0
Derby
1
England Championship 21/04/25
W
West Brom
1
Derby
3
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Luton
1
Derby
0
England Championship 12/04/25
D
Portsmouth
2
Derby
2
Player to watch – Finn Azaz
Finn Azaz bagged another goal and assist for Middlesbrough against Stoke last time out. That is nine goals and 10 assists in the Championship in total now, and not many players can match his numbers this season.