The EFL Championship plods on this weekend with an enticing mid-table clash between Derby County and Hull City at Pride Park. Both teams have displayed mixed form lately, yet Derby has the slight edge in terms of results and ability. Let’s have a look at the possible outcome right now.
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Derby vs Hull prediction: Hull to take narrow victory
Key stats
- Derby have kept clean sheets in just 1 of their last 5 matches
- Hull City have scored 7 goals in 5 away games this season
- Derby have beaten Hull in 4 of their last 5 encounters
- The most recent clash between these teams saw 4 goals scored
Correct score prediction: Derby 2-1 Hull
While Derby's defensive record at Pride Park has been decent, Hull's knack for scoring goals on the road cannot be overlooked. The Tigers have found the net consistently in their travels this season, and we expect them to maintain this streak. However, Derby has one of the best home records in the league, with 4 wins from 5 matches – suggesting a possible 2-1 win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Derby favoured by bookies
- HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.70%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.30%
- AWAY: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.50%
Probably due to Derby’s home record, they have the favour of the bookies here with a 41.70% probability of victory. In contrast, Hull have a 34.50% chance of winning based on the latest odds, factoring in their ability to find goals away from home.
Take a moment to investigate our football betting tips page should you like to wager on other exciting matches this weekend!
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Most recent H2Hs: Goals galore with an edge for Derby
Four of the last six meetings between these teams have seen 2 or more goals scored. However, concentrating on the last five matches, Derby have won four of the five – including three wins in a row coming into this fixture.
England Championship 08/02/22
Derby
Hull
England Championship 18/08/21
Hull
Derby
England Championship 18/01/20
Derby
Hull
England Championship 26/10/19
Hull
Derby
England Championship 09/02/19
Derby
Hull
Derby preview: Rams finding their rhythm
Derby have shown remarkable resilience at home this season, and Pride Park is where they’ve produced their best results. With 4 wins from 5 home games, it’s obvious why they are tipped to win this one. And since they beat QPR 2-0 in their last home fixture, they will be full of confidence.
Predicted Lineup: Zetterstrom (GK); Wilson, Nelson, Cashin, Elder; Osborn, Ozoh, Goudmijn; Mendez-Laing, Yates, Blackett-Taylor
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Stoke
0
Derby
0
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Hull
0
Derby
1
England Championship 21/04/25
W
West Brom
1
Derby
3
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Luton
1
Derby
0
England Championship 12/04/25
D
Portsmouth
2
Derby
2
Hull preview: Tigers seeking a turnaround
Hull City's impressive away record speaks volumes about their promotion credentials this season. Their fluid attacking style has caused problems for numerous Championship teams, hence they’ve scored 15 goals in 11 games. However, they are winless for three straight matches.
Predicted Lineup: Pandur (GK); Coyle, Hughes, Jones, Drameh; Simons, Slater, Zambrano; Belloumi, Bedia, Kamara
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Portsmouth
1
Hull
1
England Championship 26/04/25
L
Derby
1
Hull
0
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Preston
1
Hull
2
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Swansea
1
Hull
0
England Championship 14/04/25
D
Coventry
1
Hull
1
Player to watch – Marcus Harness (Derby)
Harness has been a stalwart for Derby throughout the season, and his skills down the wing have been pivotal. He can also find the back of the net from improbable positions, too, which is something Derby might need if Hull play tight at the back.
Therefore, Marcus Harness is our man to watch on Saturday!