Derby and Coventry will both set out in search of their first league win this term when they go head to head on Saturday in gameweek two of the new Championship season.
Here at Football Whispers, we will be examining the chances of both teams coming out on top in this Derby vs Coventry prediction article.
Contents
Derby vs Coventry prediction: Honours even at the Pride Park Stadium
Key stats
- Coventry are unbeaten in five straight matches heading into this weekend's encounter since a 5-0 drubbing against Monaco at the start of preseason.
- They have opened the scoring in four of the five aforementioned games. each of which have yielded fewer than 11 corner kicks.
- Derby's 1-1 draw in normal time against West Brom last time out means all but one of their most recent eight outings have ended with both teams finding the back of the net.
- Sunday's hosts have also been involved in low-tempered affairs more often than not of late, with less than five cards in each of their last 10 matches.
Correct score prediction: Derby 1-1 Coventry
Coventry have been underwhelming away from home, where they have not won in six competitive games, but Derby have also struggled in front of their fans lately.
Consequently, we can see this weekend's encounter ending level, with both teams settling for a point apiece in the end.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Coventry fancied to edge narrow affair
- HOME: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- AWAY: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
For a team yet to win a league game on the road since March, Coventry's 40.8% probability will perhaps come as a surprise to many.
Frank Lampard's men, however, did claim a 1-0 EFL Cup triumph over Luton Town in midweek to snap a three-game winless run.
Ellis Simms grabbed the all-important winner three minutes from the hour mark to hand the Sky Blues safe passage into round two of the cup.
Similarly, Derby have also successfully navigated their first cup assignment of the season, although they needed penalties to edge past West Brom.
John Eustace's men have been given a 34.5% chance to make it back-to-back wins this weekend on their first home involvement of the campaign.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Derby with the upper hand
Off the back of two 1-1 draws between the teams in the 2021/22 season, Derby stamped their authority in this fixture last time out by claiming a league double courtesy of 2-1 and 2-0 wins in November 2024 and March 2025, respectively.
The Rams are unbeaten in three straight matches against Coventry and have lost just one of the last five encounters.
England Championship 11/03/25
Derby
Coventry
England Championship 06/11/24
Coventry
Derby
England Championship 19/03/22
Derby
Coventry
England FA Cup 08/01/22
Coventry
Derby
England Championship 23/10/21
Coventry
Derby
Derby preview: Rams dealing with multiple injury casualties
Derby have as many as seven players missing in action for this weekend's clash, headlined by new arrivals Patrick Agyemang and Owen Beck.
Sonder Langas, Curtis Nelson, Lars-Jorgen Salvesen and Kane Wilson are all nursing knee problems, while Corey Blackett-Taylor misses out through a torn hamstring.
Predicted lineup: Zetterstrom (GK), Forsyth, Clarke, Bath, Nyambe, Weimann, Adams, Goudmijn, Wright, Morris & Simms
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Stoke
0
Derby
0
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Hull
0
Derby
1
England Championship 21/04/25
W
West Brom
1
Derby
3
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Luton
1
Derby
0
England Championship 12/04/25
D
Portsmouth
2
Derby
2
Coventry preview: Ellis Simms set for first league start
Simms found himself on the bench for his side's opening league encounter against Hull but wasted no time getting himself on the scoresheet in midweek, having been handed the nod against Luton.
The 24-year-old has now scored in both of his last two outings for Coventry and is primed for a place in this weekend's starting lineup
Predicted lineup: Rushworth (GK), Dasilva, Kitching, Thomas, Van Ewijk, Torp, Grimes, Sakamoto, Rudoni, Mason-Clark & Thomas-Asante
England Championship 13/05/25
W
Sunderland
0
Coventry
1
England Championship 09/05/25
L
Sunderland
2
Coventry
1
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Middlesbrough
0
Coventry
2
England Championship 26/04/25
L
Luton
1
Coventry
0
England Championship 21/04/25
L
Plymouth
3
Coventry
1
Player to watch – Haji Wright
Wright has led Coventry in scoring in each of the last two seasons, during which he has scored a combined 28 goals and provided eight assists in 73 league outings.
The American was largely underwhelming against Hull but showed great vision to set up Simms' winner last time out.
Wright will now go in search of his first goal of the campaign this weekend and is definitely one to keep an eye on.