Derby in action - Photo by Imago
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Over 2.5 goals

Derby in red hot form at home

Cardiff is looking to stem their run of poor form on a visit to Derby this Saturday. But will this happen, or will the Rams secure victory? Check out our predictions right here!

Derby vs Cardiff prediction: Rams primed for three points

Key stats

  • Derby have won 2 of their first 4 Championship matches this season
  • Cardiff are winless in their first 4 league games, with 1 draw and 3 losses
  • Derby have scored 6 goals in their 4 league matches so far
  • Cardiff have only managed 2 goals in their 4 Championship games

Correct score prediction: Derby 3-0 Cardiff

Cardiff is sitting dead last in the Championship table, while Derby are 10th. And with Derby being the home team here, we believe that they could steamroll the visitors by a score of 3-0.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Derby rightly favoured

  • HOME: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.50%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.80) – 30.30%
  • AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.33%

With a 43.50% chance of victory here, the bookies are backing Derby to snap up all three points. Furthermore, given Derby’s recent 3-0 home win over Bristol City, they are certainly in better form than Cardiff. 

If you fancy a few more predictions for the top games this weekend, don’t forget to check out our football betting tips page.

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Most recent H2Hs: Derby to reverse their poor streak against Cardiff

Despite what the current Championship table indicates, this has been a tough matchup for Derby in recent times. Believe it or not, Derby hasn’t beaten Cardiff since 2018. Even more staggeringly, Cardiff has beaten Derby in their last three meetings! Despite this, it’s Derby who looks more impressive this season.

England Championship 07/05/22

Derby

Derby

0
Cardiff

Cardiff

1

England Championship 01/03/22

Cardiff

Cardiff

1
Derby

Derby

0

England Championship 02/03/21

Cardiff

Cardiff

4
Derby

Derby

0

England Championship 28/10/20

Derby

Derby

1
Cardiff

Cardiff

1

England Championship 14/07/20

Cardiff

Cardiff

2
Derby

Derby

1

Derby preview: pushing for playoffs

Derby didn’t have the greatest opener to the 24/25 season, but the Rams have since got it together with a couple of big results. This includes two solid home wins over Middlesbrough and Bristol City. Of course, both those teams are far superior to Cardiff at the moment, which bodes well for their chances here.

Predicted Lineup: Zetterstrom (GK), Nyambe, Nelson, Cashin, Elder, Ozoh, Adams, Jackson, Goudmijn, Mendez-Laing, Yates

England Championship 03/05/25

D

Stoke

Stoke

0

Derby

Derby

0

England Championship 26/04/25

W

Hull

Hull

0

Derby

Derby

1

England Championship 21/04/25

W

West Brom

West Brom

1

Derby

Derby

3

England Championship 18/04/25

L

Luton

Luton

1

Derby

Derby

0

England Championship 12/04/25

D

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

2

Derby

Derby

2

Cardiff preview: one point in four games

With a single point from four games, Cardiff is absolutely desperate for a win in the 24/25 season. However, they will need to pull something quite extraordinary out of the bag to overcome the Rams away from home. However, with 10 goals conceded in just four matches, we question whether this is at all realistic.

Predicted Lineup: Horvath (GK), Ng, Chambers, Goutas, O'Dowda, Siopis, Robertson, Tanner, Colwill, Willock, Kanga

England Championship 03/05/25

L

Norwich

Norwich

4

Cardiff

Cardiff

2

England Championship 26/04/25

D

West Brom

West Brom

0

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 21/04/25

D

Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd

1

Cardiff

Cardiff

1

England Championship 18/04/25

L

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

2

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 12/04/25

L

Stoke

Stoke

1

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

Player to watch – Kayden Jackson (Derby County)

Kayden Jackson has been a top performer for Derby County so far, and he was seriously impressive in their recent 3-0 drumming over Bristol.

Kayden Jackson – Photo by Imago

Of course, he will be brimming with confidence going up against a team that has conceded so many goals already, too. So, for us, he will be the man to watch as Derby seeks a first win over Cardiff in more than five years!


Gavin is a full-time copywriter based in the UK and has developed in-depth knowledge of the igaming world by working in the betting industry for over five years. During this time, he has written thousands of articles covering various topics, including bookmaker reviews, ‘how to’ guides, bonus comparisons and much more.