Following back-to-back Nations League victories, Kosovo will face Cyprus in an attempt to rise to the top of the group. In contrast, Cyprus has lost two consecutive games in recent weeks. But which way will this match go? Let’s find out.
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Kosovo vs Cyprus prediction: Three points coming up for Kosovo
Key stats
- Cyprus have conceded 7 goals in their last 2 games
- Kosovo have scored 6 goals in their last 2 games
- Kosovo have beaten Cyprus in all three previous meetings
- Cyprus have lost both of their home games in the Nations League so far
Correct score prediction: Kosovo 3-0 Cyprus
Given their previous 4-0 destruction of Cyprus in the last encounter, we feel this one will certainly go Kosovo’s way. However, we do think Cyprus will try to tighten things up defensively, hence our 3-0 prediction.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour Kosovo
- HOME: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.30%
- DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.80%
- AWAY: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.50%
As you’d expect, given Kosovo’s results in the Nations League, they are favoured to win this one on home soil. With a 73.30% chance of victory, they are clearly tipped by the bookies. As for Cyprus, they have just a 12.50% probability of winning this game based on the latest odds.
Check out our football betting tips page if you’d like more in-depth previews and predictions for the coming week!
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Most recent H2Hs: Kosovo truly dominant
Kosovo and Cyprus have played each other three times in the past – all recent matches in the UEFA Nations League. It’s Kosovo who has won each and every time too, scoring an amazing 11 goals in just three matches. Therefore, the official H2H record between these two teams is 3-0 in favour of Kosovo.
UEFA Nations League C 09/09/24
Cyprus
Kosovo
UEFA Nations League C 27/09/22
Kosovo
Cyprus
UEFA Nations League 02/06/22
Cyprus
Kosovo
Kosovo preview: 2nd in group with two consecutive wins
Kosovo has performed remarkably well in their last two group games. They beat Cyprus by a score of 4-0 on the road and they edged Lithuania away from home too. Subsequently, they find themselves in 2nd place in the group with a real chance of progressing.
Predicted Lineup: Muric (GK); Hadergjonaj, Am. Rrahmani, Aliti, Paqarada; Zhegrova, V. Berisha, Rexhbecaj, Rashica; Muriqi, Al. Rrahmani
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
W
Iceland
1
Kosovo
3
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
W
Iceland
1
Kosovo
2
UEFA Nations League C 18/11/24
W
Lithuania
0
Kosovo
1
UEFA Nations League C 15/10/24
W
Cyprus
0
Kosovo
3
UEFA Nations League C 12/10/24
W
Lithuania
1
Kosovo
2
Cyprus preview: 3rd in group but two straight losses
In their last two matches, Cyprus have conceded 7 goals. Of course, they lost both of these games, but they aren’t quite bottom of the group. Instead, they are 3rd, but they really need something from this game to have any chance of advancing to the knockout stages.
Predicted Lineup: Mall (GK); Karo, Gogic, Kyprianou; Antoniou, Kastanos, Kousoulos, Ioannou; Tzionis; Sotiriou, Pittas
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/25
L
Bosnia-Herzegovina
2
Cyprus
1
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
W
San Marino
0
Cyprus
2
UEFA Nations League C 18/11/24
L
Romania
4
Cyprus
1
UEFA Nations League C 15/11/24
W
Lithuania
1
Cyprus
2
UEFA Nations League C 15/10/24
L
Kosovo
3
Cyprus
0
Player to watch – Vedat Muriqi (Kosovo)
Kosovo’s target man is undoubtedly the player who could make the biggest difference to the overall result in this game. He was a star performer when these teams last played a few weeks ago, scoring two of Kosovo’s four goals in that game.

Muriqi is expected to take up the central attacking role once again against Cyprus on Tuesday, too, and we will be keeping a close eye on his performance.