Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa prediction, odds & betting tips – 19/05/2024

19/05/24 - 16:00

Finished

5

-

0

Crystal Palace - Aston Villa

England Premier League - Selhurst Park

It's time for our Premier League predictions ahead of Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa on the final day of the season.

A win for the Eagles could see them move up two places on the final day of the season, while Villa are already celebrating Champions League football following Tottenham's midweek defeat.

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa predictions: Will the Eagles end the campaign with a win?

Key Stats

• Jean-Philippe Mateta looks set to end the season as Crystal Palace's top goalscorer as he heads into Sunday's final game of the season with 13 Premier League goals, three more than his nearest teammate Michael Olise. The French forward is in great form right now with nine goals in his last ten league games and has found a new lease of life under the guidance of Oliver Glasner.
• We're backing Crystal Palace to win this game 3-1 as Aston Villa have endured a long season and have nothing left to play for on Sunday so could make changes to their usual starting lineup, while the Eagles have scored three or more goals in three of their last five league games.
• Three of the Eagles' last five matches have produced over 3.5 goals, while four of Aston Villa's last six outings have also featured at least four goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Home win on the cards?

• HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
• DRAW: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
• AWAY: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Crystal Palace are the expected winner of this game with a win probability of 52.4%, but we're expecting a close and competitive 90 minutes between the pair.

The Eagles ran out 3-1 winners at Wolves last weekend, while Aston Villa played out an epic 3-3 draw at home to Liverpool.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. If, like us, you want to back BTTS in this game the odds currently stand at 2/5 (1.40) with a probability of 71.4%, but you could go the other way and back BTTS – No at 2/1 (3.00) which has a probability of 33.3%.

Last five H2Hs: Villa edge it

England Premier League 16/09/23

Aston Villa

3

Crystal Palace

1

England Premier League 04/03/23

Aston Villa

1

Crystal Palace

0

England Premier League 20/08/22

Crystal Palace

3

Aston Villa

1

England Premier League 15/05/22

Aston Villa

1

Crystal Palace

1

England Premier League 27/11/21

Crystal Palace

1

Aston Villa

2

Aston Villa have picked up three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five games against Crystal Palace, winning 3-1 at Villa Park earlier in the season.

Team news and form guide

Crystal Palace: Won five of last six

Sam Johnstone, Rob Holding, Cheick Doucoure and Matheus Franca will miss out on Sunday due to injury, while Naouirou Ahamada is suspended after getting sent off in the win over Wolves.

Predicted lineup: Henderson (GK), Clyne, Andersen, Muñoz, Mitchell, Richards, Hughes, Eze, Olise, Wharton & Mateta

England Premier League 01/09/24

D

Chelsea

1

Crystal Palace

1

England EFL Cup 27/08/24

W

Norwich

0

Crystal Palace

4

England Premier League 24/08/24

L

West Ham

2

Crystal Palace

0

England Premier League 18/08/24

L

Brentford

2

Crystal Palace

1

Elite Club Friendlies 11/08/24

D

Nantes

1

Crystal Palace

1

Aston Villa: Qualified for the Champions League

The visitors could be without the services of Boubacar Kamara, Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings, Jacob Ramsey, Alex Moreno, Morgan Rogers, Nicolo Zaniolo and Matty Cash ahead of a tricky trip to Selhurst Park this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Martínez (GK), Digne, Carlos, Torres, Konsa, McGinn, Tielemans, Bailey, Luiz, Watkins & Diaby

England Premier League 31/08/24

W

Leicester

1

Aston Villa

2

England Premier League 24/08/24

L

Arsenal

2

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 17/08/24

W

West Ham

1

Aston Villa

2

Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24

L

Borussia Dortmund

2

Aston Villa

0

Elite Club Friendlies 07/08/24

W

Athletic Bilbao

2

Aston Villa

3

Player to watch – Ollie Watkins

We're highlighted Oliie Watkins of Aston Villa as our player to watch in this game, not because we expect an away win but because the striker is close to a personal landmark.

Watkins needs one goal on the final day of the season to reach 20 Premier League goals for the season, something he has yet to achieve since making the step up from the Championship.

Aston Villa's main man this season

The England international has been outstanding under the tutelage of Unai Emery, not only top-scoring for Villa but also leading the way with 13 assists and deserves to reach the magic 20-goal mark in the league this season.