Crusaders will play host to Caernarfon Town in the second leg of the Conference League qualifiers on Wednesday, 17 July.
After a surprising win in the first leg, can Caernarfon Town hold on to their two-goal advantage against the favoured opponents? Find that out and more from our Crusaders vs Caernarfon Town prediction, but remember to also look at our other Conference League predictions.
Contents
Crusaders vs Caernarfon Town predictions: A convincing win for the hosts
Key stats
- Caernarfon often crumble against tougher opposition when playing away from home, like their 7-0 loss to TNS in a recent friendly match.
- Crusaders have scored three or more goals in four of their last eight matches across the board.
- In all three of their most recent losses Caernarfon Town have conceded at least there goals.
Correct score prediction: Crusaders 3-0 Caernarfon Town
While Caernarfon Town have proved they won't be an easy opponent for Crusaders with a 2-0 win in the first leg, we expect a totally different game in Northern Ireland and Crusaders to dominate this match and turn the tie around.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Crusaders the clear favourites
- HOME: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.20%
- DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.70%
- AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.40%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
We can see from these Crusaders vs Caernarfon Town odds that the hosts are the expected winners and by a pretty big margin, despite the result of the first leg.
After all, Crusaders are a much better team on paper and while Caernarfon Town have shown solid quality in the first leg, Crusaders at home have to be favoured against them.
In any case, if you liked our predictions for this match, make sure to check out our top betting tips for today as well.
Most recent H2Hs: Only the second time these teams meet
The 2-0 win for Caernarfon Town a week ago in the first leg of the Conference League qualifiers was the first-ever meeting between these two teams.
UEFA Conference League Qualifying 11/07/24
Caernarfon Town
Crusaders
Crusaders preview: Hoping to overcome the deficit
To the surprise of many, Crusaders have crumbled in Wales in the first leg against Caernarfon Town and lost that match 2-0 despite being favoured to win. So, now they need to find a way to overcome this deficit if they want to reach the next stage of the Conference League, but they will have the home-court advantage this time around.
Predicted lineup: Tuffey (GK), Larmour, Weir, Blaney, Barr, Lowry, Clarke, Kennedy, Offord, Stewart & O'Rourke
Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield 03/09/24
W
Knockbreda
2
Crusaders
6
Northern Ireland Premier 31/08/24
W
Carrick Rangers
1
Crusaders
2
Northern Ireland Premier 24/08/24
D
Cliftonville
1
Crusaders
1
Northern Ireland Premier 20/08/24
W
Ballymena Utd
0
Crusaders
1
Northern Ireland Premier 09/08/24
W
Glentoran
0
Crusaders
1
Caernarfon Town preview: Can they defend the advantage from the first leg?
Despite their good performance in the first leg and a 2-0 win over Crusaders, Caernarfon Town remain the outsiders in this tie, but if they can show the same determination that we saw in the first duel, we might just see them achieve a great success and reach the next stage of the Conference League qualifiers.
Predicted lineup: McMullan (GK), Jones, Mooney, Sears, Owen, Gosset, Mendes, Lloyd, Thomas, Hill & Clarke
UEFA Conference League Qualifying 01/08/24
L
Legia Warsaw
5
Caernarfon Town
0
UEFA Conference League Qualifying 25/07/24
L
Legia Warsaw
6
Caernarfon Town
0
UEFA Conference League Qualifying 17/07/24
L
Crusaders
3
Caernarfon Town
1
UEFA Conference League Qualifying 11/07/24
W
Crusaders
0
Caernarfon Town
2
UK Friendlies 29/06/24
W
Cliftonville
1
Caernarfon Town
2
Player to watch: Jordan Owens
The seasoned forward has spend his entire career with Crusaders and while he's at the twilight of his career, he's still an important player for the team and his experience can be very valuable as Crusaders try to overcome a two-goal deficit against Caernarfon Town.
