Como vs Inter Milan prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/03/2026

Como will host Inter Milan in the Coppa Italia semi-final first-leg clash at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on Tuesday, with both sides dreaming of a place in the showpiece final. 

For the first time in a long while, Como find themselves in the Coppa Italia semi-finals, ending a long wait that included six consecutive defeats in the tournament before this campaign. 

Their journey to the last four has been eye-catching, seeing off Sudtirol, Sassuolo and Fiorentina before overcoming Napoli via a penalty shootout in the quarter-finals. 

A 3-1 Serie A victory against Lecce at the weekend means they have now suffered just one defeat in their last nine matches across all competitions. 

Meanwhile, Inter Milan steadied the ship after their UEFA Champions League exit to Bodo/Glimt by beating Genoa 2-0, keeping their stronghold on top spot in Serie A intact. 

The nine-time Coppa Italia winners progressed past Venezia and Torino to reach this stage, but last season’s semi-final elimination by AC Milan serves as a reminder not to underestimate the challenge.

Read our Como vs Inter Milan predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Coppa Italia predictions.

Como vs Inter Milan prediction: Visitors to get a narrow win

Key statistics

• Como and Inter Milan have found the net before half time in three of their previous five matches across all competitions.
• Inter have won their three meetings against Como in all competitions since 2024.
• Over 1.5 goals have been scored in their last five meetings.

Correct score prediction: Como 1-2 Inter Milan

We expect a closely contested encounter where the superior individual quality of the visitors eventually shines through in the final third. We predict a 2-1 victory for the Nerazzurri based on their impressive form. 

While the Lariani have shown they can frustrate the big teams at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, the sheer depth available to the Serie A leaders should be enough to secure a narrow first-leg advantage.

We anticipate that Inter Milan will find the net twice, but the spirited home side will grab a goal to keep the tie alive for the return leg.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Inter slight favourites away from home

• Home: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
• Draw: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
• Away: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5% 

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

Como are priced at 3.10 odds, giving them a 32.3% implied chance of securing victory on home soil. Inter Milan are slight favourites at 2.20 odds, which translates to a 45.5% probability of claiming all three points on the road.

The draw is set at 3.40 odds, suggesting a 29.4% likelihood of the teams sharing the spoils in what could be a competitive clash.

Most recent head-to-head: Historic Nerazzurri dominance

Looking at the history of this fixture, the record is heavily weighted in favour of the visitors, who have won all of their last five competitive meetings against the Lariani.

The most recent clash took place in late 2025 and ended in a 4-0 victory for Inter Milan, following two consecutive 2-0 wins during the previous campaign.

This long-standing dominance suggests that while the current Como side is significantly more competitive now, the tactical gap between the two clubs remains a significant hurdle for the home team to overcome in a two-legged knockout format. 

After reviewing our key Como vs Inter Milan predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Como preview: Injury setbacks, but one key return

For Como, Martin Baturina (ankle) and Jayden Addai (Achilles) both suffered injuries last week, limiting the side’s attacking options heading into this fixture.

However, there was a timely boost as Assane Diao made his long-awaited return on Saturday after several months out, providing added depth and energy in the final third.

Predicted lineup: Butez (GK), Smolcic, Ramon, Carlos, Valle, Perrone, Da Cunha, Vojvoda, Paz, Rodriguez & Douvikas

Last five fixtures

• 28.02.26 – Como 3–1 Lecce (Serie A)
• 21.02.26 – Juventus 0–2 Como (Serie A)
• 18.02.26 – AC Milan 1–1 Como (Serie A)
• 14.02.26 – Como 1–2 Fiorentina (Serie A)
• 10.02.26 – Napoli 1–1 Como (P) (Coppa Italia)

Inter Milan preview: Selection calls for Chivu

Inter captain Lautaro Martinez remains sidelined with a calf injury, meaning Cristian Chivu is expected to select two from Francesco Pio Esposito, Marcus Thuram and Ange-Yoan Bonny to spearhead the attack.

At the back, Alessandro Bastoni is available again after suspension and could replace Carlos Augusto in the visitors’ back three. There may also be a change in goal, with cup specialist Josep Martinez potentially coming in for Yann Sommer. 

Meanwhile, both Hakan Calhanoglu and Denzel Dumfries are pushing for starting roles after recently regaining fitness.

Predicted lineup: Martinez (GK), Bisseck, Akanji, Bastoni, Henrique, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco, Thuram & Esposito

Last five fixtures

• 28.02.26 – Inter 2–0 Genoa (Serie A)
• 24.02.26 – Inter 1–2 Bodo/Glimt (Champions League)
• 21.02.26 – Lecce 0–2 Inter (Serie A)
• 18.02.26 – Bodo/Glimt 3–1 Inter (Champions League)
• 14.02.26 – Inter 3–2 Juventus (Serie A)

Player to watch: Marcus Thuram

Marcus Thuram is arguably the most dangerous attacking player available for the visiting team and he will need to step up in the absence of his strike partner. The French forward has been in prolific form throughout the season and has already recorded seven goals and four assists.

He was particularly impressive in the previous rounds of the Coppa Italia, where he scored two goals. We expect his ability to link the play and his clinical finishing inside the box to lead his team to a vital first-leg victory on Tuesday night.