Colombia vs Ecuador prediction, odds & betting tips – 19/11/2024

Colombia will host Ecuador on Tuesday, 19 November, in the upcoming round of the South American World Cup qualifiers.

With both teams doing well so far in the qualifiers, who will emerge victorious from this match? Read our Colombia vs Ecuador prediction to learn more about this exciting duel.

Colombia vs Ecuador prediction: A narrow win for the home team

Key stats

• Ecuador have gone under 2.5 total goals in six of their last seven games.
• Two of the previous three meetings between these two teams have gone under 1.5 total goals.
• Malta have gone under 1.5 total goals twice in their last three games, while Andorra have done the same in three of their previous five fixtures.

Correct score prediction: Colombia 1-0 Ecuador

Most of the recent duels between these two teams have been low-scoring affair and we can see that being the case on Tuesday evening as well, with Colombia edging out for a 1-0 win to stay nearly perfect at home in these qualifiers.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Colombia the more likely winners

• HOME: 7/12 – 63.20%
• DRAW: 8/3 – 27.30%
• AWAY: 17/3 – 15.00%

*Odds from 7Bet, subject to change

It is clear from these Colombia vs Ecuador odds that the hosts are the expected winners and that's not too surprising considering their great record at home in these qualifiers (four wins and one draw).

On top of that, Ecuador haven't been great away from home and while the two teams are pretty similar in quality and form, the home-court advantage is what makes the bookies favour Colombia.

In any case, if you liked our predictions for this duel, check our other football betting tips for today.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Colombia

In the last five meetings between these two teams, we saw two wins for Colombia, one win for Ecuador, and a couple of draws. However, if we look at their overall H2H record, Colombia have a more significant advantage: 23-13-13.

South America - World Cup Qualifying 18/10/23

Ecuador

0

Colombia

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/10/21

Colombia

0

Ecuador

0

Copa America 14/06/21

Colombia

1

Ecuador

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 17/11/20

Ecuador

6

Colombia

1

International Match 20/11/19

Ecuador

0

Colombia

1

Colombia preview: Hoping to stay undefeated at home

After five home games in these WC qualifiers, Colombia are still without a loss and they've won four of those five matches. Overall, Colombia have 19 points from 11 games in the group, which puts them in third place in the standings, three points behind Argentina at the top. With seven games left play, Colombia are in a good position to secure their place at the World Cup 2026.

Predicted lineup: Vargas (GK), Munoz, Sanchez, Lucumi, Mojica, Rios, Portilla, Arias, Quintero, Duran & Diaz

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

D

Paraguay

2

Colombia

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

L

Brazil

2

Colombia

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24

L

Ecuador

1

Colombia

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24

L

Uruguay

3

Colombia

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24

W

Chile

0

Colombia

4

Ecuador preview: Hoping to stay close to the top teams in the group

While Ecuador have won the same number of points as their next opponent, they are two places behind Colombia in the standings and three points behind, courtesy of the Byron Castillo scandal from a couple of years ago. In any case, Ecuador have done well and are on course to reaching World Cup, but they have been far from great when playing away from home with just one win in five matches in the group.

Predicted lineup: Galindez (GK), Ordonez, Pacho, Hincapie, Estupinan, Yeboah, Plata, Caicedo, Vite, Minda & Valencia

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

D

Chile

0

Ecuador

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Venezuela

1

Ecuador

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24

W

Colombia

0

Ecuador

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/11/24

W

Bolivia

0

Ecuador

4

South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24

D

Uruguay

0

Ecuador

0

Player to watch: Luis Diaz

Liverpool's forward is only behind James Rodriguez as Colombia's top scorer when it comes to active players, having notched 16 goals so far, while he is also among the top scorers in these WC qualifiers with four goals.