With only pride at stake, Chile welcome Uruguay to the Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos on Tuesday for the final round of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers in CONMEBOL.
La Roja have already been eliminated from contention for a place at next year’s global tournament, while La Celeste have secured their spot at the mundial. That leaves little riding on this encounter beyond finishing strongly and restoring some measure of pride.
Read our Chile vs Uruguay predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers predictions.
Contents
Chile vs Uruguay prediction: Home side out to preserve pride
Key stats:
- Uruguay are winless in five World Cup qualifiers on the road, drawing three of them.
- The visitors have only scored in both halves once across their previous eight away matches in the competition.
- Chile are without a victory in their last five qualifying fixtures.
- La Roja have drawn three of their eight home games in the campaign, all ending below 2.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: Chile 1-1 Uruguay
This fixture pits together two teams who have endured struggles in their respective circumstances. Chile have managed just two wins from eight home qualifiers, while Uruguay boast only one victory in their away schedule.
Although the Chileans will be eager to finish a disappointing campaign on a positive note, their dismal home record makes it difficult to back them confidently. Uruguay, despite already booking their place at the finals, have also been far from convincing on the road. With both sides lacking consistency, a share of the points looks a likely outcome. Supporters can expect a tight, cagey game with limited goals.
Pre-match odds and probability: Visitors favoured in tight contest
- HOME: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- AWAY: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
*Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes; subject to change.
While the odds appear to tilt in favour of Uruguay given their better overall campaign and momentum, the margins are not overwhelming. This suggests that although the visitors are fancied, the match is expected to remain competitive.
La Celeste carry a 45.5% probability of victory at 6/5 (2.20), while Chile are rated at 21/10 (3.10) with a 32.3% chance. The draw is offered at 2/1 (3.00), equivalent to 33.3% probability, underlining its realistic possibility.
Our highlighted tip, home win or draw and under 2.5 goals, is priced at 2.30 with a 43.48% likelihood. Considering Uruguay’s modest attacking record away from home, this option carries reasonable value.
Most recent H2H: Away side dominant
The reverse fixture ended in a 3-1 triumph for Uruguay, underlining their dominance in recent head-to-heads. La Celeste have beaten Chile in four of the last five meetings across all competitions. However, given Uruguay’s mixed away form, there is still room for La Roja to aim for a morale-boosting result in front of their fans.
South America - World Cup Qualifying 09/09/23
Uruguay
Chile
South America - World Cup Qualifying 30/03/22
Chile
Uruguay
Copa America 21/06/21
Uruguay
Chile
South America - World Cup Qualifying 08/10/20
Uruguay
Chile
Copa America 25/06/19
Chile
Uruguay
Chile preview: La Roja seek redemption despite key absentees
It has been a campaign to forget for Chile, who sit bottom of the CONMEBOL standings with just 10 points from 17 matches. La Roja have lost their last three fixtures and have failed to find the net in their most recent five outings.
The 3-0 defeat to Brazil last Thursday added further gloom, but Nicolas Cordova’s men will hope to redeem themselves in Santiago by at least avoiding another defeat and lifting spirits at the end of a poor qualifying journey.
However, the hosts, who were unable to call upon defender Benjamin Kuscevic and midfielder Dario Osorio due to injury, will have to cope without them once again.
Predicted XI: Vigouroux (GK), Diaz, Maripán, Roman, Hormazabal, Loyola, Pizarro, Suazo, Cepeda, Aravena, Tapia
- 05/09/25: Brazil 3-0 Chile (L)
- 10/06/25: Bolivia 2-0 Chile (L)
- 06/06/25: Chile 0-1 Argentina (L)
- 26/03/25: Chile 0-0 Ecuador (D)
- 21/03/25: Paraguay 1-0 Chile (L)
Uruguay preview: Araujo, Nunez and Nandez back from suspension
Uruguay have enjoyed a stronger campaign, already guaranteeing their place at the 2026 World Cup with 27 points from 17 matches. Marcelo Bielsa’s men have ended on a positive note, winning their last two games – a 2-0 success against Venezuela followed by a 3-0 victory over Peru.
For this fixture, La Celeste welcome back Ronald Araujo and Nahitan Nandez from suspension. Darwin Nunez, who missed five matches due to a lengthy ban after a Copa America incident, is also available again.
However, left-back Mathias Olivera misses out after receiving a one-game ban due to yellow card accumulation.
Predicted XI: Rochet (GK), Nandez, Araújo, Caceres, Piquerez, Valverde, Bentancur, De Arrascaeta, Pellistri, Rodriguez & Nunez
- 05/09/25: Uruguay 3-0 Peru (W)
- 11/06/25: Uruguay 2-0 Venezuela (W)
- 06/06/25: Paraguay 2-0 Uruguay (L)
- 25/03/25: Bolivia 0-0 Uruguay (D)
- 22/03/25: Uruguay 0-1 Argentina (L)
Player to watch: Darwin Nunez
Darwin Nunez returns to the international fold eager to make an impact after his long suspension. The former Liverpool striker, who has 13 goals for Uruguay, has a point to prove and will be determined to open his account in these qualifiers before the curtain falls.