Newcastle vs Chelsea prediction.
Brighton beating Newcastle in the FA Cup in March - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Newcastle to win

11 of Newcastle's 17 wins this season have come at St James' park, while six of Chelsea's eight defeats have arrived on the road.

Newcastle and Chelsea go head-to-head over three precious points at St James' Park on Sunday with both teams still in the running to qualify for the Champions League next season.

Newcastle vs Chelsea prediction: Will Isak be the hero once again?

Key Stats

  • Newcastle striker Alexander Isak has 29 goal involvements in the Premier League this season (23 goals, 6 assists).
  • Isak has scored six goals in his last ten appearances for club and country.
  • The Swedish striker scored the opening goal in Newcastle's 2-0 EFL Cup victory over Chelsea back in October.

Correct score prediction: Newcastle 2-1 Chelsea

We're backing a home win on Sunday and with Newcastle scoring an average of 2.24 and conceding an average of 1.12 goals per game at St James' Park this season, a 2-1 correct scoreline prediction in the hosts' favour seems reasonable.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Newcastle the favourite

  • HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • AWAY: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Newcastle are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 46.5% and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Chelsea lead

Chelsea have won three and lost two of their last five competitive games against Newcastle across all competitions, but the Magpies did win the last meeting between the pair in October.

England EFL Cup 30/10/24

Newcastle

Newcastle

2
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

England Premier League 27/10/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

2
Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 11/03/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

3
Newcastle

Newcastle

2

England EFL Cup 19/12/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

1 (4)
Newcastle

Newcastle

1 (2)

England Premier League 25/11/23

Newcastle

Newcastle

4
Chelsea

Chelsea

1

Newcastle preview: Rescued a point at the AmEx

Newcastle would have been expecting a tough 90 minutes away at Brighton last time but managed to come away with a share of the spoils. Former Newcastle player Yankuba Minteh fired the Seagulls in front shortly before the half-hour mark but an 89th-minute Alexander Isak penalty rescued a point for Eddie Howe's men.

Lewis Hall, Matt Targett, Jamaal Lascelles and Joelinton have all been ruled out of the Chelsea game this weekend through injury.

Predicted lineup: Pope (GK), Trippier, Schar, Burn, Livramento, Gordon, Willock, Guimaraes, Barnes, Tonali & Isak

England Premier League 11/05/25

W

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

England Premier League 04/05/25

D

Brighton

Brighton

1

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 26/04/25

W

Ipswich

Ipswich

0

Newcastle

Newcastle

3

England Premier League 19/04/25

L

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

4

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 16/04/25

W

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

0

Newcastle

Newcastle

5

Chelsea preview: Eased past the champions

Chelsea took the lead at home against the Champions Liverpool after just three minutes thanks to a goal from Enzo Fernandez. The visitors, who rested many key players, scored an own goal to double Chelsea's lead in the 56th minute but pulled a goal back in the 85th. However, Cole Palmer converted a stoppage-time penalty to secure a 3-1 victory for the Londoners.

Wesley Fofana, Omari Kellyman, Christopher Nkunku, Aaron Anselmino and Mykhailo Mudryk won't make the trip to Merseyside this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Sanchez (GK), Cucurella, Chalobah, Colwill, Palmer, Fernandez, Caicedo, Lavia, Neto, Madueke & Jackson

England Premier League 11/05/25

L

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

UEFA Conference League 08/05/25

W

Djurgarden

Djurgarden

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England Premier League 04/05/25

W

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

UEFA Conference League 01/05/25

W

Djurgarden

Djurgarden

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 26/04/25

W

Everton

Everton

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

Player to watch: Alexander Isak

Isak is having the best season of his career and only looks to be getting better and better under the guidance of Eddie Howe.

Alexander Isak
Isak has been fantastic this season – Photo by IMAGO

The Swedish international scored his 23rd Premier League goal of the season last weekend against Brighton, putting him two clear of last season's total of 21.

Newcastle's Swedish star has 28 goal involvements in the PL this season

We're backing Isak to put in another excellent display for the Magpies this weekend against Chelsea in what should prove to be an exciting, end-to-end 90 minutes in St James' Park.

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James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.