Chelsea vs Newcastle prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/03/2024

Chelsea
11/03/24 - 20:00

Finished

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Newcastle

Chelsea - Newcastle

England Premier League - Stamford Bridge

chelsea vs newcastle prediction
Chelsea's Enzo Fernandez battles for the ball with Newcastle United's Bruno Guimaraes – Photo by Icon sport

Here are our Premier League predictions for Monday night's clash at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Newcastle.

These two sides have already locked horns twice this season in league and cup and on both occasions, the pair entertained us throughout. This time around, Chelsea have the home advantage and we're backing goals to go in at both ends of the pitch but who will score the first goal for Mauricio Pochettino's side?

Chelsea vs Newcastle predictions: Will Newcastle pinch a point?

Chelsea vs Newcastle Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Draw

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Chelsea 2-2 Newcastle

💥 Both Teams to Score prediction

BTTS

Key Stats

  • Three of the last four meetings between these two clubs have ended in a draw after 90 minutes, while two of Chelsea's and two of Newcastle's last four outings in league and cup have also ended in stalemates.
  • Chelsea have scored at least two goals in four of their last six outings and have conceded two goals in each of their last two fixtures, while Newcastle have scored two or more goals in four of their last six matches and conceded at least two goals in four of those games as well.
  • Both teams have found the back of the net in five of Chelsea's and five of Newcastle's last six outings in all competitions, while the last four encounters between the pair have also produced goals at both ends of the pitch.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea the clear favourite

  • HOME: 20/21 (1.95) – 51.2%
  • DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
  • AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Chelsea are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 43.5%, but we are expecting a close and competitive 90 minutes at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea played out a 2-2 draw at Brentford last weekend and have picked up three wins, two draws and one defeat from their last six outings, while Newcastle won 3-0 at home to Wolves last time out and have picked up two wins, three draws and one defeat from their last six.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. Cole Palmer is the bookmaker's pick to score in this game at 33/20 (2.65) which has a probability of 37.7%, but if you want to back a Newcastle player to score in this game then Alexander Isak is priced at 9/5 (2.80) with a probability of 35.7%.

Last five H2Hs: Chelsea have a clear lead

England EFL Cup 19/12/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

1 (4)
Newcastle

Newcastle

1 (2)

England Premier League 25/11/23

Newcastle

Newcastle

4
Chelsea

Chelsea

1

Elite Club Friendlies 27/07/23

Newcastle

Newcastle

1
Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England Premier League 28/05/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 12/11/22

Newcastle

Newcastle

1
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

Chelsea have won 65, drawn 37 and lost 49 times in their last 151 meetings with Newcastle in all competitions, but the Magpies have secured two wins and two draws from their last five games against the Londoners, including a 4-1 home win in the Premier League in November.

Team news and form guide

Chelsea: Lost just one of last six

Chelsea's injury list never seems to get any smaller with Monday night's hosts possibly being without Wesley Fofana, Romeo Lavia, Christopher Nkunku, Reece James, Benoit Badiashile, Carney Chukwuemeka, Conor Gallagher, Lesley Ugochukwu, Levi Colwill and Ben Chilwell for the Newcastle game.

Predicted lineup: Petrović (GK), Chalobah, Cucurella, Disasi, Gusto, Colwill, Mudryk, Palmer, Fernández, Caicedo & Jackson

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 15/05/24

W

Brighton

Brighton

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 11/05/24

W

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

England Premier League 05/05/24

W

West Ham

West Ham

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

5

England Premier League 02/05/24

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

Newcastle: Lost last away game heavily

Sandro Tonali is, of course, suspended while Callum Wilson, Joelinton, Nick Pope, Kieran Trippier and Matt Targett could miss the game through injury. Lewis Hall is unable to play against his parent club so will not be in the matchday squad.

Predicted lineup: Dúbravka (GK), Livramento, Schär, Burn, Botman, Murphy, Willock, Guimarães, Longstaff, Isak & Gordon 

World Club Friendlies 24/05/24

L

A-League All Stars

A-League All Stars

8

Newcastle

Newcastle

0

World Club Friendlies 22/05/24

D

Tottenham

Tottenham

1

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Brentford

Brentford

2

Newcastle

Newcastle

4

England Premier League 15/05/24

L

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

England Premier League 11/05/24

D

Brighton

Brighton

1

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

Player to watch – Cole Palmer

Chelsea's summer signing has slotted right in at Stamford Bridge, taking on the burden of being the club's main source of goals in more ways than one.

COLE PALMER PLATER TO WATCH
Cole Palmer has been a bright spot – Photo by Icon Sport

Palmer top scores in the Premier League for Chelsea this season with ten goals, two more than the club's main striker Nicolas Jackson. The English attacking midfielder has also provided seven assists so far and is Chelsea's main playmaker, so clearly Newcastle must put some kind of plan into action to stop the youngster if they are going to get something out of this game.

Chelsea's standout player this season

We're backing Palmer to put in another top performance for his club on Monday night, one that could well lad to him adding to either his goals or assists tally for the campaign, maybe even both.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.