Chelsea vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/02/2026
Can Liam Rosenior guide Chelsea to victory? - Photo by IMAGO / Dennis Goodwin / Pro Sports Images
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Over 3.5 total goals

Six of Chelsea's lasts seven games have seen four or more goals scored.

Both Chelsea and Burnley return to Premier League action on Saturday afternoon after playing in the fourth round of the FA Cup last time out. The Blues beat Hull 4-0 away from home to set up another away tie against another Championship side in Wrexham, while the Clarets slumped to a shock 2-1 defeat at home to League One Mansfield.

In the Premier League, Chelsea are aiming to cement their place in the top five of the table, which would likely qualify them for the UEFA Champions League (UCL) for next season. Meanwhile, Burnley are hoping to avoid relegation, but face a tall task to get a positive result at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea vs Burnley prediction: Blues to win at the Bridge?

Key stats

  • Chelsea are unbeaten in four home games in all competitions, winning three.
  • Burnley have won just once in eight away league matches (D2, L5).
  • Chelsea are also unbeaten in the last 12 H2Hs (W9, D3).

Correct score prediction: Chelsea 3-1 Burnley

Given home advantage and their superior position in the table, Chelsea should be fairly comfortable winners at the Bridge. We can expect plenty of goals too, if the Blues' most recent games are anything to go by.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea favourites with bookmakers

  • HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
  • DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
  • AWAY: 9/1 (10.00) – 10.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, Chelsea are unsurprisingly the favourites with bookmakers to take home all three points. A draw can still be backed at just over 15%, while a Burnley victory away from home is rated at just 10%.

Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page, as well as our Premier League predictions & betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Chelsea on top

As mentioned previously, Chelsea are unbeaten in the last 12 meetings between the two sides, winning nine of them. This should give the Blues a psychological edge over Burnley come Saturday.

England Premier League 22/11/25

Burnley

Burnley

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 30/03/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

2
Burnley

Burnley

2

England Premier League 07/10/23

Burnley

Burnley

1
Chelsea

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 05/03/22

Burnley

Burnley

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 06/11/21

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Burnley

Burnley

1

Chelsea preview: Cucurella injury blow

Marc Cucurella's hamstring injury could keep him out for a number of weeks, according to latest reports. Chelsea have reported no other fresh concerns in the squad at the time of writing.

Predicted lineup: Sanchez (GK); James, Fofana, Chalobah, Hato; Caicedo, Santos; Palmer, Fernandez, Neto & Pedro

Last five results:

  • 13/02/26: Hull 0-4 Chelsea (FA Cup)
  • 10/02/26: Chelsea 2-2 Leeds (Premier League)
  • 07/02/26: Wolves 1-3 Chelsea (Premier League)
  • 03/02/26: Arsenal 1-0 Chelsea (Carabao Cup)
  • 31/01/26: Chelsea 3-2 West Ham (Premier League)

Burnley preview: Broja joins injury list

Armando Broja has joined the injury list for Burnley. He has joined the likes of Axel Tuanzebe on the treatment table.

Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK); Laurent, Esteve, Worrall; Walker, Ugochukwu, Mejbri, Humphreys; Edwards, Anthony & Flemming

Last five results:

  • 14/02/26: Burnley 1-2 Mansfield (FA Cup)
  • 11/02/26: Crystal Palace 2-3 Burnley (Premier League)
  • 07/02/26: Burnley 0-2 West Ham (Premier League)
  • 02/02/26: Sunderland 3-0 Burnley (Premier League)
  • 24/01/26: Burnley 2-2 Tottenham (Premier League)

Player to watch: Pedro Neto

Pedro Neto could start for Chelsea. David Klein / Sportimage – Photo by Icon Sport

Pedro Neto took the match ball home with a hat-trick against Hull last time out. The Chelsea star will be full of confidence with Burnley turning up at the Bridge.

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Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.