Two European hopefuls clash in the Spanish top flight on Wednesday. Our Celta Vigo vs Villarreal prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether either side will be able to pick up all the points at Balaidos.
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Celta Vigo vs Villarreal prediction: Marcelino’s men to score, but Iglesias to fire hosts to victory
Key stats
- Our Celta Vigo vs Villarreal betting tips take into account that four of the last five games involving the Yellow Submarine have seen both teams score.
- Celta have a 56% home win ratio in La Liga 2024/25.
- They’ve won nine out of 12 at home to teams outside the top four.
Correct score prediction: Celta Vigo 2-1 Villarreal
With Celta strong at home, and Villarreal very comfortable on their travels, we should be in for a really good contest here between two of the six highest-scoring teams in the division.
The home team are in much better shape on the selection front though, with Alex Baena a huge absentee for Villarreal, so the Galician team may just edge this.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies struggling to call it
- HOME: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the very slight favourites according to the Celta Vigo vs Villarreal odds, with an implied probability of 40.8% that they win this match.
They were involved in a thrilling game at Barcelona on Saturday, with Celta racing into a 3-1 lead thanks to a Borja Iglesias hat-trick, before the Catalans rallied to win 4-3.
Villarreal’s weekend match was also very watchable, with Yeremy Pino and Ayoze Perez scoring in a 2-2 draw against Real Sociedad.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Goals galore in recent meetings
Our Celta Vigo vs Villarreal prediction suggests we’ll get another good game here, and all of the last four meetings have served up at least four goals in total.
Both teams have scored in each of the last five meetings, with the last four having been won by the side with home advantage.
Spain La Liga 26/08/24
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga 05/05/24
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 20/12/23
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga 30/04/23
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga 13/01/23
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
Celta Vigo preview: Giraldez to shuffle his pack
Claudio Giraldez is very prone to rotation, and we should see plenty of changes to the Celta lineup that started in Barcelona. Carl Starfelt is their only notable injury doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Guaita (GK), M. Alonso, Jailson, J. Rodriguez, H. Alvarez. D. Rodriguez, Sotelo, Mingueza, Alfon, Iglesias & Aspas
Spain La Liga 13/05/25
W Real Sociedad 0 Celta Vigo 1 Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Sevilla 2 Celta Vigo 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25
L Real Madrid 3 Celta Vigo 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
W Villarreal 0 Celta Vigo 3 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
L Barcelona 4 Celta Vigo 3
Villarreal preview: Problems on the left flank
The visitors won’t be at their best on the left flank given Alex Baena is injured and Sergi Cardona suspended. Ilias Akhomach also misses out due to injury, while Raul Albiol, Gerard Moreno and Tajon Buchanan are rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Junior (GK), Pedraza, Costa, Foyth, Femenia, D. Suarez, Gueye, Comesana, Pino, Pepe & A. Perez
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Girona 0 Villarreal 1 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
W Osasuna 2 Villarreal 4 Spain La Liga 27/04/25
W Espanyol 0 Villarreal 1 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
L Celta Vigo 3 Villarreal 0 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
D Real Sociedad 2 Villarreal 2
Player to watch – Borja Iglesias
It was a weekend to remember for Iglesias, with the experienced striker scoring his first ever hat-trick in La Liga at the age of 32, and in the toughest fixture on the calendar away to leaders Barcelona. He has scored eight times in 31 appearances overall in the league this term for Celta.
Iglesias bouncing back
The 2023/24 season was the worst of the striker’s career with no league goals either for Real Betis, or on loan at Bayer Leverkusen. The move to Vigo has seen him get some confidence back, and he averages 1.2 shots per game in La Liga this term, as well as a goal every 209 minutes.