There’s another key home game for Valencia at Mestalla this Sunday. Our Valencia vs Celta Vigo prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Los Che can claim a much needed three points in their battle for safety.
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Valencia vs Celta Vigo prediction: Hosts to claim narrow victory
Key stats
- Our Valencia vs Celta Vigo betting tips take into account that the Galicians have the fourth worst away record in the Spanish top flight, with an average of just 0.50 points per game.
- Only Barcelona and Real Madrid have defeated Valencia in their last eight competitive games.
- Five of the last eight Valencia league games have served up under 2.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: Valencia 1-0 Celta Vigo
Celta carried very little threat in their last league game, and they are missing some key players here which suggests they may struggle to land many blows on Valencia.
We probably shouldn’t read too much into Valencia’s heavy defeat in Barcelona last time out, given the quality of the opposition and the absence of their key defender Cristhian Mosquera. They stand every chance of responding with a win here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Che the slight favourites
- HOME: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Valencia vs Celta Vigo odds with an implied probability of 42.1% that they win this match.
They were on the wrong end of a bruising 7-1 defeat at Barcelona last time out, with Hugo Duro’s strike only a consolation.
As for Celta Vigo, they drew 1-1 at Alaves in their last game, with Pablo Duran on target.
For more from the upcoming matches action around Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Celta unbeaten in four
Our Valencia vs Celta Vigo prediction suggests the hosts can end a four-game winless run against this opposition.
Despite a good overall record in all competitions, the Galicians have struggled on recent La Liga trips to Mestalla, failing to score on each of their last five league visits.
Spain La Liga 23/08/24
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Spain La Liga 26/05/24
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Spain Copa del Rey 17/01/24
Valencia
Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga 25/11/23
Valencia
Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga 14/05/23
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Valencia preview: Correia the only absentee
The home team should be close to full strength here, with long-term absentee Thierry Correia the only player they are expecting to be without.
Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Gaya, Tarrega, Mosquera, Aarons, Guerra, Pepelu, Rioja, Almeida, D. Lopez & Duro
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 W Getafe 0 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 W Las Palmas 2 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 22/04/25 D Espanyol 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 D Rayo Vallecano 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 11/04/25 W Sevilla 0 Valencia 1
Celta Vigo preview: Triple suspension blow for Giraldez
The visitors are missing Oscar Mingueza, Hugo Alvarez and Marcos Alsono to suspension. Key forward Iago Aspas is also still out.
Predicted Lineup: Guaita (GK), J. Rodriguez, Starfelt, Lago, Ristic, Beltran, Ilaix, Carreira, Swedberg, Duran & Iglesias
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 W Sevilla 2 Celta Vigo 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25 L Real Madrid 3 Celta Vigo 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25 W Villarreal 0 Celta Vigo 3 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 L Barcelona 4 Celta Vigo 3 Spain La Liga 12/04/25 L Espanyol 2 Celta Vigo 0 
Player to watch – Hugo Duro
Duro was a slight fitness concern this week, but he looks like he has pulled through and should make it. The forward is in good form, with five goals in his last nine appearances in La Liga.
Duro scoring early
Since the start of last season, 45% of Duro’s league goals have come in the opening 30 minutes. He has netted between the 16th and 30th minutes on three occasions in La Liga this term.