All eyes will be on Estadio Abanca Balaidos when Celta Vigo and Real Madrid draw swords in the 27th round of La Liga on Friday, 6 March 2026.
View our free Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid predictions below.
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Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid predictions: High-scoring affair
Key stats
- At least three goals were scored in four of the last five encounters between these outfits.
- Celta Vigo have won four games in a row across all competitions.
- Real Madrid lost their last two La Liga matches.
Correct score prediction: Celta Vigo 2-1 Real Madrid
It is important to note that Real Madrid have a long list of absences, with several key players like Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham, and Rodrygo Goes sidelined with injuries.
Moreover, while Los Blancos lost their last two league matches, Celta Vigo are currently on a four-match winning streak and a five-game unbeaten run.
Keeping in mind that Celta Vigo won the reverse fixture away from home, we are confident that they will emerge victorious after 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Celta Vigo up against it
- HOME: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
- AWAY: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Real Madrid suffered a disappointing 1-0 home defeat against local rivals Getafe earlier this week. Los Blancos have now lost back-to-back La Liga games for the first time since May 2019 and are four points behind leaders Barcelona in the race for the league title.
On the other hand, Celta Vigo extended their winning streak to four matches with a 2-1 victory at Girona last weekend. They are sixth in the Spanish top flight ahead of this skirmish with second-placed Real Madrid.
Despite Celta Vigo's fine form, Real Madrid are the expected winners at 21/20 (2.05). Teams with these odds generally have a 48.8% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid predictions.
Also, keeping in mind that four of the last five meetings between these teams went above the 2.5-goal threshold, over 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 4/5 (1.80). That one has a 55.6% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Celta to complete the sweep?
Celta Vigo won the reverse fixture by two unanswered goals in a game Los Blancos finished with nine men. However, they have lost 11 of their last 12 meetings with Real Madrid and have only one win in the last 20 H2Hs.
Spain La Liga 07/12/25
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga 04/05/25
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Spain Copa del Rey 16/01/25
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga 19/10/24
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 10/03/24
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo preview: Eyeing their fifth consecutive victory
Boss Claudio Giraldez will be unable to call on the services of two of his defenders, Marcos Alonso and Carl Starfelt, as both players are ruled out due to injury.
Pablo Duran is also not expected back in the squad for this game, with the 24-year-old forward still sidelined because of a medial cruciate ligament problem.
Borja Iglesias, who was suspended last time out against Girona for accumulated yellow cards, will be available for selection on Friday night.
Predicted lineup: Radu (GK), Mingueza, Rodriguez, Aidoo, Dominguez, Carreira, Moriba, Roman, Lopez, Iglesias & Swedberg
Last five matches
- 01/03/26: Girona 1-2 Celta Vigo (La Liga)
- 26/02/26: Celta Vigo 1-0 PAOK (UEFA Europa League)
- 22/02/26: Celta Vigo 2-0 Mallorca (La Liga)
- 19/02/26: PAOK 1-2 Celta Vigo (UEFA Europa League)
- 14/02/26: Espanyol 2-2 Celta Vigo (La Liga)
Real Madrid preview: Plagued by injuries
Real Madrid will enter this game highly depleted of personnel because of injuries and suspensions. On the injury front, Los Blancos are missing Eder Militao, Mbappe, Dani Ceballos, Raul Asencio, Bellingham, and Rodrygo (out for the season), while both Eduardo Camavinga and David Alaba are doubtful.
On the suspension list, Alvaro Carreras and Dean Huijsen have accumulated the maximum allowable number of yellow cards, ruling them out for Friday, while Franco Mastantuono is unavailable following his sending-off in the defeat to Getafe last time out.
Predicted lineup: Courtois (GK), Carvajal, Rudiger, Alaba, F. Garcia, Tchouameni, Camavinga, Guler, Valverde, Vinicius Jr & G. Garcia
Last five matches
- 02/03/26: Real Madrid 0-1 Getafe (La Liga)
- 25/02/26: Real Madrid 2-1 Benfica (Champions League)
- 21/02/26: Osasuna 2-1 Real Madrid (La Liga)
- 17/02/26: Benfica 0-1 Real Madrid (Champions League)
- 14/02/26: Real Madrid 4-1 Real Sociedad (La Liga)
Player to watch: Borja Iglesias
Borja Iglesias has been in sensational form, scoring five goals in his last seven La Liga assignments. The former Real Betis forward, who has 12 goal contributions in 23 league appearances, will be called upon to provide goals on Friday night.