Two European hopefuls clash on the penultimate weekend in the Spanish top flight. Our Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano prediction and La Liga betting tips consider which team is most likely to come out on top.
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Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: Mingueza to impress in home win
Key stats
- Our Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano betting tips take into account that 61% of Celta’s league games have served up over 2.5 goals.
- Rayo have conceded at least twice in four of their last seven matches in La Liga.
- They’ve only won one game this season against a team currently above them, although that was the reverse fixture against Celta.
Correct score prediction: Celta Vigo 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
These two teams are both having good seasons, although Celta have considerably more depth to their squad which could leave them well placed to win this game, especially given the quick turnaround for Rayo who played on Thursday.
The Galicians have been very strong at home, and they look good to build on victories over Villarreal and Sevilla in their last two outings at Balaidos.
Place your bet on this prediction at bet365.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Celta the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
- DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
- AWAY: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano odds, with an implied probability of 55.6% that they win this match.
They head into this game after an excellent 1-0 win at Real Sociedad, with Alfon Gonzalez scoring the only goal.
As for Rayo, they threw away a 2-0 lead to only draw against Real Betis on Thursday, with Jorge de Frutos and Florian Lejeune scoring for Inigo Perez’s team.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Celta strong at home
Our Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano prediction suggests the Galicians can extend a six-game unbeaten run at home to this opposition.
There were three goals when the sides met in Madrid earlier this season, but three of the previous four meetings had ended 0-0.
Spain La Liga 10/01/25
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga 31/03/24
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 11/12/23
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga 11/03/23
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 10/11/22
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo preview: Few problems for Giraldez
The hosts are missing Carl Starfelt again due to injury, but their only other fitness concern is Jailson, who is rated doubtful. Rotation is expected from midweek.
Predicted Lineup: Guaita (GK), Alonso, Lago, J. Rodriguez, Mingueza, Sotelo, D. Rodriguez, Alvarez, Swedberg, Aspas & Duran
Spain La Liga 13/05/25
W Real Sociedad 0 Celta Vigo 1 Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Sevilla 2 Celta Vigo 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25
L Real Madrid 3 Celta Vigo 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
W Villarreal 0 Celta Vigo 3 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
L Barcelona 4 Celta Vigo 3
Rayo Vallecano preview: Perez to bring some fresh legs in
There are likely to be changes from the away team too, so soon after their midweek match. Abdul Mumin is out injured, while Sergio Camello is a doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, A. Hernandez, Lejeune, Ratiu, U. Lopez, Valentin, Embarba, I. Palazon, De Frutos & A. Garcia
Spain La Liga 09/05/25
W Las Palmas 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 02/05/25
W Getafe 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
L Atletico Madrid 3 Rayo Vallecano 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
D Valencia 1 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 13/04/25
L Athletic Bilbao 3 Rayo Vallecano 1
Player to watch – Oscar Mingueza
It has really been a squad effort from Celta this season, with few players guaranteed a place in the starting lineup. One man who has stood out has been Oscar Mingueza, with the Spain international registering four goals and six assists in 32 appearances in La Liga.
Mingueza impressing on both flanks
The 26-year-old has frequently featured as a wing-back on both flanks this season. He averages 0.9 key passes and 1.0 shots per game in La Liga.