CD Nacional vs Braga prediction, odds & betting tips 20/09/2024

CD Nacional will host Braga on Saturday, 20 September as the Primeira Liga enters its sixth week of the 2024/25 season.

The home side are back in the big time after securing promotion last season and have fared okay in the early weeks of the campaign.

Braga, meanwhile, have been playing competitive football since the middle of July and recent performances suggest that their workload is catching up with them.

Ahead of our latest round of Primeira Liga betting tips, here is our CD Nacional vs Braga prediction.

CD Nacional vs Braga prediction: Braga to come unstuck in Madeira

Key Stats

• CD Nacional's only defeat at home this season came against Sporting Lisbon.
• Braga have failed to win any of their last three matches in all competitions.
• Four of CD Nacional's five matches in the Primeira Liga this season have produced fewer than three goals.

Correct score prediction: CD Nacional 1-1 Braga

Braga have looked leggy in recent weeks and it appears their long Europa League qualifying campaign is catching up with them. They also have a game in Europe to look forward to this week so their eyes could quite easily be taken off the task at hand. CD Nacional have scored in both of their home matches so far this season so it would be a shock to see them blank here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The visitors start as favourites

• HOME: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
• DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
• AWAY: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

For a while now, Braga have been considered as the best team in Portugal outside of the big three so they will be used to going into matches as favourites as they are on Friday night. Ladbrokes have given the visitors a 58.8% chance of taking home the three points while CD Nacional have been given just a 22.2% chance of winning.

Check out today's betting tips page for more predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Braga domination

If CD Nacional fans want inspiration for Friday night then they should avoid looking at the club's recent record against Braga. Braga haven't lost a match to CD Nacional since 2013 in a run that spans 15 games. Out of those 15 undefeated games, Braga have won 12 of them, meaning they have won 80% of their matches against CD Nacional in the last ten years.

Portugal League Cup 22/12/23

Nacional

1

Braga

3

Portugal Cup 25/04/23

Braga

2

Nacional

2

Portugal Cup 12/04/23

Nacional

0

Braga

5

Portugal Primeira Liga 28/02/21

Nacional

1

Braga

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 17/10/20

Braga

2

Nacional

1

CD Nacional preview: Looking to make better memories at home

Although CD Nacional's most recent match at home ended in a 2-0 win over Farense, their first home match of the campaign saw them lose 6-1 to Sporting Lisbon. For teams expected to battle relegation, home form is everything so they will do well to keep those demons locked away now that another big team is in town.

Predicted lineup: Franca (GK), Garcia, Santos, Vitor, Gomes, Esteves, Dias, Penha, Appiah, Reis, Macedo

Portugal Primeira Liga 29/09/24

D

Famalicao

0

Nacional

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 20/09/24

L

Braga

3

Nacional

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 15/09/24

L

Estoril

1

Nacional

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 01/09/24

W

SC Farense

0

Nacional

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 25/08/24

L

Arouca

1

Nacional

0

Braga preview: In need of a win

It's funny how quickly perspective can change in football as going into the international break, Braga could boast about being undefeated in all competitions. Now after one defeat, they are suddenly three matches without a win and in need of three points to get back in striking distance of the leaders.

Predicted lineup: Lima (GK), Gomez, Niakate, Oliveira, Marin, Carvalho, Horta, Zalazar, Horta, Martinez, El Ouazzani

UEFA Europa League 03/10/24

L

Olympiakos

3

Braga

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 29/09/24

W

Rio Ave

0

Braga

4

UEFA Europa League 26/09/24

W

Maccabi Tel Aviv

1

Braga

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 20/09/24

W

Nacional

0

Braga

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 15/09/24

L

Guimaraes

2

Braga

0

Player to watch: Amine El Ouazzani

Braga have had a decent start to the season but goals have been an issue which means question marks are being asked about their new signing, Amine El Ouazzani. The Moroccan centre-forward signed from Guingamp in the second tier of French football where he scored eleven league goals last season but has only scored one so far for his new club.

Braga haven't scored in either of their last two matches so goals are very much the order of the day this weekend. Can El Ouzzani step up to the plate?