Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon predictions
🔥 Our Hot tip

HT Sporting Lisbon to win

Sporting Lisbon led at half-time in three consecutive meetings with Casa Pia

Casa Pia will welcome Sporting Lisbon to Estadio Pina Manique for their Primeira Liga clash on Sunday, 9 March 2025. View our free Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon predictions below.

Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon predictions: Goals at both ends

Key stats

  • Both teams scored in four of six previous clashes between Casa Pia and Sporting Lisbon.
  • Sporting Lisbon have a perfect six wins from six against Casa Pia.
  • On average, 4.5 goals were scored in six previous encounters between these outfits.
  • Casa Pia trailed at half-time in three consecutive meetings with Sporting Lisbon.

Correct score prediction: Cas Pia 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

Sporting Lisbon have won six out of six previous skirmishes between these outfits, averaging 3.5 goals while conceding exactly one goal per game.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sporting Lisbon are odds-on favourites

  • HOME: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
  • DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
  • AWAY: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Although Casa Pia suffered three defeats in their last five games, all three defeats came on the road. Joao Pereira's men are a force to be reckoned with at home, as they are unbeaten in their last 10 league games at Estadio Pina Manique.

The hosts will look to maintain that impressive streak as they take on the league's best team. Sporting Lisbon are leading the Primeira Liga standings with a 17-5-2 win-draw-loss record.

On that note, Sporting Lisbon are the expected winners at 8/15 (1.53). Teams with these odds generally have a 65.2% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon predictions.

We have also established that 4.5 goals were scored on average in six previous clashes between these sides. Bearing that in mind, over 3.5 total goals has an appealing look at 2/1 (3.00). That one has a 33.3% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Sporting to maintain their perfect record?

This will be the seventh encounter between these Lisbon-based teams. Sporting Lisbon have a perfect six wins from six against Casa Pia.

Portugal Primeira Liga 05/10/24

Sporting

Sporting

2
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 29/01/24

Sporting

Sporting

8
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/08/23

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1
Sporting

Sporting

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 09/04/23

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

3
Sporting

Sporting

4

Portugal Primeira Liga 22/10/22

Sporting

Sporting

3
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

Casa Pia preview: Looking to extend their unbeaten home run

Casa Pia will remain without forward Kiki, who has not played any minutes for Joao Pereira's side since April of last year. Aside from him, there are no injured or suspended players for the hosts.

Predicted lineup: Sequeira (GK), Tchamba, Fonte, Goulart, Larrazabal, Kraev, Pablo, Lelo, Pereira, Livolant & Svensson.

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

W

Braga

Braga

1

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/25

D

Arouca

Arouca

0

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 29/04/25

L

Estoril

Estoril

3

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

D

AVS

AVS

1

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25

L

FC Porto

FC Porto

1

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

Sporting Lisbon preview: A fair few absentees

Sporting Lisbon have some injury concerns, as up to five players are expected to be out for this derby. They include cruciate ligament sufferers Daniel Braganca and Nuno Santos, while Pedro Goncalves and Jerry Juste have muscle injuries.

Predicted lineup: Silva (GK), Esgaio, Diomande, Inacio, Fresneda, Debast, Felicissimo, Reis, Trincao, Quenda & Gyokeres.

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

D

Benfica

Benfica

1

Sporting

Sporting

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/25

W

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

1

Sporting

Sporting

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25

W

Boavista

Boavista

0

Sporting

Sporting

5

Portugal Cup 22/04/25

W

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

1

Sporting

Sporting

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25

W

Moreirense

Moreirense

1

Sporting

Sporting

3

Player to watch: Victor Gyokeres

Victor Gyokeres player to watch
Photo by IMAGO

Victor Gyokeres continued his fine form with a brace in Sporting Lisbon's 3-1 win against Estoril Praia. The Swedish forward was involved in at least one goal in each of his last four appearances. It will be interesting to see if Gyokeres will extend his streak of direct goal involvements this weekend.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives