Braga vs Casa Pia prediction, odds & betting tips 29/12/2024
🔥 Our Hot tip

Casa Pia or draw

Casa Pia have lost just one of their last nine matches.

Braga are set to take on Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga on Sunday, 29 December in a big match in the race for the top four.

Braga are currently in the box seat after beating Santa Clara last time out and come into this match with a one point lead over the chasing pack.

Casa Pia are currently in seventh position in the league table, eight points behind Braga so realistically need a win here to stay in the hunt.

As part of our latest round of Primeira Liga betting tips, here is our Braga vs Casa Pia prediction.

Braga vs Casa Pia prediction: The visitors to avoid defeat

Key stats

  • Casa Pia have taken seven points from their last three league matches.
  • Braga have won just one of their last four matches in all competitions.
  • Three of Casa Pia's last four matches have produced fewer than three goals.

Correct score prediction: Braga 1-1 Casa Pia

Braga have struggled for consistency this season and their home record in the Primeira Liga leaves a lot to be desired. They have only won three of their eight home matches while Casa Pia have only lost three of their eight away matches. Braga have also drawn two of their last four matches so another one here wouldn't be a shock.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts start as favourites

  • HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
  • DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
  • AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Braga vs Casa Pia odds indicate that the visitors will do well to come away with anything which just means our top tip of Casa Pia or draw provides you with brilliant value. Ladbrokes have given Braga a 71.4% chance of winning on Sunday while Casa Pia have been given a 13.3% chance of earning themselves an away win.

Check out our betting tips today page for more Primeira Liga predictions this week.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Braga

Braga have enjoyed facing Casa Pia in recent years and they are unbeaten in their last five meetings them in all competitions (four wins and one draw). The last time Casa Pia managed to overcome Braga was in November 2022 but this is perhaps significant as this match was also played at the Estadio Municipal de Braga.

Portugal Primeira Liga 05/05/24

Braga

Braga

4
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 30/12/23

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1
Braga

Braga

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 30/11/23

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0
Braga

Braga

0

Portugal League Cup 01/11/23

Braga

Braga

1
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 21/04/23

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0
Braga

Braga

1

Braga preview: Still searching for consistency

Braga's season has been very frustrating so far both at home and in Europe. They feel like a team that are on the cusp of getting where they need to be but putting together a good run of results has proved difficult so far. The away win at Santa Clara was impressive, though, and could be a springboard for a better second half to their season

Predicted lineup: Matheus (GK), Niakate, Oliveira, Ferreira, Fernandes, Zalazar, Carvalho, Ribeiro, Horta, Bruma, El Ouazzani

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

L

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

2

Braga

Braga

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25

D

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

1

Braga

Braga

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 25/04/25

D

Famalicao

Famalicao

1

Braga

Braga

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

W

Estoril

Estoril

0

Braga

Braga

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 13/04/25

W

AVS

AVS

1

Braga

Braga

4

Casa Pia preview: Continuing to punch above their weight

Casa Pia were only promoted to the Primeira Liga for the first time in their history two years ago but their adaption to life in the top flight has been seamless. Two midtable finishes have been secured but they now have sights on a European adventure.

Predicted lineup: Sequeira (GK), Silva, Tchamba, Fonte, Larrazabal, Segovia, Kraev, Lelo, Livolant, Cassiano, Moreira

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

W

Braga

Braga

1

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/25

D

Arouca

Arouca

0

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 29/04/25

L

Estoril

Estoril

3

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

D

AVS

AVS

1

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25

L

FC Porto

FC Porto

1

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

Player to watch: Rodrigo Zalazar

rodrigo zalazar
photo by imago

Rodrigo Zalazar is considered one of Braga's most creative players and the 25-year-old midfielder has been missed by the club in recent weeks due to injury. He has done okay since he returned to the starting xi in the middle of December, registering two assists in two matches and will look to creative more big chances for teammates on Sunday.


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.