Stoke welcome Cardiff to the bet365 Stadium for the second time this season on Saturday, as they battle for a place in the fifth round of the FA Cup. Read on for our Stoke vs Cardiff predictions and more.
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Stoke vs Cardiff prediction: Cup run on the cards?
Key facts:
- Cardiff have not lost to Stoke in their last nine meetings.
- Both sides have seen their fortunes improve of late, with both losing just once since victories on 29 December.
- Both teams have won two, drawn two and lost one in their last five matches.
Correct score prediction: Stoke 1-2 Cardiff
Neither of these sides have enjoyed a real cup run in some time, with Stoke last reaching Wembley in 2011, and Cardiff in 2008. They have avoided the big guns in the fourth round, and both will back themselves to advance.
However, despite home advantage for the Potters, we're backing Cardiff, as the Bluebirds seem to have their host's number, having not lost in their last nine meetings.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Home advantage
HOME: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
AWAY: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The bookmakers' expected winner is, Stoke. Their odds of 11/10 imply a 47.6% likelihood of victory, but given their rotten record against Cardiff, we think the visitors will be the victors.
Feel free to take a look at our football betting tips page to check out our other predictions and tips!
Recent H2Hs: Welsh winners
Since the pair have returned to being Championship regulars after their Premier League heydays, Stoke have struggled to best Cardiff.
The Potters are without a win in their last nine clashes, including their 2-2 draw earlier this season.
To put that into perspective, Joe Allen was the last player to score a winner for the Potters against Cardiff.
England Championship 14/12/24
Stoke
Cardiff
England Championship 24/02/24
Cardiff
Stoke
England Championship 04/11/23
Stoke
Cardiff
England Championship 22/04/23
Cardiff
Stoke
England Championship 10/12/22
Stoke
Cardiff
Stoke preview: No Cannon? No problem!
Many feared for Stoke when Leicester City recalled standout striker Thomas Cannon from his loan with the Potters to sell him to Sheffield United.
Cannon had scored a huge chunk of Stoke's goals. But the side doesn't seem to have missed a beat since his departure, with just one loss since his departure.
The Potters are in decent form coming into this, but will not have much off the bench, with eight players out injured.
Predicted lineup: Johansson (GK), Tchamaedu, Phillips, Rose, Stevens, Seko, Pearson, Bae, Lowe, Wilson-Esbrand, Al Hamadi
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Cardiff
0
Stoke
1
England Championship 08/04/25
D
Luton
1
Stoke
1
England Championship 05/04/25
D
Preston
1
Stoke
1
England Championship 29/03/25
W
QPR
1
Stoke
3
England Championship 15/03/25
L
Millwall
1
Stoke
0
Cardiff preview: Can they bounce back?
Cardiff had a rotten start to the season, but have moved clear of the relegation zone thanks to a strong New Year's run of form.
That good feeling was brought crashing down last weekend though, with a 7-0 thrashing at the hands of Leeds United.
The Bluebirds will look to put that result behind them with another good result against Stoke.
Predicted lineup: Alnwick (GK), Rinomhota, Goutas, Daland, Ng, Ralls, Chambers, Roberston, Ashford, Robinson, El-Ghazi
England Championship 12/04/25
L
Stoke
1
Cardiff
0
England Championship 08/04/25
D
Preston
2
Cardiff
2
England Championship 05/04/25
D
QPR
0
Cardiff
0
England Championship 29/03/25
D
Sheff Wed
1
Cardiff
1
England Championship 15/03/25
W
Blackburn
1
Cardiff
2
Player to watch: Ali Al Hamadi
Stoke may have lost Thomas Cannon, but they have secured another quality loan addition from the Premier League, in the shape of Ipswich Town's Ali Al Hamadi.
Al Hamadi, 22, made his debut in last week's comeback win over Hull City, and scored a crucial equaliser, smashing the ball in with the outside of his boot.
The Iraqi international will hope to continue that form this weekend.