Cardiff vs Newport prediction, odds & betting tips – 07/10/2025

On Tuesday, Cardiff City will welcome Newport County to the Cardiff City Stadium in the EFL Trophy competition. The League One side have had a decent run in their last five game with three wins. Although they returned to winning ways with a 4-3 victory over Leyton Orient. 

On the other hand, the League Two side have struggled in their last five games, losing four games and playing just one draw. They have lost four games in a row, with the recent one being a 1-0 loss at home to Swindon.

Read our Cardiff vs Newport predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other EFL Trophy predictions.

Cardiff vs Newport prediction: Home team to claim a win 

Key statistics

• Both teams played a first-half draw in their last encounter.
• Cardiff have won by a 2-0 scoreline in their last two meetings.
• Over 1.5 goals have been scored in their last two clashes.

Correct score prediction: Cardiff 2-0 Newport

The Bluebirds are expected to come out on top in this Welsh derby, with a 2-0 victory predicted over the Exiles. While the home side boasts greater quality and the advantage of playing in a higher division, derbies of this nature are rarely easy, as their rivals always raise their game. However, Cardiff’s home advantage should see them secure the win.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Cardiff are strong favourites

• Home: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.5%
• Draw: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
• Away: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

The home team are the clear favourite to win this clash, with a 77.5% chance of victory at 1.29 odds, based on their impressive form heading into the match. A draw is priced at 5.00 with a 20.0% likelihood, while Newport County have long odds of 8.50 and just an 11.8% chance, suggesting they face an uphill battle.

Most recent head-to-head: Cardiff edge record

Looking at their past meetings, the two sides have only faced each other twice, both occasions coming in friendly matches. The Bluebirds came out on top in both encounters, winning 2-0 each time.

While these were non-competitive fixtures, the results still show Cardiff’s control against their rivals. Although friendlies cannot always be taken as a true measure of competitiveness, the fact that Cardiff secured back-to-back 2-0 victories is a strong indicator that they are the strongest side.

Club Friendly List 31/07/21

Cardiff

2

Newport County

0

After reviewing our key Cardiff vs Newport predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Cardiff preview: Injury troubles ahead of clash

The host remains without long-term absentees Eli King and Ollie Tanner, who continue to recover from knee and ankle injuries, respectively. Defender Perry Ng is also expected to sit out once again after missing the weekend victory over Leyton Orient due to a hamstring issue. In midfield, Cian Ashford will be unavailable through suspension following his red card in the group stage opener against Exeter.

Predicted lineup: Turner (GK), Kpakio, Chambers, Fish, Giles, Turnbull, Mafico, Kellyman, Nyakuhwa, Davies & Salech

Last five fixtures

• 04.10.25 – Cardiff 4 – 3 Leyton Orient
• 30.09.25 – Cardiff 0 – 1 Burton
• 27.09.25 – Wigan 0 – 2 Cardiff
• 23.09.25 – Burnley 1 – 2 Cardiff
• 20.09.25 – Cardiff 1 – 3 Bradford City

Newport preview: Few injury worries

The Visitors are likely to be without defender Liam Shephard and midfielder Matt Smith. Goalkeeper Jordan Wright is expected to start in place of Nik Tzanev, having featured in the opening group match against Arsenal U21S.

Jaden Warner, Cameron Antwi, Michael Reindorf, and Bobby Kamwa may also be included in the lineup if manager Hughes decides to rotate his squad for the midweek clash.

Predicted lineup: Wright (GK), Ogunneye, Warner, Clarke, Davies, Whitmore, Antwi, Braybrooke, Kamwa, Reindorf & Opoku

Last five fixtures

• 04.10.25 – Newport 0 – 1 Swindon
• 27.09.25 – Chesterfield 4 – 1 Newport
• 23.09.25 – Newport 1 – 2 Arsenal U21
• 20.09.25 – Newport 1 – 3 Gillingham
• 13.09.25 – Tranmere 1 – 1 Newport

Player to watch: Yousef Salech

A key player to watch for Cardiff City is the forward Yousef Salech. The striker has been directly involved in contributing three goals across all competitions this season. Salech carries a direct scoring threat himself and his form could prove decisive in breaking down the opposition’s defence.