Three points will be up for grabs as Cardiff and Burnley draw swords at Cardiff City Stadium on Tuesday, 4 March 2025. Which of these teams will reign supreme at the end of this Championship match?
View our free Cardiff vs Burnley predictions below.
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Cardiff vs Burnley predictions: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Four of Cardiff's last five matches went below the 2.5-goal line.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in six of Burnley's last eight games.
- Burnley are unbeaten in their last eight clashes with Cardiff City.
- At least one team failed to score in each of Burnley’s last 10 matches.
Correct score prediction: Cardiff 0-2 Burnley
Not only are Burnley on a 21-match unbeaten run in the Championship, but they also did not concede a single goal in their last 12 league games. Given that Burnley won three of the last four meetings between these teams without conceding, we are backing the visitors to win to nil.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Burnley are clear favourites
- HOME: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Burnley suffered a humiliating 3-0 defeat at Preston North End last weekend, putting an end to their 23-game unbeaten run across all competitions.
The Clarets will go up against a Cardiff City side that won only one of their previous five matches.
As it stands, Cardiff City are 20th in the Championship ahead of their clash with third-placed Burnley.
On that note, Burnley are the expected winners at 19/20 (1.95). Teams with these odds generally have a 51.3% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Cardiff vs Burnley predictions.
Interestingly, three of Cardiff's last four games, and each of Burnley's last three trips to this stadium saw more goals scored in the second half. With that in mind, highest scoring half – 2nd has an appealing look at 23/20 (2.15). That one has a 46.5% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for Burnley?
Burnley were the victors in their last two encounters with Cardiff City. They are unbeaten in the last eight skirmishes between these sides.
England Championship 01/03/25
Cardiff
Burnley
England Championship 17/08/24
Burnley
Cardiff
UEFA Super Cup 09/08/24
Burnley
Cardiff
England Championship 08/05/23
Burnley
Cardiff
England Championship 01/10/22
Cardiff
Burnley
Cardiff preview: Plagued by injuries
Injuries have not been kind to Cardiff this season, as up to five players are ruled out of this clash, including David Turnbull (hamstring), Jak Alnwick (hamstring), Jesper Daland (calf), and Ollie Tanner (foot), while Dimitris Goutas faces suspension.
Predicted lineup: Horvath (GK), Rinomhota, Fish, Ng, O’Dowda, Chambers, Mannsverk, Willock, Robinson, Ashford & Salech.
England Championship 03/05/25
L
Norwich
4
Cardiff
2
England Championship 26/04/25
D
West Brom
0
Cardiff
0
England Championship 21/04/25
D
Oxford Utd
1
Cardiff
1
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Sheff Utd
2
Cardiff
0
England Championship 12/04/25
L
Stoke
1
Cardiff
0
Burnley preview: A fair few absentees
The Clarets will now shift their focus to a top-two finish in the Championship, as a win over Cardiff on Tuesday will see them close the gap to Sheffield United to two points.
However, Coach Scott Parker has injury problems to deal with heading into this contest, with Aaron Ramsey (ACL), Enock Agyei (leg), Jordan Beyer (hamstring), Mike Tresor (leg) and Nathan Redmond (leg) all ruled out because of injuries.
Predicted lineup: Trafford (GK), Roberts, Egan-Riley, Esteve, Pires, Laurent, Cullen, Edwards, Mejbri, Anthony & Flemming.
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Millwall
1
Burnley
3
England Championship 26/04/25
W
QPR
0
Burnley
5
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Sheff Utd
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Watford
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 11/04/25
W
Norwich
1
Burnley
2