AC Milan vs Cagliari prediction, odds & betting tips 11/01/2025

Cagliari will make the trip to the San Siro for their Serie A encounter with AC Milan on Saturday, 11 January. View our free AC Milan vs Cagliari predictions below.

AC Milan vs Cagliari predictions: Hosts to lead at the break

Key stats

• Cagliari have conceded first in six consecutive matches.
• AC Milan had the lead at the halftime break in five of the last six meetings between these teams.
• Six of AC Milan's last eight games produced goals at both ends.
• At least three goals were scored in each of Cagliari's last four matches.

Correct score prediction: AC Milan 3-1 Cagliari

While AC Milan are undefeated in their last six matches across all competitions, Cagliari suffered five defeats in their last six games. Keeping in mind that AC Milan are unbeaten in the last 14 meetings between these teams, we are fairly confident that the hosts will secure all three points after 90 minutes.

Pre-game odds and win probability: AC Milan are overwhelming favourites

• HOME: 7/20 (1.35) – 74.1%
• DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
• AWAY: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Cagliari put an end to their five-match losing streak with a 2-1 win at Monza last weekend. Despite that win, Davide Nicola’s troops are still in the relegation zone after earning only 17 points from 19 league matches.

On the other hand, AC Milan have strung together a six-game unbeaten run in which they defeated Juventus and Inter Milan en route to the Italian Super Cup title.

That said, it is no surprise that AC Milan are the expected winners at 7/20 (1.35). Teams with these odds generally have a 74.1% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our AC Milan vs Cagliari predictions.

It is also worth mentioning that five of the last six clashes between these teams featured goals at both ends. Taking into account that both teams were on the scoresheet in six of AC Milan's last eight games, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 19/20 (1.95). That one has a 51.3% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: A one-sided affair

AC Milan came out on top in five of the last six meetings between these teams. They are also unbeaten in their last 14 skirmishes with Cagliari (W11, D3).

Italy Serie A 09/11/24

Cagliari

3

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 11/05/24

AC Milan

5

Cagliari

1

Coppa Italia 02/01/24

AC Milan

4

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 27/09/23

Cagliari

1

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 19/03/22

Cagliari

0

AC Milan

1

AC Milan preview: Looking to extend their unbeaten run

The reigning Italian Super Cup champions will enter this game without the suspended Tommaso Pobega, as well as the injured duo of Samuel Chukwueze (muscle injury) and Alessandro Florenzi (ACL injury).

Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Hernandez, Thiaw, Tomori, Royal, Musah, Fofana, Reijnders, Pulisic, Morata & Leao.

Italy Serie A 09/05/25

W

Bologna

1

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 05/05/25

W

Genoa

1

AC Milan

2

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Venezia

0

AC Milan

2

Coppa Italia 23/04/25

W

Inter Milan

0

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 20/04/25

L

Atalanta

1

AC Milan

0

Cagliari preview: Eyeing back-to-back wins for the first time since September last year

As for Cagliari, defender Yerry Mina and forward Zito Luvumbo are both doubtful for this game because of injuries.

Predicted lineup: Scuffet (GK), Obert, Luperto, Palomino, Zappa, Zortea, Adopo, Makoumbou, Felici, Piccoli & Viola.

Italy Serie A 10/05/25

L

Como

3

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 03/05/25

L

Udinese

2

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 28/04/25

W

Verona

0

Cagliari

2

Italy Serie A 23/04/25

L

Fiorentina

2

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

L

Inter Milan

3

Cagliari

1

Player to watch: Rafael Leao

Rafael Leao set up the winning goal in AC Milan's Super Cup final victory over arch rivals Inter Milan earlier this week. The Portuguese midfielder also scored a brace in the reverse fixture of this clash. He has an excellent track record against Cagliari, with four goals and one assist in the last three encounters between these sides. Leao will look to extend his scoring streak against Cagliari to four matches.