Burnley vs Watford prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/12/2024
Watford should provide a stern test for Burnley. Dave Rowntree - Photo by Imago
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Under 2.5 goals

The last five H2Hs have averaged just 1.4 goals per game

In this article, we have given our Burnley vs Watford prediction, odds & betting tips ahead of their Championship clash at Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon. At the time of writing, the hosts are in third place having accumulated a total of 41 points from 21 games played, while the visitors are in seventh spot on 34 points from 20 matches.

Burnley vs Watford prediction: Battle of two in-form teams

Key stats

  • Both teams are unbeaten in their last five games.
  • The previous five H2Hs have produced a total of just seven goals.
  • Both sides have scored in four of their last five matches.

Correct score prediction: Burnley 1-1 Watford

With both teams in good form, they may cancel each other out. Burnley are winless in two home games while Watford are the same away, so a draw may come into fruition.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hornets expected to be stung

  • HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60.0%
  • DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
  • AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

According to the implied probabilities, Burnley are fully expected to take home all three points at Turf Moor, despite having to settle for draws in their previous two home encounters. Meanwhile, another stalemate is thought to be the next most likely outcome, followed by a Watford away win.

Also, feel free to check out our expert predictions and football betting tips today.

Most recent H2Hs: Another cagey clash?

The previous five H2Hs have produced just seven goals in total, and the winners have only won by a one-goal margin. Thus, we could expect another tight affair this weekend.

England Championship 14/02/23

Burnley

Burnley

1
Watford

Watford

1

England Championship 12/08/22

Watford

Watford

1
Burnley

Burnley

0

England Premier League 30/04/22

Watford

Watford

1
Burnley

Burnley

2

England Premier League 05/02/22

Burnley

Burnley

0
Watford

Watford

0

England Premier League 25/06/20

Burnley

Burnley

1
Watford

Watford

0

Burnley preview: Clarets aiming for automatic promotion

Burnley are currently four points behind Championship leaders Sheffield United in the table, and will be aiming for automatic promotion straight back up to the Premier League. Should they do so, they need to find the extra edge to win these kind of home fixtures instead of drawing them.

Predicted lineup: Trafford (GK), Humphreys, Egan-Riley, Egan, Pires, Cullen, Brownhill, Koleosho, Laurent, Anthony & Rodriguez

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Millwall

Millwall

1

Burnley

Burnley

3

England Championship 26/04/25

W

QPR

QPR

0

Burnley

Burnley

5

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

1

Burnley

Burnley

2

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Watford

Watford

1

Burnley

Burnley

2

England Championship 11/04/25

W

Norwich

Norwich

1

Burnley

Burnley

2

Watford preview: Hornets hoping to cause upset

It would be somewhat of an upset if Watford were to beat Burnley at Turf Moor. Nonetheless, their recent impressive form suggests that they are capable of pulling out a surprise result.

Predicted lineup: Bachmann (GK), Porteous, Pollock, Morris, Ngakia, Sissoko, Louza, Vata, Baah, Chakvetadze & Bayo

England Championship 03/05/25

D

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

1

Watford

Watford

1

England Championship 26/04/25

L

Blackburn

Blackburn

2

Watford

Watford

1

England Championship 21/04/25

L

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

1

Watford

Watford

0

England Championship 18/04/25

L

Burnley

Burnley

2

Watford

Watford

1

England Championship 12/04/25

L

West Brom

West Brom

2

Watford

Watford

1

Player to watch – Kwadwo Baah

Watford's Kwadwo Baah has been a real threat for the Hornets recently – Photo by Icon Sport

Kwadwo Baah has produced a goal and an assist in his previous two games for Watford, and so is in decent form ahead of their visit to Burnley. If the Hornets are to cause an upset, they will need Baah to be on-song once more.


Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.