Burnley’s promotion push takes them to South Wales this weekend. Our Swansea vs Burnley prediction considers whether the Clarets can claim all the points.
Contents
Swansea vs Burnley prediction: Bore draw at the Swansea.com Stadium
Key stats
- Our Swansea vs Burnley betting tips take into account that only 22% of the away games for Scott Parker’s team in the league have seen both teams score.
- Just one of the last eight Swansea games in the Championship have seen both teams score.
- Only two Championship sides have drawn more matches than Burnley (15).
Correct score prediction: Swansea 0-0 Burnley
The last three Swansea matches have produced just two goals in total, so it’s very hard to see the visit of this brilliant Burnley defence leading to anything but a tight game.
The Clarets have only let in 0.30 goals per game in the English second tier this season, but their automatic promotion push has been dented by too many draws, and a repeat is certainly possible here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Burnley the clear favourites
- HOME: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Swansea vs Burnley odds, with an implied probability of 47.6% that they win this match.
They head into this game following a 1-1 draw at home to West Brom, with Zian Flemming netting the goal for Scott Parker’s men.
As for Swansea, they lost 1-0 at Watford on Wednesday night, despite having more shots and more possession than their opponents in that game.
For more from the upcoming games in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Clarets targeting fourth win on the spin
Our Swansea vs Burnley prediction suggests the visitors will fall just short of a fourth win on the bounce against this opposition.
The Swans haven’t beaten the Lancashire club since a 1-0 Premier League home win in February 2018.
England Championship 10/11/24
Burnley
Swansea
England Championship 02/01/23
Swansea
Burnley
England Championship 15/10/22
Burnley
Swansea
England Premier League 10/02/18
Swansea
Burnley
England Premier League 18/11/17
Burnley
Swansea
Swansea preview: Delcroix ineligible against parent club
The hosts will have to cope without Hannes Delcroix, who can’t play against his parent club. They are also missing Kristian Pedersen and Myles Peart-Harris due to injuries.
Predicted Lineup: Vigouroux (GK), Tymon, Darling, Cabango, Key, O’Brien, Franco, Ronald, Cullen, Eom & Vipotnik
England Championship 03/05/25 D Oxford Utd 3 Swansea 3 England Championship 26/04/25 L Millwall 1 Swansea 0 England Championship 21/04/25 W QPR 1 Swansea 2 England Championship 18/04/25 W Hull 0 Swansea 1 England Championship 12/04/25 W Sunderland 0 Swansea 1
Burnley preview: Egan-Riley serves ban
The visitors will have to cope without CJ Egan-Riley after his red card against the Baggies. They are also missing Bashir Humphreys, Enock Agyei and Jonjo Shelvey to injuries. Lyle Foster is rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Trafford (GK), Roberts, Esteve, Worrall, Pires, Cullen, Brownhill, Edwards, Hannibal, Koleosho & Flemming
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Millwall
1
Burnley
3
England Championship 26/04/25
W
QPR
0
Burnley
5
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Sheff Utd
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Watford
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 11/04/25
W
Norwich
1
Burnley
2
Player to watch – Josh Brownhill
No player who could feature in this game can better the 12-goal return of Burnley midfielder Josh Brownhill. The 29-year-old has also assisted four times in his 33 Championship appearances this season.
Brownhill striking after the break
67% of the midfielder’s goals this season in the league have come after the interval. He has netted in three of his last five games in all competitions.