Millwall vs Burnley prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 21/02/2023

Millwall
21/02/23 - 19:45

Finished

1

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Burnley

Millwall - Burnley

England Championship - The Den

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Here we bring you Championship predictions for Millwall vs Burnley with the game due to take place on 21st February.

Millwall vs Burnley prediction and top betting tips

Burnley beat Sheffield United at the weekend to put a dent in their title aspirations and give Burnley boost. Can they now level that playing field by beating the league leaders? Find out with our Millwall vs Burnley match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Millwall vs Burnley Prediction 1: Burnley to win

Millwall might be in good form but we kick off our predictions by backing Burnley to win this game. As mentioned already, Millwall arrive here off the back of a great win over Burnley's title rivals – Sheffield United – but that game will have taken a fair bit out of the Lions. It's also worth noting that Millwall's home form, whilst not a disaster, isn't amazing with just two wins in their last six. Contrast that to how well Burnley have been performing on the road where they have five wins and a draw from their last seven away games and you'll quickly start to see why we see a Burnley win as good value. Burnley have won on three of their last four visits to the Den too whilst they haven't lost there since 2006!

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Millwall vs Burnley Prediction 2: Burnley Win to Nil

Our next tip again focuses on Burnley winning the game but this time we go gunning for bigger odds as we back the Clarets to win to nil. Vincent Kompany's men have not conceded in any of their last three away games whilst Millwall have failed to score in two of their last five home matches. As for the head to head record, each of Burnley's last three wins at Millwall's stadium have come to nil. With the odds on offer, we think this is a really decent shout.

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Millwall vs Burnley

Head to Head

28/01/23

England Championship CHA

Millwall

Millwall

Burnley

Burnley

0

0

30/08/22

England Championship CHA

Burnley

Burnley

Millwall

Millwall

2

0

23/09/20

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Millwall

Millwall

Burnley

Burnley

0

2

Last Five - Millwall

24/02/24

England Championship CHA

Southampton

Southampton

Millwall

Millwall

1

2

W

17/02/24

England Championship CHA

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

Millwall

Millwall

2

0

L

14/02/24

England Championship CHA

Ipswich

Ipswich

Millwall

Millwall

4

0

L

11/02/24

England Championship CHA

Coventry

Coventry

Millwall

Millwall

2

1

L

03/02/24

England Championship CHA

Hull

Hull

Millwall

Millwall

1

0

L

Last Five - Burnley

24/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Burnley

Burnley

3

0

L

17/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Arsenal

Arsenal

Burnley

Burnley

5

0

L

10/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Liverpool

Liverpool

Burnley

Burnley

3

1

L

03/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Fulham

Fulham

Burnley

Burnley

2

2

D

31/01/24

England Premier League EPL

Man City

Man City

Burnley

Burnley

3

1

L

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the Millwall vs Burnley odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game? Let's find out.

Millwall odds: 19/10 (2.90) – 35%

Draw odds: 9/4 (3.25) – 31%

Burnley odds: 16/11 (2.45) – 41%

As you can see from the above, Burnley come into this game as favourites but with the bookies affording them just a 41% chance of actually taking the win there will likely be a large pool of punters getting on them to win whether that be bigger single bets or as an odds-boosting selection for accumulators. 16/11 (2.45) for the league leaders to win is a big price whatever way you spin it. As for other markets that might peak interest, thetotal goals is perhaps a key one to look out for; Millwall and Sheffield United shared five goals on Saturday but the bookies see this game going under 2.5 goals!

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Millwall vs Burnley

Millwall

Millwall turned in a mammoth performance to beat Sheffield United at the weekend to keep up their own promotion push. On one hand, that performance would have taken some energy out of their legs but momentum will be a big factor as they look to lock down a top six finish. With their squad not as deep as the likes of Burnley's as well, an unchanged lineup is quite likely.

Predicted lineup – Long, McNamara, Cresswell, Cooper, Wallace, Shackleton, Saville, Burke, Flemming, Voglsammer, Bradshaw

Burnley

Burnley continue to look like an unstoppable force at the top of the Championship table as they simply “find a way” to keep winning. The quick turnaround from Saturday afternoon to Tuesday evening is a big part of life in the second tier but Vincent Kompany has, probably, the deepest squad in the league. With that in mind, we can expect a few changes here with the front end especially likely to be refreshed.

Predicted lineup – Muric, Maatsen, Taylor, Ekdal, Roberts, Cork, Cullen, Tella, Twine, Vitinho, Obafemi

Millwall vs Burnley Line ups

Millwall

Millwall
23
George Saville
gb
19
Duncan Watmore
gb
5
Jake Cooper
gb
3
Murray Wallace
gb
39
George Honeyman
gb
1
George Long
gb
21
Andreas Voglsammer
de
10
Zian Flemming
nl
2
Danny McNamara
ie
16
Jamie Shackleton
gb
15
Charlie Cresswell
gb
Substitutes
50
Romain Esse
gb
22
Aidomo Emakhu
ie
33
Bartosz Bialkowski
pl
9
Tom Bradshaw
gb
6
George Evans
gb
18
Ryan Leonard
gb
11
Scott Malone
gb

Burnley

Burnley
14
Connor Roberts
gb
22
Vitinho
br
29
Ian Maatsen
nl
28
Ameen Al-Dakhil
be
10
Ashley Barnes
gb
19
Anass Zaroury
ma
49
Arijanet Muric
xk
11
Scott Twine
gb
8
Josh Brownhill
gb
24
Joshua Cullen
ie
18
Hjalmar Ekdal
se
Substitutes
4
Jack Cork
gb
15
Bailey Peacock-Farrell
gb
45
Michael Obafemi
ie
12
Lyle Foster
za
23
Nathan Tella
gb
7
Johann Gudmundsson
is
3
Charlie Taylor
gb

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

Despite the host of talent Burnley will bring to this game, it is impossible to look beyond Millwall forward Tom Bradshaw. They say confidence is one of the biggest things a striker needs and Bradshaw will be buzzing after his weekend performance; he bagged a hat-trick against Sheffield United.

Take a look at the latest standings

Championship
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Leicester

Leicester

34 25 3 6 41 78
2 Leeds

Leeds

34 22 6 6 37 72
3 Ipswich

Ipswich

34 21 9 4 23 72
4 Southampton

Southampton

34 20 7 7 23 67
5 West Brom

West Brom

35 17 8 10 18 59
6 Hull

Hull

34 16 7 11 7 55
7 Norwich

Norwich

34 15 7 12 8 52
8 Preston

Preston

34 15 7 12 -5 52
9 Coventry

Coventry

35 13 12 10 10 51
10 Sunderland

Sunderland

34 14 5 15 7 47
11 Watford

Watford

34 11 11 12 3 44
12 Bristol City

Bristol City

34 12 8 14 0 44
13 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

33 13 5 15 -2 44
14 Cardiff

Cardiff

34 13 5 16 -9 44
15

Plymouth

34 10 10 14 -4 40
16 Blackburn

Blackburn

34 11 6 17 -12 39
17 Swansea

Swansea

34 10 9 15 -12 39
18 Birmingham

Birmingham

33 10 8 15 -13 38
19 Huddersfield

Huddersfield

34 8 13 13 -15 37
20 Millwall

Millwall

34 9 9 16 -14 36
21 QPR

QPR

34 9 8 17 -13 35
22 Stoke

Stoke

34 9 8 17 -17 35
23 Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

34 9 5 20 -25 32
24 Rotherham

Rotherham

34 3 10 21 -36 19

A quickfire FAQ on Millwall – Burnley

millwall vs burnley prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – The Den
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Burnley
  • What time does the match kick off?  19:45 GMT

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Ash Munson

Ash an experienced sports writer who has an extensive background in data analytics. Here, he combines those skills to provide you, the reader, with engaging and well researched content. Oh, and Ash is an Ipswich Town fan!