Millwall vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/11/2024
Burnley in action - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Correct score: Millwall 1-1 Burnley

The last two league games between these sides at The Den have finished 1-1.

The Den sets the stage for a compelling EFL Championship clash as Millwall welcome high-flying Burnley on Sunday, November 3rd. Scott Parker's Burnley side, currently occupying second place, will aim to reduce Sunderland's five-point lead at the summit. However, Neil Harris's Millwall are hoping to elevate themselves from their mid-table position.

Millwall vs Burnley prediction: Tactical stalemate on the cards

Key stats

  • Millwall have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their home fixtures this season.
  • Burnley remain undefeated against Millwall in their last six league encounters.
  • The Clarets have lost just once on the road this season.

Correct score prediction: Millwall 1-1 Burnley

All signs point toward a closely contested affair here where goals could well come at a premium.  Millwall has endured a recent scoring drought, having not netted more than once in their last five Championship outings. Furthermore, Burnley have scored 4 goals in their last 4 away fixtures, suggesting a decent possibility of a 1-1 result.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Burnley slight favourites

  • HOME: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.40%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.30%
  • AWAY: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.00%

Burnley might be second in the league, but we all know that Millwall is a tough place to get a result at. This appears to be factored into the odds for this game, with Burnley given a 37.00% chance by the bookies, which is only slightly higher than Millwall with a 36.40% probability of victory.

Take a moment to check our football betting tips page for more predictions over the coming week!

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Most recent H2Hs: Burnley's dominance continues

The history between these teams favours the visitors, with Burnley maintaining an impressive unbeaten streak against the Lions in their previous six league meetings. They’ve won four of those six meetings, too. And this psychological advantage could help them out in the upcoming encounter.

England Championship 21/02/23

Millwall

Millwall

1
Burnley

Burnley

1

England Championship 28/01/23

Millwall

Millwall

0
Burnley

Burnley

0

England Championship 30/08/22

Burnley

Burnley

2
Millwall

Millwall

0

England EFL Cup 23/09/20

Millwall

Millwall

0
Burnley

Burnley

2

Millwall preview: Lions finding their feet

Sitting 10th, the Lions aren't exactly setting the world alight, but they're no pushovers either. Their home form's been decent enough, and that rock-solid defence might just be the foundation they need to start climbing the table.

Predicted Lineup: Jensen (GK); Leonard, Tanganga, Cooper, Bryan; De Norre, Saville; Esse, Honeyman, Azeez; Longstaff

England Championship 03/05/25

L

Burnley

Burnley

3

Millwall

Millwall

1

England Championship 26/04/25

W

Swansea

Swansea

0

Millwall

Millwall

1

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Norwich

Norwich

1

Millwall

Millwall

3

England Championship 18/04/25

L

Blackburn

Blackburn

4

Millwall

Millwall

1

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

Millwall

Millwall

1

Burnley preview: Promotion chase in full swing

You've got to hand it to Parker's boys – they're making a real fist of this promotion push. Second in the table with 23 points from 12 games tells its own story, and their away form's been nothing short of brilliant.

Predicted Lineup: Trafford (GK); Roberts, Egan-Riley, Esteve, Pires; Cullen, Laurent, Brownhill; Koleosho, Anthony, Flemming

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Millwall

Millwall

1

Burnley

Burnley

3

England Championship 26/04/25

W

QPR

QPR

0

Burnley

Burnley

5

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

1

Burnley

Burnley

2

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Watford

Watford

1

Burnley

Burnley

2

England Championship 11/04/25

W

Norwich

Norwich

1

Burnley

Burnley

2

Player to watch – Josh Brownhill (Burnley)

Brownhill is currently the joint 4th top scorer in the Championship this season. Burnley’s captain has shown time and time again why he deserves to wear the yellow armband. Not only has he netted 5 goals in 12 games, but he’s played a key role in helping Burnley pick up points in the wider sense, too.

Millwall vs Burnley prediction
Josh Brownhill – Photo by Imago

So, for us, Brownhill is the man to keep an eye on in this one!


Gavin is a full-time betting expert based in the UK with over five years of specialised experience in sports wagering and online gambling. His passion for football drives much of his content, though his expertise extends across multiple sports including horse racing, tennis, and cricket. During his time covering the betting landscape, he has written thousands of articles exploring every facet of sports wagering. Gavin brings particular insight to match previews and betting tips, combining statistical analysis with on-pitch knowledge to identify value bets.