Burnley vs Manchester City – prediction, preview & betting tips – 22/04/2026
Can Pep Guardiola guide Man City to more glory? - Conor Molloy / Photo by IMAGO / Pro Sports Images
🔥 Our Hot tip

Man City to win (-3 handicap)

Six of Man City's last 14 H2H wins have been by 4+ goals.

Manchester City can go top of the Premier League table if they beat Burnley at Turf Moor on Wednesday night.

After beating nearest title rivals Arsenal 2-1 at the Etihad Stadium, the Cityzens moved to within three points of the Gunners with a game in hand.

Meanwhile, Burnley lost 4-1 at Nottingham Forest, meaning they are 12 points from safety with West Ham United still to play Crystal Palace on Monday Night Football.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our Today's betting tips page for more of our expert Premier League predictions!

Burnley vs. Manchester City key stats

  • Burnley are on a three-game losing run.
  • Man City have won four matches in a row in all competitions.
  • Man City have won the last 14 H2Hs across all competitions.

Burnley vs. Manchester City preview: Cityzens win inevitable?

Burnley vs. Man City Tale of the Tape
Burnley vs Man City
19thPosition2nd
20Points67
34Goals For65
67Goals Against29
4Clean Sheets13
20thHome Rank1st
19thAway Rank2nd

A swift relegation back to the Championship seems inevitable for Burnley.

They are 12 points away from safety, and will be relegated if West Ham get a positive result at Palace and they lose to Man City.

Given their atrocious H2H record against the Cityzens, it is highly unlikely that they will take any points, but on home soil, they will at least want to put in a battling performance.

The Clarets are huge underdogs here, and may already be preparing for Championship football next season under Scott Parker.

As for Man City, victory over Arsenal has put the Premier League title in their hands.

They have already won the Carabao Cup, and look forward to an FA Cup semi-final against Southampton this weekend.

Indeed, the Cityzens are now on for a domestic treble, which could bring the perfect ending to Pep Guardiola's reign.

The Spaniard has not yet committed his future to the Etihad Stadium, increasing speculation that this could be his final season in charge.

Burnley vs. Manchester City form guide & betting tips

Last 5 Form Guide - Premier League
Burnley vs Man City
L-D-L-L-L League Form W-D-D-W-W
1Points11
20thForm Table1st
2Goals For9
11Goals Against4
L-D-L-L-LForm (all comps)L-W-W-W-W

Whispers predicts: Burnley 0-4 Manchester City

Man City are as short as 1/6 to win, and while we agree with the bookmakers, these odds are far too short for us to back.

Instead, we are exploring the handicap market, as goal difference could play a part if the Cityzens are to win the title.

Man City to win (-3 handicap) at 11/4 therefore appeals to us, as Man City won by a four-goal margin in the reverse fixture.

In the same vein, Over 3.5 goals at 19/20 is also a bet we are willing to take.

Erling Haaland netted the winner against Arsenal, and boasts an exceptional scoring record against Burnley.

Having scored a brace in the reverse fixture, Haaland to score 2+ goals at 15/8 is our final punt.

Overall, we are predicting a 4-0 Man City win, which is available at 9/1.

📈 Whispers' Tips

> Over 3.5 goals at 19/20 | Likelihood: Probable

> Haaland to score 2+ goals at 15/8 | Likelihood: Possible

> Man City to win (-3 handicap) at 11/4 | Likelihood: Outsider

epl predictions this weekend

Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.