Luton Town will make the trip to Turf Moor for their Championship clash with Burnley on Saturday, 8 March 2025. View our free Burnley vs Luton predictions below.
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Burnley vs Luton predictions: Hosts to lead at the break
Key stats
- Burnley opened the scoring in five of their last seven games, and also in four consecutive meetings between these teams.
- The Clarets led at the half-time break in each of their last three encounters with Luton Town.
- Each of Luton’s last seven games went below the 2.5-goal line.
- Burnley kept 12 clean sheets in their last 13 league matches.
Correct score prediction: Burnley 2-0 Luton
Burnley have no losses in their last 22 league games, keeping 18 clean sheets in the process. They also haven't lost against Luton since the 1978/79 season. All things considered, we believe the Clarets will win while keeping a clean sheet.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Burnley are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
- AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Luton Town defeated Portsmouth by a lone goal earlier this week, putting an end to their 13-game winless streak. Matt Bloomfield's men will have a tough task ahead of them as they take on one of the league's best teams on the road.
Interestingly, Burnley are the only Championship team that has not lost at home this season. The Clarets are also on an impressive 22-game unbeaten run in the league.
Keeping that in mind, it is unsurprising that Burnley are the expected winners at 8/13 (1.62). Teams with these odds usually have a 61.9% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Burnley vs Luton predictions.
Also, each of Luton's last seven matches, and 10 of Burnley's last 13 league games went south of the 2.5-goal marker. For this reason, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 13/20 (1.65). That one has a 60.6% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Luton's struggles to continue?
Burnley have not lost to Luton in over 45 years, although, to be fair, these teams have clashed only five times in the last 18 years.
England Championship 12/08/24
Luton
Burnley
England Premier League 12/01/24
Burnley
Luton
England Premier League 03/10/23
Luton
Burnley
England Premier League 19/08/23
Luton
Burnley
England Championship 18/02/23
Luton
Burnley
Burnley preview: No new injury concerns
Aaron Ramsey (hamstring) is the only absentee for the Clarets this weekend.
Predicted lineup: Trafford (GK), Pires, Esteve, Egan-Riley, Roberts, Cullen, Brownhill, Edwards, Mejbri, Anthony & Flemming.
England Championship 11/04/25
W
Norwich
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 08/04/25
D
Derby
0
Burnley
0
England Championship 05/04/25
W
Coventry
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 29/03/25
W
Bristol City
0
Burnley
1
England Championship 15/03/25
W
Swansea
0
Burnley
2
Luton preview: Eyeing back-to-back wins for the first time since September
Things are not going swimmingly for Luton on the injury front, as up to five players are sidelined this weekend because of injuries, including Reece Burke, Tom Lockyer, Tahith Chong, Shandon Baptiste and Teden Mengi.
Predicted lineup: Kaminski (GK), Makosso, Naismith, Bell, Doughty, Aasgaard, Clark, Walsh, Jones, Morris & Brown.
England Championship 12/04/25
L
Blackburn
1
Luton
0
England Championship 08/04/25
D
Stoke
1
Luton
1
England Championship 05/04/25
D
Leeds
1
Luton
1
England Championship 29/03/25
W
Hull
0
Luton
1
England Championship 15/03/25
D
Middlesbrough
0
Luton
0
Player to watch: Lucas Pires
Lucas Pires' competitive debut for Burnley came in the reverse fixture of this clash, and the Brazilian defender was impressive, setting up two goals in the Clarets' 4-1 win. However, Pires has had no direct goal involvement since then. It will be interesting to see how he performs against Luton once again.