Burnley vs Luton prediction, odds & betting tips 12/01/2024

Burnley
12/01/24 - 19:45

Finished

1

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1

Luton

Burnley - Luton

England Premier League - Turf Moor

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Here are our Premier League predictions for Luton's trip to Turf Moor to face fellow relegation battlers, Burnley. Burnley haven't lost against Luton since the year 2000 but the Hatters sit four points and one place above Vincent Kompany's men heading into Friday's big game at the foot of the table.

Burnley vs Luton prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Both Teams to Score

  • Four of the last seven meetings between these two clubs have ended with both teams scoring.
  • Both teams have scored in four of LUton's last six outings in all competitions.

Another reason that we have backed BTTS as our main prediction is that hosts Burnley have only kept one clean sheet in their last six attempts.

Latest odds

Head to Head

03/10/23

England Premier League EPL

Luton

Luton

Burnley

Burnley

1

2

19/08/23

England Premier League EPL

Luton

Luton

Burnley

Burnley

0

0

18/02/23

England Championship CHA

Luton

Luton

Burnley

Burnley

0

1

06/08/22

England Championship CHA

Burnley

Burnley

Luton

Luton

1

1

Last Five - Burnley

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

Burnley

Burnley

2

1

L

11/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Tottenham

Tottenham

Burnley

Burnley

2

1

L

04/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Burnley

Burnley

4

1

L

27/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Man Utd

Man Utd

Burnley

Burnley

1

1

D

20/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

Burnley

Burnley

1

4

W

Last Five - Luton

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Fulham

Fulham

Luton

Luton

4

2

L

11/05/24

England Premier League EPL

West Ham

West Ham

Luton

Luton

3

1

L

03/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Everton

Everton

Luton

Luton

1

1

D

27/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

Luton

Luton

2

1

L

20/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Brentford

Brentford

Luton

Luton

5

1

L

Win probability

  • HOME: 1/1 (2.00) – 50%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
  • AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

Burnley are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 50%, and history favours Vincent Kompany's side. If you want more football betting tips on this Premier League encounter, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.

The Burnley duo of Lyle Foster and Jay Rodriguez are both priced at 12/5 (3.40) to score against Luton which has a probability of 29.4%, but if you want to go with a Luton player to score then Carlton Morris has the best odds of 3/1 (4.00) with a probability of 25%.

Burnley vs Luton prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 1-1

  • Three of the last six league meetings between Burnley and Luton have ended in draws.
  • These two sides have only kept three clean sheets in their last twelve matches combined.

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Five of the last six encounters between these two clubs have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Five of Burnley's last six outings in league and cup have featured fewer than three goals.

burnley vs luton

Burnley vs Luton team news

Burnley

Burnley made the tricky trip to Villa Park for their last league game. Despite their best efforts, coming from behind twice, Burnley slipped to a 3-2 defeat thanks to a late Aston Villa penalty. The good news for Vincent Kompany was seeing both Mohamed Amdouni and Lyle Foster getting on the scoreboard, two players that should score more goals for Burnley.

Luca Koleosho, Hjalmar Ekdal and Jordan Beyer are the three main injury concerns for the hosts ahead of their big game against Luton on Friday night.

Predicted Lineup: Trafford (GK), Taylor, O'Shea, Delcroix, Vitinho, Guðmunds­son, Brownhill, Berge, Foster, Amdouni & Odobert

Luton

Similarly to Burnley, Luton put in plenty of effort in their last league game at home to Chelsea but ended up on the wrong end of a 3-2 scoreline. To be fair to Chelsea, the Londoners were 3-0 up before Ross Barkley scored against his old club to make it 3-1 with ten minutes left on the clock and top scorer Elijah Adebayo pulled another goal back in the eighty-seventh minute to make the scoreline even more respectable.

Marvelous Nakamba, Reece Burke and Dan Potts are all injury concerns for Luton, while Issa Kabore is away at the Africa Cup of Nations.

Predicted Lineup: Kaminski (GK), Bell, Osho, Mengi, Kaboré, Townsend, Barkley, Sambi Lokonga, Doughty, Adebayo & Brown 

Burnley

Burnley
4-4-2
1
James Trafford
gb
22
Vitinho
br
2
Dara O'Shea
ie
28
Ameen Al-Dakhil
be
18
Hjalmar Ekdal
se
7
Johann Gudmundsson
is
8
Josh Brownhill
gb
24
Josh Cullen
ie
47
Wilson Odobert
fr
17
Lyle Foster
za
25
Zeki Amdouni
ch
Substitutes
10
Benson Manuel
be
34
Jacob Bruun Larsen
dk
49
Arijanet Muric
xk
19
Anass Zaroury
ma
6
CJ Egan-Riley
gb
9
Jay Rodriguez
gb
4
Jack Cork
gb
31
Mike Tresor
be
14
Connor Roberts
gb

Luton

Luton
3-4-2-1
24
Thomas Kaminski
be
15
Teden Mengi
gb
2
Gabriel Osho
gb
29
Amari Bell
jm
7
Chiedozie Ogbene
ie
28
Albert Sambi Lokonga
be
6
Ross Barkley
gb
45
Alfie Doughty
gb
30
Andros Townsend
gb
18
Jordan Clark
gb
11
Elijah Adebayo
gb
Substitutes
8
Luke Berry
gb
10
Cauley Woodrow
gb
3
Dan Potts
gb
14
Tahith Chong
cw
26
Ryan Giles
gb
17
Ruddock Pelly
cd
9
Carlton Morris
gb
16
Reece Burke
gb
23
Tim Krul
nl

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Elijah Adebayo

Luton's Elijah Adebayo started the season slowly in terms of his goals return but with three goals in his last five league games, the former Walsall man appears to have found his form.

Adebayo top scores for Luton in the Premier League with five goals and the tall but skillful forward could be the man to earn Luton at least a point on Friday night against a Burnley defense that doesn't keep many clean sheets.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.