Luton and Burnley were playing one another in the Premier League last season but they now kick off the new season in the Championship against one another on Monday night.
We're expecting an entertaining game between two sides that will be looking to bounce back to the top flight of English football at the very first attempt, so a win in their opening fixture would provide the ideal start to a long and hard campaign.
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Luton vs Burnley prediction: Goals at both ends of the pitch?
Key Stats
- Five of Luton's last six outings have ended with both teams scoring.
- Three of the last four league meetings between these two clubs, including both Premier League encounters, saw both teams score.
- Luton vice-captain Carlton Morris proved a handful for a lot of Premier League defences last season, scoring 11 goals.
Correct score prediction: Luton 2-1 Burnley
Luton have scored at least two goals in three of their last six matches but have only managed to keep one clean sheet during that period, while Burnley have scored in each of their last six fixtures.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Luton the slight favourite
- HOME: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 133/67 (2.99) – 33.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Luton are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 40%, and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this selection.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Burnley lead
Monday's guests have picked up two wins and three draws from their last five encounters with Luton and the last meeting back in January ended 1-1.
England Premier League 12/01/24
Burnley
Luton
England Premier League 03/10/23
Luton
Burnley
England Premier League 19/08/23
Luton
Burnley
England Championship 18/02/23
Luton
Burnley
England Championship 06/08/22
Burnley
Luton
Luton preview: Have kept most of their team together
The Hatters haven't spent any money so far this summer but have signed teenager Reuell Walters from Arsenal and Brentford's Shandon Baptise on free transfers.
Ross Barkley left to join Aston Villa for around £5m and full-back Ryan Giles went to Hull for a similar amount, while Gabriel Osho and Luke Berry were released at the end of their contracts.
Keeping a hold of the majority of their side that battled so bravely against relegation from the Premier League last season could prove key to Luton returning to the top flight this season as the likes of Morris and Adebayo form an excellent partnership and should continue to bang in the goals in the Championship.
Predicted lineup: Ogbene (GK), Doughty, Walters, Mengi, Johnson, Clark, Chong, Baptiste, Morris & Adebayo
England Championship 30/08/24
L
QPR
2
Luton
1
England EFL Cup 27/08/24
L
QPR
1 (4)
Luton
1 (1)
England Championship 24/08/24
L
Preston
1
Luton
0
England Championship 17/08/24
D
Portsmouth
0
Luton
0
England Championship 12/08/24
L
Burnley
4
Luton
1
Burnley preview: Splashed the cash this summer
Scott Parker has been given the task of guiding Burnley back to the top flight this season and the former England international has been backed by the club who have spent around £35m on new players this summer.
Mike Trésor, Maxime Estève, Andreas Hountondji, Lucas Pires, Shurandy Sambo, Vaclav Hladky and Etienne Green have all joined Parker at Burnley this season, while Arijanet Muric, Peacock-Farrell, Charlie Taylor, Samuel Bastien, Jack Cork and Lawrence Vigouroux have all departed.
Clearly, the Burnley owners mean business and we're backing Parker's side to be there or thereabouts at the end of the campaign, challenging for a place in the Premier League.
Predicted lineup: Hladky (GK), O'Shea, Brownhill, Roberts, Foster, Zaroury, Vitinho, Cullen, Koleosho, Esteve & Odobert
England Championship 31/08/24
D
Blackburn
1
Burnley
1
England EFL Cup 28/08/24
L
Wolverhampton
2
Burnley
0
England Championship 24/08/24
L
Sunderland
1
Burnley
0
England Championship 17/08/24
W
Cardiff
0
Burnley
5
England Championship 12/08/24
W
Luton
1
Burnley
4
Player to watch – Elijah Adebayo
Elijah Adebayo enjoyed a great first season in the Premier League for Luton, netting 10 goals in 26 appearances.
The 26-year-old formed a great partnership with Carlton Morris and the two provided a platform for the Hatters to pick up plenty of points and almost did enough to keep them in the top flight.
The Hatters' striker impressed in the Premier League last season
We're backing Adebayo to shine in the Championship this season, should he stay at Luton, and wouldn't be surprised if he starred against Burnley on Monday night.
