Hull face an incredibly tough test on Wednesday night as they will take on the high-flying Burnley squad. This one sees 14th placed Hull hoping to cause an upset against 2nd place Burnley at the MKM Stadium. But what do the statistics show us?
Contents
Hull vs Burnley prediction: Burnley set for yet another win on the road
Key stats
- Hull have picked up just 5 points from 5 home games this season
- Burnley have scored 16 goals in 10 league games so far
- Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 games between these sides
- Burnley has the second-best away record in the league with 10 points from 5 games
Correct score prediction: Hull 1-2 Burnley
Hull’s home form hasn’t been fantastic this season, but they are averaging 1 goal per game on home soil. In contrast, Burnley has scored 7 goals in 5 away from home, and they have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures. Taking that into account, we believe a 2-1 win for Burnley is on the cards here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hull marginally favoured
- HOME: 31/20 (2.55) – 39.20%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.40%
- AWAY: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.10%
Based on current standings, it seems unusual for Hull to be favourites here, with a 39.20% chance of victory. As for 2nd place Burnley, they have a 38.10% probability of bagging another away victory – as determined by the most recent odds.
Check out our football betting tips page if you’re looking to place more wagers on top midweek games.
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Most recent H2Hs: Plenty of goals with an edge for Burnley
Looking at recent encounters between these two, neither side struggles to put goals past the other. There have been 10 goals scored in the last 4 meetings between these squads, although Burnley did win the most recent encounter 3-1. That said, Hull typically manages to score a goal or two when facing Burnley at home.
England Championship 15/03/23
Hull
Burnley
England Championship 16/08/22
Burnley
Hull
England Premier League 25/02/17
Hull
Burnley
England Premier League 10/09/16
Burnley
Hull
England Championship 06/02/16
Burnley
Hull
Hull preview: 14th place following back-to-back losses
Hull had picked things up in recent times concerning their results in the Championship. They put together three straight wins not long ago, but have since lost two games on the bounce and conceded 5 goals in the process.
Predicted Lineup: Allsop (GK); Coyle, Jones, Greaves, Elder; Seri, Slater; Connolly, Twine, Tufan; Delap
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Portsmouth
1
Hull
1
England Championship 26/04/25
L
Derby
1
Hull
0
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Preston
1
Hull
2
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Swansea
1
Hull
0
England Championship 14/04/25
D
Coventry
1
Hull
1
Burnley preview: 2nd place and real promotion contenders
Burnley have looked like a Premier League squad for most of their 24/25 campaign so far, as you’d expect. They’ve lost just one game so far, which was to top-ranked Sunderland. And with 6 wins from 10, they are streets ahead of Hull.
Predicted Lineup: Trafford (GK); Roberts, O'Shea, Beyer, Taylor; Cullen, Berge; Vitinho, Brownhill, Koleosho; Foster
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Millwall
1
Burnley
3
England Championship 26/04/25
W
QPR
0
Burnley
5
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Sheff Utd
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Watford
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 11/04/25
W
Norwich
1
Burnley
2
Player to watch – Josh Brownhill (Burnley)
It goes without saying that you don’t find yourself toward the top of the Championship without a clinical goalscorer. For Burnley, that man is Josh Brownhill, and he has scored 5 goals in 10 appearances this season.
Brownhill showed his class on the road again recently by scoring in a 2-0 win over Sheffield Wednesday, so he’s clearly in great form!