Burnley host Everton at Turf Moor on Saturday evening in a crucial Premier League clash between a team fighting relegation and a side eyeing Europe.
The hosts are desperate for their first win since October after a hard-fought 1-1 battle at Bournemouth, while the visitors arrive hungry to snap their two-game skid.
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Burnley vs Everton prediction: Festive cheers for Toffees
Key stats
- Burnley have not won any of their last eight matches.
- The Clarets have struggled defensively, conceding in nine straight games and letting in the opening goal in each of their past six matches.
- Six of Everton's last eight matches have produced under three goals.
Correct score prediction: Burnley 0-1 Everton
Burnley's eight home league games have totalled just 17 goals, the lowest in the league.
We're backing Everton to squeeze past Burnley in a tight, tense affair where chances will be scarce.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Clarets up against it
- HOME: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY: 1/1 (5.00) – 50%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Burnley are desperate to turn things around after a sluggish start to the 2025-26 campaign and now face a crucial test against Everton, sitting seven points adrift of safety.
Scott Parker's men are desperate for victories to fuel their survival hopes, yet with their win probability sitting at just 25.6%, they will need to defy the odds for a weekend triumph.
On the other hand, Everton will look to bounce back from defeats to Chelsea and Arsenal as they return to Lancashire, where they last beat Burnley 2-0 over two years ago.
The bookmakers are backing David Moyes's men to shine, giving them a 50% chance of clinching maximum points.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Everton eyeing fourth successive win
Saturday’s Turf Moor clash rekindles an old rivalry as Everton and Burnley square off for the first time since April 2024, with the hosts aiming to reassert themselves in the Premier League just a season after clawing their way back from the Championship.
Everton swept Burnley in all three meetings during the 2023-24 campaign, dealing them a 3-0 EFL Cup defeat before inflicting 2-0 and 1-0 league losses.
Burnley preview: AFCON contingent headline list of absentees
Burnley will be without Hannibal Mejbri, Lyle Foster, and Axel Tuanzebe due to AFCON duty.
Zeki Amdouni (knee), Jordan Beyer (hamstring), and Connor Roberts (Achilles) remain out, while Esteve (knock) is a doubt.
Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK), Laurent, Ekdal, Esteve, Hartman, Walker, Cullen, Luis, Anthony, Bruun Larsen & Flemming
Burnley's last five matches:
- Bournemouth 1-1 Burnley (Premier League)
- Burnley 2-3 Fulham (Premier League)
- Newcastle United 2-1 Burnley (Premier League)
- Burnley 0-1 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
- Brentford 3-1 Burnley (Premier League)
Everton preview: Trio walking suspension tightrope
James Tarkowski, James Garner and Vitaliy Mykolenko are all on four yellow cards and will need to keep their discipline in check to avoid a fifth caution of the campaign, which would incur a one-game ban.
Senegal's duo Iliman Ndiaye and Idrissa Gueye are unavailable due to their participation in the AFCON.
Meanwhile, Jarrad Brantheaite, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Seamus Coleman are out with hamstring issues.
Predicted lineup: Pickford (GK), Mykolenko, Keane, Tarkowski, O'Brien, Garner, Iroegbunam, Grealish, Dibling, McNeil & Barry
Everton's last five matches:
- Everton 0-1 Arsenal (Premier League)
- Chelsea 2-0 Everton (Premier League)
- Everton 3-0 Nottingham Forest (Premier League)
- Bournemouth 0-1 Everton (Premier League)
- Everton 1-4 Newcastle United (Premier League)
Player to watch – James Garner
At just over €10 million, Garner is a smart buy for Everton and continues to excel.
He has played every league minute this season, highlighting his value at Goodison Park.
Garner leads Everton in shots (1.5), accurate passes (40.4), and interceptions (1.4) per game.