Burnley vs Chelsea prediction, odds & betting tips 22/11/2025
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Burnley to win (+1.5 handicap)

Burnley have only lost one of their last five matches by two goals or more.

Burnley will take on Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday, 22 November, as domestic football returns following the international break.

The visitors will be hoping to build on some good form before the break, while Burnley are looking to bounce back after consecutive defeats.

As part of this week's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Burnley vs Chelsea prediction below.

Burnley vs Chelsea prediction: The Blues to win a tight one

Key Stats

  • Chelsea have only won one of their last five matches by two goals or more in all competitions.
  • Burnley have only lost one home match this season by two goals or more.
  • Both teams have scored in six of Burnley's last eight matches in all competitions.

Correct score prediction: Burnley 1-2 Chelsea

Burnley won't go down easily on Saturday; they never do at Turf Moor, but Chelsea should have too much quality as the match goes deep.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea start as favourites

  • HOME: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
  • DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
  • AWAY: 10/21 (1.48) – 67.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Burnley vs Chelsea odds are weighted heavily in favour of the visitors, which is no surprise when you consider the difference in values between the two squads. Ladbrokes have given Burnley just 15.4% chance of winning the match, while Chelsea have been given a 67.7% chance of victory.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Chelsea dominance

Chelsea have an impressive recent record against Burnley, and are now unbeaten across their 11 matches with the Clarets (eight wins and three draws). Burnley's most recent triumph over Chelsea came all the way back in 2017, when they won 3-2 at Stamford Bridge.

England Premier League 30/03/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

2
Burnley

Burnley

2

England Premier League 07/10/23

Burnley

Burnley

1
Chelsea

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 05/03/22

Burnley

Burnley

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 06/11/21

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 31/01/21

Chelsea

Chelsea

2
Burnley

Burnley

0

Burnley preview: Broja ruled out

Armando Broja was stretchered off for Albania during the international break, and he will certainly miss the match on Saturday. The former Chelsea man joins Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts and Zek Amdouni in the treatment room.

Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK), Walker, Tuanzebe, Esteve, Hartman, Cullen, Florentino, Bruun Larsen, Ugochukwu, Anthony, Flemming

Last five results

  • West Ham 3-2 Burnley
  • Burnley 0-2 Arsenal
  • Wolves 2-3 Burnley
  • Burnley 2-0 Leeds
  • Aston Villa 2-1 Burnley

Chelsea preview: Gittens to shake off knock

Jamie Gittens picked up a minor injury during the international break with the England Under-21s, but the talented winger is expected to be fit enough to be in the Chelsea squad on Saturday. Maresca remains without Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto, Benoit Badiashile, Cole Palmer, Romeo Lavia and Levi Colwill due to injuries.

Predicted lineup: Sanchez (GK), Gusto, Chalobah, Fofana, Cucurella, Caicedo, James, Estevao, Pedro, Garnacho, Delap

Last five results

  • Chelsea 3-0 Wolves
  • Qarabag 2-2 Chelsea
  • Tottenham 0-1 Chelsea
  • Wolves 3-4 Chelsea
  • Chelsea 1-2 Sunderland

Player to watch: Alejandro Garnacho

Alejandro Garnacho
Alejandro Garnacho – Photo by IMAGO/ Sportimage

Alejandro Garnacho had a difficult start to life at Chelsea, but he put in his best performance for the club to date against Wolves just before the international break. The former Man Utd man registered two assists in that match, and he will now want to add to those numbers.

english premier league predictions

Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.