Burnley will take on Cardiff in the Carabao Cup on Tuesday, 23 September, in a tie between two teams that are currently separated by two divisions in the English football pyramid.
The hosts come into the match after a hard-fought draw against Nottingham Forest at the weekend, while Cardiff suffered a 3-1 defeat at the hands of Bradford City.
As part of this week's round of EFL Cup betting tips, check out our Burnley vs Cardiff prediction below.
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Burnley vs Cardiff prediction: The hosts to breeze through
Key Stats
- Burnley have conceded just two goals in their three home matches so far this season, all of which were against teams far superior to Cardiff.
- Cardiff have lost their last three matches against PL opposition.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in three of the four matches played at Turf Moort this season.
Correct score prediction: Burnley 2-0 Cardiff
Cardiff have been doing well in League One, but the 3-1 home defeat to Bradford City at the weekend has likely shocked them. Burnley, meanwhile, are very reliable at home and should have enough to get past their lower league opponents.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Burnley are big favourites
- HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
- AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Burnley vs Cardiff odds are weighted in favour of the hosts, which shouldn't be a surprise given that there are more than 30 places between the two teams in the English football pyramid. Ladbrokes have given Burnley a 63.6% chance of winning the match, while Cardiff have been given an 18.2% chance of victory.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Burnley domination
This is a fixture that Burnley should be looking forward to as they are unbeaten in their last nine matches against Cardiff City, in a run that stretches back to 2013. The two teams played in the Championship last season, and the Clarets completed the double over the Bluebirds, winning 5-0 at home and 2-1 in Wales.
England Championship 04/03/25
Cardiff
Burnley
England Championship 01/03/25
Cardiff
Burnley
England Championship 17/08/24
Burnley
Cardiff
UEFA Super Cup 09/08/24
Burnley
Cardiff
England Championship 08/05/23
Burnley
Cardiff
Burnley preview: A few changes are expected
Scott Parker's priority this season is keeping Burnley in the Championship, so he could use this match as an opportunity to rest some key players. Second-choice goalkeeper, Max Weiss, is expected to start, while summer recruit, Armando Broja, should also be given a chance from the off.
Predicted lineup: Weiss (GK), Laurent, Ekdal, Humphreys, Walker, Mejbri, Luis, Hartman, Edwards, Broja, Anthony
Last five results
- Burnley 1-1 Nottingham Forest
- Burnley 0-1 Liverpool
- Man Utd 3-2 Burnley
- Burnley 2-1 Derby County
- Burnley 2-0 Sunderland
Cardiff preview: Rotation could be in play
Cardiff have their own priorities this season, and bouncing back up to the Championship is far more important to the club than a cup run. The Bluebirds could also field a weakened starting XI, unless they fancy their chances of pulling off an upset.
Predicted lineup: Turner (GK), Ng, Lawlor, Chambers, Bagan, Mafico, Colwill, Nyakuhwa, Robinson, Davies, Salech
Last five results
- Cardiff 1-3 Bradford City
- Exter 0-1 Cardiff
- Stockport 1-1 Cardiff
- Cardiff 4-0 Plymouth
- Cardiff 3-0 Cheltenham
Player to watch: Armando Broja
Armando Broja was signed by Burnley this summer for £20m, but the Albanian striker is yet to start a league match for the Clarets. The former Chelsea man should be given a start here, though, and he will need to impress if he is to wrestle into their league starting XI ahead of Lyle Foster.