Burnley vs Aston Villa – prediction, preview & betting tips – 10/05/2026
Aston Villa are bookies' favourites -Photo by Insidefoto / Alamy
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 3.5 goals

Four of the last six H2Hs have produced over 3.5 goals.

Aston Villa visit Turf Moor to face Burnley in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon on a high after qualifying for the Europa League final in midweek.

The Villans beat Nottingham Forest 4-0 at Villa Park and 4-1 on aggregate to book their place in the final against Freiburg, and now their focus turns to cementing their place in the top five of the league and qualifying for the Champions League for next season.

Meanwhile, Burnley are already relegated and are just playing for pride, with this their first home game under interim boss Michael Jackson.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Burnley vs. Aston Villa key stats

  • Burnley have lost their last five games.
  • Villa's win against Forest ended a three-match losing run.
  • Villa have won four of the previous five H2Hs (D1).

Burnley vs. Aston Villa preview: Villans to get back-to-back victories?

Burnley vs Aston Villa — Tale of the Tape

Burnley vs Aston Villa
19thPosition5th
20Points58
35Goals For48
71Goals Against44
4Clean Sheets9
20thHome / Away Rank10th

This will be Burnley's first home game this season without Scott Parker in charge.

Unfortunately for him, he was recently relieved of his duties after confirmed relegation back to the Championship, and replaced by interim boss Michael Jackson.

The Clarets suffered the same fate under Vincent Kompany too, and are developing an unwanted reputation of being a “yo-yo” club.

Still, they can at least play for pride in these final three games, starting with Villa, and have reported no fresh concerns ahead of the match, with Connor Roberts set to play for the U21s as he continues his recovery from injury.

As for Villa, they will want to carry the euphoria of reaching the Europa League final into this game and their remaining matches in the Premier League, as they aim to finish in the top five and guarantee Champions League football for next season.

The emphatic victory over Forest was also important as it ended a three-game losing streak in all competitions for them, a habit they will need to get out of to ensure a top-five finish.

It is admittedly a short turnaround for Unai Emery's side, but given the gulf in quality between them and Burnley as emphasised by their respective league positions, they should still have too much for them here.

Goalscorer on the night Ollie Watkins had to have his head bandaged after a collision with an opposition player, but he should be fit and firing ahead of the clash, and will certainly be a danger to the Clarets.

Burnley vs. Aston Villa form guide & betting tips

Burnley vs. Aston Villa — Last 5 Form Guide
Burnley vs Aston Villa
LLLLL
Form
WDWLL
0Points7
19thForm Table9th
3Goals For8
13Goals Against7
LLLLL
Form (All Comps)
WLLLW

Whispers predicts: Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa

Villa are 13/20 favourites to win, and while we side with the bookies, we want to explore some more ambitious bets.

Our first pick is BTTS – Yes at 4/5, which has come through in the last six H2Hs.

Over those six meetings, 23 total goals were shared at an average of around 3.8 per game, so Over 3.5 goals at 15/8 is our next bet.

The previous two H2Hs at Turf Moor have also ended in a 3-1 Villa win, so Correct score – 1-3 at 13/1 could be worth a final punt.

📈 Burnley vs. Aston Villa — Whispers' Tips

> BTTS – Yes at 4/5 | Likelihood: Probable

> Over 3.5 goals at 15/8 | Likelihood: Possible

> Correct score – 1-3 at 13/1 | Likelihood: Outsider

epl prediction

Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.