Burnley will take on Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Saturday, 19 September in a match that already feels somewhat significant in the battle to avoid relegation this season.
The hosts have had a rough start to the season on paper, facing Man Utd, Liverpool and Spurs in three of their first four matches. Although they lost all three of those, they will feel they did enough to come away with a point from the matches with the two northern clubs.
Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, need a result here for their new manager, Ange Postecoglou. The Australian is already under pressure after losing in the Carabao Cup to Championship opposition in the week.
As part of this week's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Burnley vs Nottingham Forest prediction below.
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Burnley vs Nottingham Forest prediction: The hosts to receive their karma
Key Stats
- Burnley were a last-minute penalty away from drawing with champions Liverpool last weekend.
- Nottingham Forest have failed to win away from home this season.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in both of Burnley's home Premier League matches this season.
Correct score prediction: Burnley 1-0 Nottingham Forest
Burnley's impressive defensive capabilities were on full show last week as they kept Liverpool out in open play. Doing the same to Nottingham Forest should be easy, while there will be plenty of gaps for them to exploit going the other way.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Forest start as the favourites
- HOME: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Burnley vs Nottingham Forest odds indicate that the visitors should walk away with all three points on Sunday, a notion that is slightly surprising considering their former under Postecoglou. Ladbrokes have given Forest a 46.5% chance of victory on Saturday, while Burnley have been given a 31.3% chance of victory.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Honours even
Burnley and Nottingham Forest have only played each other three times over the past eight years, due to the fact that both teams have had spells in the Championship. Over those three fixtures, both teams have enjoyed one win each, while the other match finished level.
England Premier League 19/05/24
Burnley
Nottm Forest
England Premier League 18/09/23
Nottm Forest
Burnley
England EFL Cup 30/08/23
Nottm Forest
Burnley
Elite Club Friendlies 29/07/17
Nottm Forest
Burnley
England Championship 23/02/16
Burnley
Nottm Forest
Burnley preview: Redemption for Hannibal?
Hannibal Mejbri was the villain of the piece last week as he gave away the penalty that undid all of Burnley's good work in the dying minutes of the match. The midfielder is expected to start the match, as Lesley Ugochukwu is suspended following his red card last week. Jordan Beyer, Zeki Amdouni and Connor Roberts are all injured.
Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK), Walker, Ekdal, Esteve, Hartman, Laurent, Cullen, Tchaouna, Mejbri, Anthony, Foster
Last five results
- Burnley 0-1 Liverpool
- Man Utd 2-3 Burnley
- Burnley 2-1 Derby
- Burnley 2-0 Sunderland
- Tottenham 3-0 Burnley
Nottingham Forest preview: Igor to start?
Igor Jesus could be given a start for Nottingham Forest this week after the Brazilian scored twice in the Carabao Cup during the week. Two men who definitely won't get a game are Ola Aina and Nicolas Dominguez, as both men are ruled out with injuries. Murillo is also a doubt.
Predicted lineup: Sels (GK), Savona, Milenkovic, Morato, Williams, Anderson, Sangare, Igor, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi, Wood
Last five results
- Swansea 3-2 Nottingham Forest
- Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest
- Nottingham Forest 0-3 West Ham
- Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham Forest
- Nottingham Forest 3-1 Brentford
Player to watch: Chris Wood
Chris Wood had a stellar campaign last season, scoring 20 goals in the Premier League as Nottingham Forest finished seventh. Wood's style of play was well-suited to Nuno Espirito Santo, but there are doubts about how well he can do in an Ange Postecoglou team.