Serbia vs Bulgaria prediction, odds & betting tips 19/11/2023

Serbia
19/11/23 - 14:00

Finished

2

-

2

Bulgaria

Serbia - Bulgaria

Euro 2024 Qualifying - Dubocica Stadium

 

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Serbia take on Bulgaria on Sunday 17th November with a place at Euro 2024 on the line. Serbia know that a draw would be enough to book their place at next summer's tournament while a loss would open the door to Montenegro who face Hungary at the same time on Sunday. For Bulgaria, the only thing on the line is pride as they look to find their first win of the qualifying campaign in their final match. Ahead of the tie, here are some football betting tips relating to the fixture.

Serbia vs Bulgaria prediction & free betting tips

Although Serbia only need a point, we can't see them playing cautiously here and expect Dragan Stojković's to throw caution to the wind to put the result beyond doubt. Bulgaria are in dire form and are there for the taking so we expect Serbia to get more than a couple of goals on Sunday.

For more, check out our dedicated European Championship predictions and betting tips.

Serbia -1 handicap

  • Serbia need a positive result to qualify for Euro 2024 so will play on the front foot.
  • Four of Serbia's last five victories have been by a margin of two goals or more.
  • Bulgaria haven't won a football match since November 2022.

Over 2.5 goals

  • Serbia's last four qualifying matches have seen more than two goals scored.
  • Bulgaria played out a 2-2 thriller with Hungary on Thursday night.
  • Ten goals have been scored in the last three meetings between Serbia and Bulgaria.

Serbia vs Bulgaria odds, H2H stats, and recent form

Head to Head

20/06/23

Euro 2023 Qualifying Euro

Bulgaria

Bulgaria

Serbia

Serbia

1

1

Last Five - Serbia

23/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Austria

Austria

Serbia

Serbia

0

2

W

20/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Austria

Austria

Serbia

Serbia

1

1

D

18/11/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Denmark

Denmark

Serbia

Serbia

0

0

D

15/11/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Switzerland

Switzerland

Serbia

Serbia

1

1

D

15/10/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Spain

Spain

Serbia

Serbia

3

0

L

Last Five - Bulgaria

23/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Rep of Ireland

Rep of Ireland

Bulgaria

Bulgaria

2

1

L

20/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Rep of Ireland

Rep of Ireland

Bulgaria

Bulgaria

2

1

L

18/11/24

UEFA Nations League C UEFA

Belarus

Belarus

Bulgaria

Bulgaria

1

1

D

15/11/24

UEFA Nations League C UEFA

Luxembourg

Luxembourg

Bulgaria

Bulgaria

0

1

W

15/10/24

UEFA Nations League C UEFA

Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland

Bulgaria

Bulgaria

5

0

L

Serbia odds: 6/25 (1.24) – 80.6%

Draw odds: 23/5 (5.60) – 17.9%

Bulgaria odds: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%

Serbia are the overwhelming favourites for this one with a win probability of 80.6%. It's easy to see, they are a better team than Bulgaria, they are at home and they have more on the line. The probability of a Bulgaria victory stands at just 7.7% while a draw comes in at 17.9%.

Serbia vs Bulgaria lineups and latest team news

Serbia

Serbia boss Dragan Stojković didn't risk several key first-team players for the friendly against Belgium on Wednesday night so a whole host of changes are expected for the match against Bulgaria given the magnitude of the match.

Aleksandar Mitrovic, Vanja Milinkovic-Savic and Dusan Tadic are all expected to start while Dusan Vlahovic may be forced to sit on the bench given the manager's preference for a one-striker system. Unfortunately for Serbia, they are still without Sergej Milinkovic-Savic who is missing from the squad altogether due to injury.

Predicted lineup

Milinkovic-Savic – Milenkovic, Veljkovic, Pavlovic – Zivkovic, Gudelj, Ilic, Kostic –  Djuricic, Mitrovic, Tadic

Bulgaria

Bulgaria came just minutes away from securing their first win of Euro 2024 qualifying on Thursday when they led Hungary 2-1 going into stoppage time. Unfortunately for them, a 97th-minute Petkov own goal scuppered them and they had to settle for a point.

Petkov is expected to retain his place in the starting lineup despite the own goal, however, his central defensive partner Valentin Antov will be missing following his red card. Zhivko Atanasov will more than likely be his replacement in the Bulgarian defence.

Predicted lineup

Naumov – Popov, Petkov, Atanasov, Nedyalkov – Gruev, Chochev, Krastev – Despodov, Delev, Ivanov

Starting lineups

Serbia

Serbia
3-4-3
23
Vanja Milinkovic-Savic
rs
4
Nikola Milenkovic
rs
13
Milos Veljkovic
rs
15
Srdjan Babic
rs
14
Andrija Zivkovic
rs
22
Sasa Lukic
rs
6
Nemanja Gudelj
rs
11
Filip Kostic
rs
10
Dusan Tadic
rs
9
Aleksandar Mitrovic
rs
21
Filip Djuricic
rs
Substitutes
12
Djordje Petrovic
rs
2
Strahinja Pavlovic
rs
16
Strahinja Erakovic
rs
17
Ivan Ilic
rs
7
Dusan Vlahovic
rs
19
Lazar Samardzic
rs
19
Uros Racic
rs
5
Nemanja Maksimovic
rs
20
Marko Grujic
rs
25
Filip Mladenovic
rs
7
Nemanja Radonjic
rs
1
Predrag Rajkovic
rs

Bulgaria

Bulgaria
4-3-3
1
Daniel Naumov
bg
26
Viktor Popov
bg
5
Alex Petkov
bg
3
Zhivko Atanasov
bg
19
Ivan Turitsov
bg
20
Filip Yavorov Krastev
bg
8
Andrian Kraev
bg
4
Ilia Gruev
bg
11
Kiril Despodov
bg
17
Martin Minchev
bg
9
Aleksandar Kolev
bg
Substitutes
10
Dominik Yankov
bg
15
Simeon Petrov
bg
1
Dimitar Mitov
bg
9
Spas Delev
bg
22
Ilian Iliev
bg
18
Ivaylo Chochev
bg
24
Stanislav Ivanov
bg
4
Angel Lyaskov
bg
14
Georgi Rusev
bg
23
Ivan Dyulgerov
bg
16
Svetoslav Kovachev
bg
14
Preslav Nikolaev Borukov
bg

Serbia vs Bulgaria prediction