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Serbia - Bulgaria
Euro 2024 Qualifying - Dubocica Stadium
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change
Serbia take on Bulgaria on Sunday 17th November with a place at Euro 2024 on the line. Serbia know that a draw would be enough to book their place at next summer's tournament while a loss would open the door to Montenegro who face Hungary at the same time on Sunday. For Bulgaria, the only thing on the line is pride as they look to find their first win of the qualifying campaign in their final match. Ahead of the tie, here are some football betting tips relating to the fixture.
Contents
Serbia vs Bulgaria prediction & free betting tips
Although Serbia only need a point, we can't see them playing cautiously here and expect Dragan Stojković's to throw caution to the wind to put the result beyond doubt. Bulgaria are in dire form and are there for the taking so we expect Serbia to get more than a couple of goals on Sunday.
For more, check out our dedicated European Championship predictions and betting tips.
Serbia -1 handicap
- Serbia need a positive result to qualify for Euro 2024 so will play on the front foot.
- Four of Serbia's last five victories have been by a margin of two goals or more.
- Bulgaria haven't won a football match since November 2022.
Over 2.5 goals
- Serbia's last four qualifying matches have seen more than two goals scored.
- Bulgaria played out a 2-2 thriller with Hungary on Thursday night.
- Ten goals have been scored in the last three meetings between Serbia and Bulgaria.
Serbia vs Bulgaria odds, H2H stats, and recent form
Head to Head
20/06/23
Euro 2023 Qualifying Euro
Bulgaria
Serbia
1
1
Last Five - Serbia
23/03/25
UEFA Nations League NAL
Austria
Serbia
0
2
W
20/03/25
UEFA Nations League NAL
Austria
Serbia
1
1
D
18/11/24
UEFA Nations League A UEFA
Denmark
Serbia
0
0
D
15/11/24
UEFA Nations League A UEFA
Switzerland
Serbia
1
1
D
15/10/24
UEFA Nations League A UEFA
Spain
Serbia
3
0
L
Last Five - Bulgaria
23/03/25
UEFA Nations League NAL
Rep of Ireland
Bulgaria
2
1
L
20/03/25
UEFA Nations League NAL
Rep of Ireland
Bulgaria
2
1
L
18/11/24
UEFA Nations League C UEFA
Belarus
Bulgaria
1
1
D
15/11/24
UEFA Nations League C UEFA
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
0
1
W
15/10/24
UEFA Nations League C UEFA
Northern Ireland
Bulgaria
5
0
L
Serbia odds: 6/25 (1.24) – 80.6%
Draw odds: 23/5 (5.60) – 17.9%
Bulgaria odds: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%
Serbia are the overwhelming favourites for this one with a win probability of 80.6%. It's easy to see, they are a better team than Bulgaria, they are at home and they have more on the line. The probability of a Bulgaria victory stands at just 7.7% while a draw comes in at 17.9%.
Serbia vs Bulgaria lineups and latest team news
Serbia
Serbia boss Dragan Stojković didn't risk several key first-team players for the friendly against Belgium on Wednesday night so a whole host of changes are expected for the match against Bulgaria given the magnitude of the match.
Aleksandar Mitrovic, Vanja Milinkovic-Savic and Dusan Tadic are all expected to start while Dusan Vlahovic may be forced to sit on the bench given the manager's preference for a one-striker system. Unfortunately for Serbia, they are still without Sergej Milinkovic-Savic who is missing from the squad altogether due to injury.
Predicted lineup
Milinkovic-Savic – Milenkovic, Veljkovic, Pavlovic – Zivkovic, Gudelj, Ilic, Kostic – Djuricic, Mitrovic, Tadic
Bulgaria
Bulgaria came just minutes away from securing their first win of Euro 2024 qualifying on Thursday when they led Hungary 2-1 going into stoppage time. Unfortunately for them, a 97th-minute Petkov own goal scuppered them and they had to settle for a point.
Petkov is expected to retain his place in the starting lineup despite the own goal, however, his central defensive partner Valentin Antov will be missing following his red card. Zhivko Atanasov will more than likely be his replacement in the Bulgarian defence.
Predicted lineup
Naumov – Popov, Petkov, Atanasov, Nedyalkov – Gruev, Chochev, Krastev – Despodov, Delev, Ivanov
Starting lineups
Serbia
Bulgaria
