Bristol City will take on Wolves in the FA Cup third round on Saturday, 11 January in a match that has all the ingredients for a cup upset.
The hosts are in good form and are chasing a top-six finish in the Championship while Wolves are very much in threat of relegation this season.
The looming threat of relegation could see Wolves field a weakened team at Ashton Gate on Saturday, which opens this one up for a Premier League elimination.
As part of our next round of FA Cup betting tips, here is our Bristol City vs Wolves prediction.
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Bristol City vs Wolves prediction: The hosts to progress to the fourth round
Key Stats
- Bristol City have progressed to the fourth round in four of their last six attempts, beating Premier League opposition twice.
- Wolves have won just one of their last four away matches.
- More than two goals have been scored in eight of Wolves' last nine matches.
Correct score prediction: Bristol City 2-1 Wolves
Bristol City's home form coupled with the expectation that Wolves are going to rest their key players, gives the hosts the advantage on Saturday. The home crowd will be well up for it after their win over West Ham at the same stage of the competition last season and they could be the decisive factor.
Pre-game odds and win probability: A close match to call
- HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- AWAY: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Bristol City vs Wolves odds indicate that this is a tough match for the bookies to call and understandably so. Ladbrokes have made Wolves the narrow favourites and have given them a 42.1% chance of winning inside 90 minutes while Bristol City have been given a 35.7% chance of victory.
It's important to remember that with replays now a thing of the past, backing the draw means you think the match will go to extra time and potentially penalties.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Wolves
Wolves last faced Bristol City in the fifth round of the FA Cup back in 2019 and ran out as 1-0 winners thanks to a goal from Ivan Cavaleiro. That win means they have won four of their last six matches against the Robins but with a six-year gap between their last meeting, this means very little.
England FA Cup 17/02/19
Bristol City
Wolverhampton
England Championship 30/12/17
Bristol City
Wolverhampton
England Championship 12/09/17
Wolverhampton
Bristol City
England Championship 08/04/17
Bristol City
Wolverhampton
England Championship 26/12/16
Wolverhampton
Bristol City
Bristol City preview: A formidable home record
Bristol City have lost just twice at Ashton Gate this season (against Burnley and Sheffield United) and have won their last three matches at home so they are the type of team that fancy themselves against anyone in front of their home supporters.
Predicted lineup: O'Leary (GK), Vyner, Dickie, McNally, Roberts, McCrorie, Knight, Bird, Twin, Mehmeti, Wells
England Championship 12/04/25
D
QPR
1
Bristol City
1
England Championship 08/04/25
W
West Brom
1
Bristol City
2
England Championship 05/04/25
W
Watford
1
Bristol City
2
England Championship 29/03/25
L
Burnley
1
Bristol City
0
England Championship 14/03/25
W
Norwich
1
Bristol City
2
Wolves preview: A match that's better to lose?
The added distraction of the FA Cup is likely something that Wolves don't need this season as they look to avoid the drop. New manager, Vitor Pereira, might therefore believe that this isn't a bad game to lose particularly with a brutal run of fixtures in the Premier League coming up.
Predicted lineup: Johnstone (GK), Bueno, Pond, Docherty, Ait-Nouri, Fobes, Doyle, Homes, Sarabia, Bellegarde
England Premier League 13/04/25
W
Tottenham
2
Wolverhampton
4
England Premier League 05/04/25
W
Ipswich
1
Wolverhampton
2
England Premier League 01/04/25
W
West Ham
0
Wolverhampton
1
England Premier League 15/03/25
W
Southampton
1
Wolverhampton
2
England Premier League 08/03/25
D
Everton
1
Wolverhampton
1
Player to watch: Pablo Sarabia
Experienced Spanish forward, Pablo Sarabia, made his return from injury against Nottingham Forest last time out, coming off the bench for the last 15 minutes. The 32-year-old is expected to start this one for Wolves and given their woes in front of goal, they could really do with him finding some form ahead of a huge second half of the season.