Bristol City vs Derby prediction, odds & betting tips – 30/01/2026
Can Gerhard Struber guide Bristol City to victory? - Photo by IMAGO / Pro Sports Images
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Under 2.5 total goals

The last five H2Hs have averaged just 2.2 goals per game.

Both Bristol City and Derby are looking to break into the top six in the Championship table as they clash at Ashton Gate on Friday night. Indeed, the Robins are just one point off in seventh, while the Rams are only one point further behind in 11th.

Both teams were on home soil last time out, with Bristol City winning 2-0 against Sheffield Wednesday, while Derby were held 1-1 by West Brom. Nonetheless, Friday should present an intriguing battle with three points potentially huge in terms of trying to finish in the play-off spots.

Bristol City vs Derby prediction: Both sides to settle on stalemate?

Key stats

  • Bristol City have won four of their last five home games in all competitions.
  • Derby are unbeaten in three matches, winning twice.
  • Four of Derby's previous five games have also seen both teams score.

Correct score prediction: Bristol City 1-1 Derby

There is not too much to separate these sides, both in terms of the league table and recent H2Hs. Thus, we can see them playing out a draw, and a low-scoring one at that given recent results.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bristol City favourites with bookmakers

  • HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • AWAY: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, Bristol City have been installed as the favourites with bookmakers to claim all three points on home soil. A draw can still be backed at just over 30%, while a Derby win on their travels is rated at 27%.

Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page for more of our expert predictions relating to this weekend's Championship fixtures.

Most recent H2Hs: Mixed bag

The last three H2Hs in particular have produced a mixed bag in terms of results, with both teams winning once each and there being a draw. That was a 1-1 stalemate in their previous meeting, which suggests that they are hard to celebrate.

England Championship 22/08/25

Derby

Derby

1
Bristol City

Bristol City

1

England Championship 04/01/25

Bristol City

Bristol City

1
Derby

Derby

0

England Championship 31/08/24

Derby

Derby

3
Bristol City

Bristol City

0

England Championship 23/04/22

Derby

Derby

1
Bristol City

Bristol City

3

England Championship 04/12/21

Bristol City

Bristol City

1
Derby

Derby

0

Bristol City preview: A few injuries

Bristol City only have a few players that have been ruled out through injury for this one. Those are: Max Bird, Luke McNally and Joe Williams, but everyone else should be available.

Predicted lineup: Vitek (GK); Tanner, Dickie, Atkinson; McCrorie, Randell, Knight, Neto Borges; Twine, Bell & Riis

Last five results:

  • Bristol City 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday
  • Ipswich 2-0 Bristol City
  • Oxford United 0-0 Bristol City
  • Bristol City 5-1 Watford
  • Bristol City 0-2 Preston

Derby preview: Johnston a doubt

Max Johnston is a doubt for Derby with an ongoing injury. Carlton Morris is definitely ruled out, although there are no other fresh concerns in the squad.

Predicted lineup: Widell Zetterstrom (GK); Ward, Langas, Clarke, Elder; Travis, Ozoh; Brereton Diaz, Clark, Brewster & Agyemang

Last five results:

  • Derby 1-1 West Brom
  • Charlton 1-2 Derby
  • Preston 0-1 Derby
  • Derby 1-3 Leeds
  • Derby 1-2 Wrexham

Player to watch: Scott Twine

Scott Twine should start for Bristol City. Photo by Imago / Tom Sandberg / PPAUK

Scott Twine scored for Bristol City against Sheffield Wednesday last time out, and also netted in the reverse fixture against Derby earlier this season. The midfielder is a dangerous player that Derby will have to mark closely.


Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.