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Brighton - Marseille
UEFA Europa League - American Express Community Stadium
6th Round
Brighton know they must beat Marseille at the AMEX stadium in Thursday, 14 December's Europa League clash, if they wish to finish top of group B, which would be a fantastic achievement given it's their first ever season playing European football.
Our Brighton vs Marseille prediction will reveal if this is likely to happen or not.
Contents
Brighton vs Marseille prediction – Betting tips and odds
Hot tip – Over 2.5 goals
- Only four of Brighton's 11 home games have produced under 2.5 goals.
- The reverse fixture saw four goals as it ended 2-2.
Brighton have been the leakiest defence in the Premier League this season, keeping zero clean sheets, and with the Seagulls knowing they must win, there are sure to be gaps in their defence for Marseille to exploit.
Latest odds
Head to Head
05/10/23
UEFA Europa League UEL
Marseille
Brighton
2
2
Last Five - Brighton
31/08/24
England Premier League EPL
Arsenal
Brighton
1
1
D
27/08/24
England EFL Cup EFL Cup
Crawley Town
Brighton
0
4
W
24/08/24
England Premier League EPL
Man Utd
Brighton
1
2
W
17/08/24
England Premier League EPL
Everton
Brighton
0
3
W
10/08/24
Elite Club Friendlies Elite
Villarreal
Brighton
0
4
W
Last Five - Marseille
31/08/24
France Ligue 1 LI1
Toulouse
Marseille
1
3
W
25/08/24
France Ligue 1 LI1
Reims
Marseille
2
2
D
17/08/24
France Ligue 1 LI1
Brest
Marseille
1
5
W
10/08/24
Elite Club Friendlies Elite
Augsburg
Marseille
1
3
W
03/08/24
Europe Friendlies Europe
Sunderland
Marseille
2
2
D
Home: 16/25 (1.64) – 61%
Draw: 7/2 (4.5) – 22.2%
Away: 21/5 (5.2) – 19.2%
There are plenty of other markets to explore, including the Draw no bet market for Marseille at 14/5 (3.8) with a likelihood of 26.3% isn't a bad bet given all the pressure is on Brighton to get a result. Elsewhere, you may fancy a flutter on Brighton/Brighton with odds of 7/5 (2.4) and according to probability figures, this has a 41.7% chance of landing.
Brighton vs Marseille prediction other tips
Tip 1: Brighton 3-2 Marseille
- Marseille and Brighton boast the competition's top scorers in Pierre Emerick Aubameyang and Joao Pedro, so goals should be guaranteed.
- Brighton have scored more than one goal in all but one Europa League game this season.
Tip 2: Pierre Emerick Aubameyang to score
- Marseille's striker has already scored five goals in the competition.
- Aubameyang has seven goals in his last four appearances.
Brighton vs Marseille team news
Brighton
Brighton have done very well to have already qualified for the knockout stages in their first-ever adventure into European football, but finishing top of it could prove to be too difficult, especially with the likes of Pervis Estupinan, Ansu Fati and Solly March.
Predicted Lineup: Verbruggen – Hinshelwood, Igor, Dunk, Gross – Gilmour, Dahoud – Pedro, Buonanotte, Adingra – Ferguson
Marseille
Marseille are in a very good position, knowing that a draw will be good enough to confirm the top spot. With only Joaquin Correa and Valentin Rongier absent, they will regard themselves as heavy favourites.
Predicted Lineup: Lopez – Lodi, Gigot, Mbemba, Clauss – Ounhai, Kondogbia – Ndiaye, Harit, Sarr, Aubameyang
Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.
Brighton
Marseille
Player to watch – Simon Adingra
Having initially joined Brighton back in 2022, this season has been a breakout one for Adingra with eight goal involvements to his name, and he's been terrorising defences across all competitions this campaign.
In the Europa League, Adingra has not always been fully trusted by Roberto De Zerbi, but due to injuries, he now has the chance to stake his claim for a regular starting spot.
He's already got one goal and two assists in Europe this term after just three starts, so he is still an unknown quantity, but one which could be crucial for Brighton if they wish to pick up a historic three points.
Remember to check out all our other free betting tips ahead of a huge midweek of European football.