Brighton vs Man Utd prediction, odds & betting tips – 19/05/2024

Brighton
19/05/24 - 16:00

Finished

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Man Utd

Brighton - Man Utd

England Premier League - American Express Community Stadium

Brighton vs Man Utd prediction
Man Utd's Marcus Rashford has a shot blocked by Brighton's Jan Paul van Hecke – Photo by Icon Sport

It's time for our Premier League predictions ahead of Brighton vs Manchester United on the final day of the season.

The Seagulls can't finish any higher than tenth but a defeat on the last day of the season could see Sunday's hosts drop as many as three positions, while United just need to better Newcastle's result to claim seven place in the table.

Brighton vs Man Utd predictions: Will United upset the odds at the AmEx?

Brighton vs Man Utd Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Draw

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Brighton 2-2 Man Utd

⚡ BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals prediction

Yes

Key Stats

  • Brighton have only lost one of their last five matches against Man Utd in all competitions and have picked up four points from their last three outings in the Premier League while the visitors have secured four points from their last four matches, making a draw a distinct possibility on Sunday.
  • The Seagulls have conceded at least two goals in four of their last seven league games and Man Utd have conceded two or more goals in four of their last six fixtures, so you can see why we're backing a final scoreline of 2-2 this weekend.
  • Both teams have scored in three of Brighton's and four of Man Utd's last six matches, while over 2.5 goals have been produced in three of the hosts' and four of the visitors' last six outings.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers backing the hosts

  • HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
  • DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
  • AWAY: 43/20 (3.15) – 31.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Brighton are the expected winner of this game with a win probability of 46.5%, but we are predicting a close game between the two clubs.

The Seagulls lost 2-1 in their own backyard to in-form Chelsea in midweek, whilst on that very same night Man Utd won 3-2 at home against Newcastle.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. Brighton's Joao Pedro is the favourite to score in this game at 13/10 (2.30) which has a probability of 43.5%, but if you want to back a Man Utd goalscorer then Rasmus Hojlund is priced at 15/8 (2.88) with a probability of 34.8%.

Last five H2Hs: The Seagulls have the edge

England Premier League 16/09/23

Man Utd

Man Utd

1
Brighton

Brighton

3

England Premier League 04/05/23

Brighton

Brighton

1
Man Utd

Man Utd

0

England FA Cup 23/04/23

Brighton

Brighton

0 (6)
Man Utd

Man Utd

0 (7)

England Premier League 19/03/23

Brighton

Brighton

0
Man Utd

Man Utd

0

England Premier League 07/08/22

Man Utd

Man Utd

1
Brighton

Brighton

2

Brighton have picked up four wins and one defeat from their last five games against Man Utd in all competitions, and that defeat arrived in the FA Cup on penalties following a goalless draw.

Team news and form guide

Brighton: Looking to secure tenth spot

Solomon March, Pervis Estupinan, James Milner, Evan Ferguson, Jack Hinshelwood, Kaoru Mitoma and Jan Paul van Hecke will miss the game against Man Utd due to injury but Joel Veltman could make his return to the side.

Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK), Webster, Barco, Julio, Lamptey, Groß, Gilmour, Buonanotte, Enciso, Pedro & Adingra

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Man Utd

Man Utd

2

Brighton

Brighton

0

England Premier League 15/05/24

L

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

Brighton

Brighton

1

England Premier League 11/05/24

D

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

Brighton

Brighton

1

England Premier League 05/05/24

W

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

Brighton

Brighton

1

England Premier League 28/04/24

L

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

3

Brighton

Brighton

0

Man Utd: Could leapfrog Newcastle on the final day

The visitors will be without Victor Lindelof, Mason Mount, Tyrell Malacia, Luke Shaw and Harry Maguire for the trip to Brighton, while Raphael Varane and Anthony Martial are also doubts.

Predicted lineup: Onana (GK), Evans, Dalot, Wan-Bissaka, Casemiro, Fernandes, Amrabat, McTominay, Mainoo, Garnacho & Diallo

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Brighton

Brighton

0

Man Utd

Man Utd

2

England Premier League 15/05/24

W

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

Others 14/05/24

D

Liverpool

Liverpool

0

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

England Championship 13/05/24

D

Man City

Man City

0

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

England Premier League 12/05/24

L

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

Player to watch – Bruno Fernandes

Despite this being a disappointing season for the Red Devils, midfielder Bruno Fernandes has done his duty during the 2023/24 campaign.

Bruno Fernandes player to watch
Bruno Fernandes has maintained his form despite a poor season for United – Photo by Icon Sport

The former Sporting Lisbon star top scores and provides the most assists in the Premier League for Man Utd this season, scoring ten times, four of which came from the penalty spot, and creating eight goals for his teammates.

One of United's best players this season

We're expecting Fernandes to give it his all on Sunday as United attempt to beat Newcastle to seventh place on the final day of the season.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Brighton

Man Utd


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.