Aston Villa vs Brighton prediction, odds and betting tips 30/09/2023

Aston Villa
30/09/23 - 12:30

Finished

6

-

1

Brighton

Aston Villa - Brighton

England Premier League - Villa Park

7th Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Aston Villa and Brighton meet at the Villa Park in England’s Premier League on Saturday, September 30th. Two of the division’s top six outfits collide in what promises to be an enthralling clash in the Midlands. Read our Premier League predictions along with the latest odds for the fixture below in our detailed match preview.

Today's Predictions for Aston Villa vs Brighton

Can Brighton put a dent in Aston Villa’s outstanding home form when they travel north to take on the Villains on Saturday? Read our top Aston Villa vs Brighton predictions for this weekend’s fixture below.

Aston Villa Double Chance

  • Aston Villa have won each of their last four meetings with Brighton.
  • Aston Villa have won each of their last nine Premier League home assignments.
  • Brighton lost two of their last three games in all competitions.
  • Brighton were toppled in four of their last eight away games in the league in a sequence stretching back to the previous campaign.

Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score

  • Five of Aston Villa’s first six league games of the new season have featured over 2.5 goals.
  • 100% of Brighton’s first six league fixtures meanwhile, produced at least three goals.
  • In addition, both teams managed to impact the scoresheet in each of Brighton’s first six league tests of the new campaign.
  • Over 2.5 goals hit the net in each of the teams’ last two encounters, while BTTS also landed on each occasion.

Top Betting Odds and Stats for Aston Villa vs Brighton

View our series of key stats for Saturday’s clash featuring Aston Villa vs Brighton below alongside a nifty tool to help you choose the juiciest odds.

Head to Head

28/05/23

England Premier League EPL

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Brighton

Brighton

2

1

08/12/22

Elite Club Friendlies Elite

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Brighton

Brighton

2

2

13/11/22

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

2

26/02/22

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

2

20/11/21

England Premier League EPL

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Brighton

Brighton

2

0

Last Five - Aston Villa

24/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2

4

W

17/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Fulham

Fulham

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

2

W

11/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Man Utd

Man Utd

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2

1

L

07/02/24

England FA Cup FA Cup

Chelsea

Chelsea

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

1

L

03/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

5

W

Last Five - Brighton

28/02/24

England FA Cup FA Cup

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

Brighton

Brighton

1

0

L

24/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Everton

Everton

Brighton

Brighton

1

1

D

18/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

Brighton

Brighton

0

5

W

10/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Tottenham

Tottenham

Brighton

Brighton

2

1

L

03/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Brighton

Brighton

1

4

W

Let's take a closer look at the latest markets, Aston Villa – Brighton odds and probability figures ahead of Saturday’s match below.

Aston Villa odds: 143/100 (2.43) – 41.2%

Draw odds: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%

Brighton odds: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%

Aston Villa have been named as the expected winners this weekend – but only just – with the probability of a home victory currently sitting at 41.2% ahead of Saturday’s contest. The Villains are also on the books at 4/5 (1.80) in the over 1.5 team goals arena, an outcome that has an implied probability of 55.6%. Elsewhere, you can back a draw in the half-time result market at 13/10 (2.30).

Aston Villa vs Brighton Team News & Injuries

Read all of the latest injury updates, Aston Villa vs Brighton lineups and team news for Saturday’s Premier League battle below. If you’re looking for more of the best football betting tips today, make sure to follow the link.

Aston Villa

Aston Villa have question marks over the availability of Diego Carlos, Bertrand Traore, Tyrone Mings, Tim Iroegbunam and Emiliano Buendia ahead of the weekend. The Villains eked out a 1-0 win at Chelsea in their last league assignment.

Predicted Lineup for Aston Villa: Martinez – Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne – Kamara, Luiz, McGinn, Diaby, Zaniolo – Watkins

Brighton

James Milner will be out of action until the middle of October, while Pascal Groß is rated as a possible absentee due to a muscle issue. Jakub Moder is closing in on a return from an ACL injury.

Predicted Lineup for Brighton: Verbruggen – Veltman, Webster, Dunk, Estupinan – Dahoud, Gilmour, March, Welbeck, Mitoma, Ferguson

Player to Watch – Karou Mitoma

Explosive winger Karou Mitoma was left on the bench initially when Brighton played Bournemouth last weekend, though the wide attacker joined the action with a bang in the second half, netting twice to turn the contest in the Seagulls’ favour. Mitoma should return to the Albion XI on Saturday.

Starting Lineups

Official lineups are usually released approximately one hour before kick-off.

Aston Villa

Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
1
Emiliano Martinez
ar
2
Matty Cash
pl
4
Ezri Konsa
gb
14
Pau Torres
es
12
Lucas Digne
fr
44
Boubacar Kamara
fr
6
Douglas Luiz
br
7
John McGinn
gb
19
Moussa Diaby
fr
22
Nicolo Zaniolo
it
11
Ollie Watkins
gb
Substitutes
24
Jhon Jader Duran Palacio
co
41
Jacob Ramsey
gb
25
Robin Olsen
se
3
Diego Carlos
br
32
Leander Dendoncker
be
8
Youri Tielemans
be
17
Clement Lenglet
fr
9
Bertrand Traore
bf
16
Calum Chambers
gb

Brighton

Brighton
4-2-3-1
23
Jason Steele
gb
34
Joel Veltman
nl
4
Adam Webster
gb
5
Lewis Dunk
gb
30
Pervis Estupinan
ec
41
Jack Hinshelwood
gb
11
Billy Gilmour
gb
7
Solly March
gb
18
Danny Welbeck
gb
22
Kaoru Mitoma
jp
28
Evan Ferguson
ie
Substitutes
24
Simon Adingra
ci
1
Bart Verbruggen
nl
20
Carlos Baleba
cm
9
Joao Pedro
br
29
Jan Paul Van Hecke
nl
31
Ansu Fati
es
2
Tariq Lamptey
gh
3
Igor
br
8
Mahmoud Dahoud
de

aston villa vs brighton


Avatar of Simon Winter
Simon Winter

Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.