Two sides sitting in the opposing halves of the Ligue 1 table meet at Stade Francis-Le Ble, as hosts Brest look to continue their unbeaten form against a Marseille outfit in disorder, on Friday, 20 February.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Brest vs Marseille tips below.
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Brest vs Marseille prediction: OM to edge past the Pirates
Key stats
- Brest are on a three-match unbeaten streak in Ligue 1.
- The Pirates have scored 29 and conceded 34 goals this term.
- Marseille are the league’s fourth-best travelling side.
- OM have the second-most shots on target this season in Ligue 1.
Correct score prediction: Brest 1-2 Marseille
Brest narrowly avoided an away defeat last time out, as they held Lille to a 1-1 draw. The result marked the Pirates’ third successive undefeated game, following a draw with Nice and a victory over Lorient. Eric Roy’s side are currently 10 points above the drop zone. Avoiding a defeat is necessary if they are to maintain that buffer.
Marseille, on the other hand, have been marred with struggles on and off the pitch. Following the departure of sporting director Mehdi Benatia and coach Robeto de Zerbi, OM took to the pitch against Strasbourg. Their 2-0 lead was quickly reduced to nothing by Le Racing, as Joaquin Panichelli netted a late penalty to steal a point at the Velodrome.
Marseille are now winless in back-to-back outings, but they are widely expected to bounce back against the mid-table club. OM’s individual quality is expected to make the difference in windy Brest.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Away favourites
- HOME: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
- DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.6%
- AWAY: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Brest remain unbeaten in five of their last six home league fixtures, beating Lorient 2-0 here last time out. However, they are still the underdogs in this fixture, backed by odds of 27/10 (3.70), implying a 27% chance of success.
Marseille are currently struggling to find their feet. Although they are winless in three major away games across all competitions, OM are bookmakers’ favourites to return to winning ways. They are considered as favourites with odds of 10/11 (1.91) – a 52.4% win probability rate.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Brest vs Marseille predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Olympians all the way
Marseille have beaten Brest by three or more goals in each of their last three H2Hs. Brest remain winless against the Olympians since February 2024 – their only win in five meetings.
France Ligue 1 08/11/25
Marseille
Brest
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
Marseille
Brest
France Ligue 1 17/08/24
Brest
Marseille
France Ligue 1 18/02/24
Brest
Marseille
France Ligue 1 26/08/23
Marseille
Brest
Brest preview: Three missing
Mama Balde, Soumaila Coulibaly and Bradley Locko are all sidelined for this home encounter.
Predicted lineup: Coudert (GK), Lala, Diaz, Chardonnet, Guindo, Chotard, Magnetti, Del Castillo, Tousart, Labeau & Ajorque
Last five matches:
- 14/02/26: Lille 1-1 Brest (Ligue 1)
- 07/02/26: Brest 2-0 Lorient (Ligue 1)
- 01/02/26: Nice 2-2 Brest (Ligue 1)
- 25/01/26: Brest 0-2 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- 18/01/26: Lyon 2-1 Brest (Ligue 1)
Marseille preview: One major absentee
The visitors are poised to miss Leonardo Balerdi – their only notable absentee from a fully fit squad.
Predicted lineup: Rulli (GK), Weah, Pavard, Aguerd, Palmieri, Kondogbia, Hojbjerg, Greenwood, Timber, Gouiri & Aubameyang
Last five matches:
- 14/02/26: Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
- 08/02/26: PSG 5-0 Marseille (Ligue 1)
- 03/02/26: Marseille 3-0 Rennes (Couple de France)
- 31/01/26: Paris FC 2-2 Marseille (Ligue 1)
- 28/01/26: Club Brugge 3-0 Marseille (UEFA Champions League)
Player to watch: Amine Gouiri
Gouiri saved Marseille’s face against Strasbourg, providing an assist for the opener before scoring the second goal himself in the 2-2 draw. The 26-year-old has 10 goal contributions (G7, A3) in his last 10 competitive appearances for Marseille. Brest are expected to keep a special eye on the Algerian forward.