St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund prediction, odds & betting tips – 01/03/2025

Struggling St Pauli take on Borussia Dortmund at the Millerntor-Stadion in the German Bundesliga on Sunday, 01 March. Read our German football predictions for the game below.

St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: Back visitors to prevail

Key Stats

• St Pauli have lost each of their last three games in the Bundesliga, failing to score on each occasion.
• Serhou Guirassy scored four goals in Dortmund’s 6-0 win over Union Berlin last weekend.
• Six of St Pauli’s last eight home games in the league have featured under 2.5 goals.
• Dortmund notched twice when they beat St Pauli 2-1 in October.

Correct score prediction: St Pauli 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

St Pauli failed to pick up a point or even score a goal in their last three league games and the relegation favourite’s lack of cutting edge could hold them back again when they host Dortmund.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors offer excellent value

• HOME: 31/10 (4.10) – 24.4%
• DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
• AWAY: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

St Pauli are in a rut and lost for the third game on the spin when they slipped to defeat against Mainz last weekend. The beleaguered hosts have just a 24.4% chance of upsetting the odds on Saturday.

Borussia Dortmund producing a stunning 6-0 win over Union Berlin last weekend, so the 4/5 favourites should have buckets of confidence for their trip to Hamburg to face St. Pauli. Read more of our free football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: Dortmund chasing double

Borussia Dortmund beat St Pauli 2-1 in October’s reverse fixture, though that was the clubs’ first encounter in the league since 2011.

Germany Bundesliga I 18/10/24

Borussia Dortmund

2

St Pauli

1

Germany DFB Pokal 18/01/22

St Pauli

2

Borussia Dortmund

1

Club Friendly List 14/07/16

Borussia Dortmund

3

St Pauli

2

Europe Friendlies 08/09/15

St Pauli

1

Borussia Dortmund

2

Germany DFB Pokal 28/10/14

St Pauli

0

Borussia Dortmund

3

St Pauli preview: Several players close to return

Simon Zoller is still out for St Pauli, though Soeren Ahlers, Lars Ritzka, Karol Mets, Sascha Burchert and Manolis Saliakas are all closing in on a return. St Pauli are still six points clear of the dropzone despite their poor recent form.

Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Nemeth, Wahl, Van der Heyden, Treu, Irvine, Smith, Ritzka, Weißhaupt, Saad, Eggestein

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25

D

Eintracht Frankfurt

2

St Pauli

2

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

L

VfB Stuttgart

1

St Pauli

0

Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25

D

Werder Bremen

0

St Pauli

0

Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25

D

Bayer Leverkusen

1

St Pauli

1

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

W

Holstein Kiel

1

St Pauli

2

Borussia Dortmund preview: Nmecha still out of action

Fillip Mane and Felix Nmecha are both expected to sit out Saturday's game for Dortmund. Head Coach Nico Kovac could stick with the starting XI that ran riot in last weekend's 6-0 win over Union Berlin.

Predicted lineup Kobel (GK), Ryerson, Can, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini, Sabitzer, Groß, Adeyemi, Reyna, Beier, Guirassy

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25

W

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Borussia Dortmund

4

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

W

Wolfsburg

0

Borussia Dortmund

4

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

W

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Borussia Dortmund

3

Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25

W

Borussia M'gladbach

2

Borussia Dortmund

3

UEFA Champions League 15/04/25

W

Barcelona

1

Borussia Dortmund

3

Player to watch – Serhou Guirassy

Potent poacher Serhou Guirassy was the man of the moment again for Dortmund last weekend when he scored an incredible four times in his club’s resounding 6-0 win over Union Berlin.

Prolific Guirassy can score again

Guirassy, who scored the winning goal when Dortmund beat St Pauli in October, has notched 13 times in the Bundesliga already this season and the 28-year-old should have opportunities to inch his tally closer to thee 20-goal mark this weekend.