There’s an important World Cup qualifier in Santiago this week between two teams with work to do if they want to make it to the 2026 tournament. Our Chile vs Bolivia prediction considers whether the hosts can make home advantage count here.
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Chile vs Bolivia prediction: Hosts to edge low-scoring contest
Key stats
- Our Chile vs Bolivia betting tips take into account that only one of the last 12 matches involving La Roja has seen both teams score.
- Bolivia have lost their last nine away World Cup qualifiers.
- Only two of their last eight matches have seen both teams score.
Correct score prediction: Chile 1-0 Bolivia
This isn’t a great time for Chilean football with a golden generation nearing the end of their careers. They’ve not been carrying much of a goal threat of late, failing to get on the scoresheet at Copa America in the summer. However, Bolivia are notoriously poor travellers, so the hosts ought to scrape a narrow victory here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Chile the red hot favourites despite recent woes
- HOME: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
- DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
- AWAY: 9/1 (10.00) – 10.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Chile vs Bolivia odds with an implied probability of 77.8% that they win the game.
Chile head into this match following a 3-0 defeat against defending world champions Argentina on Friday.
As for Bolivia, they come into this having recorded their second win of this World Cup qualifying cycle by hammering Venezuela 4-0 at home with Ramiro Vaca scoring first.
For more picks, today’s football betting tips take a look at some of the best options from the international action this week.
Most recent H2Hs: No wins in five meetings for Bolivia
Our Chile vs Bolivia prediction suggests the home team will extend their unbeaten run in this fixture to six matches. The sides last met in a goalless friendly in June 2023.
International Match 21/06/23
Bolivia
Chile
South America - World Cup Qualifying 01/02/22
Bolivia
Chile
Copa America 18/06/21
Chile
Bolivia
South America - World Cup Qualifying 09/06/21
Chile
Bolivia
International Match 27/03/21
Chile
Bolivia
Chile preview: Alexis a big absentee
Alexis Sanchez is the most notable absentee from this Chile squad. They’ll also be missing Norwich midfielder Marcelino Nunez to suspension.
Predicted Lineup: Arias (GK), Galdames, Diaz, Catalan, Isla, Baeza, Echeverria, Osorio, Brereton Diaz, Vargas & Loyola
South America - World Cup Qualifying 10/09/24 L Bolivia 2 Chile 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 06/09/24 L Argentina 3 Chile 0 Copa America 30/06/24 D Canada 0 Chile 0 Copa America 26/06/24 L Argentina 1 Chile 0 Copa America 22/06/24 D Peru 0 Chile 0
Bolivia preview: Two players serve suspensions
The visitors will be without both Hector Cuellar and Ramiro Vaca after both got booked against Venezuela. Henry Vaca, another starter in that game, has also withdrawn due to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Lampe (GK), Suarez, Haquin, Medina, Fernandez, Chavez, Matheus, Camacho, Terceros, Algaranaz & Monteiro
South America - World Cup Qualifying 10/09/24 W Chile 1 Bolivia 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 05/09/24 W Venezuela 0 Bolivia 4 Copa America 02/07/24 L Panama 3 Bolivia 1 Copa America 28/06/24 L Uruguay 5 Bolivia 0 Copa America 23/06/24 L USA 2 Bolivia 0 
Player to watch – Dario Osorio
The big new hope for Chile’s footballing future is Dario Osorio. The 20-year-old has impressed for Midtjylland and is on one goal and one assist so far this term in the Danish Superliga.
A scorer of late goals
Despite being very early in his career, Osorio has already picked up a reputation for scoring late goals. In his club career to date, 23% of his strikes have come after the 90th minute.
