St Pauli will host Bochum on the final Bundesliga matchday on Saturday, 17 May.
With St Pauli securing their place in the league for next season and Bochum already relegated, will we see a win for the hosts?
Find that out and more from our St Pauli vs Bochum prediction below, but remember to also read our other Bundesliga predictions.
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St Pauli vs Bochum prediction: St Pauli to close the season with a win
Key Stats
- Bochum have lost 11 of their 16 away games in the league this season.
- We saw both teams score in six of the last nine H2H duels between these two teams.
- Bochum have averaged 3.06 total goals per game in away matches in the league so far.
Correct score prediction: St Pauli 3-1 Bochum
While St Pauli have hardly been great this season, they have at least avoided relegation, unlike their next rival who are bound to finish last in the standings.
With that in mind, we can see St Pauli closing the season with an emphatic win in front of their fans, but Bochum should have enough about them to at least score in this game.
Place your bet on this prediction at bet365.
Pre-game odds and win probability: St Pauli favoured by the bookies
- HOME: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.90%
- DRAW: 33/10 (4.30) – 23.30%
- AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.00%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Looking at the St Pauli vs Bochum odds, we can see that the hosts are the expected winners and by a pretty big margin.
After all, St Pauli are 10 points ahead of Bochum in the standings and hosting this match, so we can see why they're favoured to get the three points.
Read more of our latest football predictions and German football analysis on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: Bochum with more success lately
These two teams haven't met often in recent years, but when they did, it was mostly Bochum with the wins. In their last five meetings, Bochum have won three times, while St Pauli's last win came in 2018.
That being said, St Pauli have the advantage when we look at the overall H2H record between these teams: 13-16-10.
Germany Bundesliga I 15/01/25
Bochum
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga II 28/01/21
St Pauli
Bochum
Germany Bundesliga II 21/09/20
Bochum
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga II 05/06/20
Bochum
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga II 08/11/19
St Pauli
Bochum
St Pauli preview: Hoping for a good performance to end the season
With 32 points, St Pauli sit three points ahead of Heidenheim, who are in 16th place, which leads to the relegation playoffs. However, St Pauli have a double-digit advantage when it comes to their goal difference compared to Heidenheim's, so it would take a miracle of epic proportions for St Pauli to get relegated.
St Pauli could be without the services of injured Abdoulie Ceesay, Sascha Burchert, Jackson Irvine, James Sands, Karol Mets, Elias Saad, and Simon Zoller.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Nemeth, Wahl, Van der Heyden, Saliakas, Smith, Boukhalfa, Treu, Sinani, Guilavogui & Weisshaupt
Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25
D
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
St Pauli
2
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
L
VfB Stuttgart
1
St Pauli
0
Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25
D
Werder Bremen
0
St Pauli
0
Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25
D
Bayer Leverkusen
1
St Pauli
1
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
W
Holstein Kiel
1
St Pauli
2
Bochum preview: Already packed their bags
After failing to notch a single win in their last eight games in the league, Bochum are now bound to finish last in the standings. The season before, Bochum have managed to avoid relegation after beating Fortuna Dusseldorf on penalties in the relegation playoffs, but they won't get another chance this time around.
Matus Bero, Mohammed Tolba, Philipp Hofmann, Tom Krauss, and Ivan Ordets are on Bochum's injury list heading into this game.
Predicted lineup: Horn (GK), Oermann, Medic, Bernardo, Passlack, Sissoko, Losilla, Pannewig, Wittek, Broschinski & Masouras
Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25
L
Mainz
4
Bochum
1
Germany Bundesliga I 02/05/25
D
Heidenheim
0
Bochum
0
Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25
D
Union Berlin
1
Bochum
1
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
L
Werder Bremen
1
Bochum
0
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
L
Augsburg
2
Bochum
1
Player to watch: Morgan Guilavogui
With a total of 28 goals scored this season, which is the lowest number in the entire league, it's hardly a surprise to see that none of St Pauli's players have reached double digits in goals scored.
That being said, Guilavogui has helped St Pauli avoid relegation with six goals to his name and as the team's top scorer, we can see the Guinea's forward doing well in the final game of the season.
