Vitoria Guimaraes are set to play Boavista in the Primeira Liga on Sunday, 6 October in a match that could have implications at both ends of the table.
Vitoria are currently sat in sixth place but a win on Sunday could see them move up to fourth depending on other results.
Boavista, meanwhile, are in 16th position and a loss here would see them go into the international break inside the relegation zone.
As part of our latest round of Primeira Liga betting tips, here is our Vitoria Guimaraes vs Boavista prediction.
Contents
- 1 Vitoria Guimaraes vs Boavista prediction: More misery for the visitors
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts are favourites
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Vitoria
- 4 Vitoria Guimaraes preview: What is their ceiling?
- 5 Boavista preview: Where are the goals going to come from?
- 6 Player to watch: Nelson Oliveira
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Boavista prediction: More misery for the visitors
Key Stats
- Boavista have only picked up two points from their last six matches.
- Vitoria Guimaraes have won six out of the seven matches they've played at home this season in all competitions.
- Boavista have failed to score in six of the eight matches they've played this season.
Correct score prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 Boavista
Vitoria Guimaraes have started the season well in both the league and Conference League so, particularly at home, so this will be one they're looking forward to. Boavista haven't scored a goal in five of their last six matches so it's a struggle to imagine them scoring on Sunday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts are favourites
- HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Considering how poor Boavista have been this season, they aren't as long as you might expect on Sunday afternoon. While Vitoria are the favourites, Ladbrokes have only given them a 69.2% chance of winning when the reality feels a lot higher than that. Boavista have been given a 14.3% chance of winning while there is a projected 23.1% chance of the match finishing level.
Check out our betting tips today page for more predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Vitoria
Vitoria Guimaraes have lost just one of their last nine matches against Boavista which should fill them with even more confidence ahead of this one. Last season, Vitoria won their home match 1-0 and drew 1-1 away.
Boavista's last victory over Vitoria Guimaraes was at the end of the 2022/23 season but they haven't won in Guimaraes in 23 years.
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/24
Guimaraes
Boavista
Portugal Primeira Liga 16/12/23
Boavista
Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga 07/04/23
Boavista
Guimaraes
Portugal League Cup 12/12/22
Boavista
Guimaraes
Portugal League Cup 28/11/22
Boavista
Guimaraes
Vitoria Guimaraes preview: What is their ceiling?
It is the well established norm in Portugal that Benfica, Porto and Sporting Lisbon will occupy the top three positions in May and it's very rare for teams to break into that. Braga have managed it a couple of times in recent years but Vitoria feel like the most likely candidates to do so this year. Beating teams like Boavista at home need to be a given if they are to succeed.
Predicted lineup: Varela (GK), Gaspar, Borevkovic, Ribeiro, Mendes, Handel, Silva, Santos, Mendes, Oliveira, Cesar
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25
L
SC Farense
2
Guimaraes
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25
W
Nacional
1
Guimaraes
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
W
Rio Ave
0
Guimaraes
3
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
L
Benfica
3
Guimaraes
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/04/25
W
Gil Vicente
0
Guimaraes
1
Boavista preview: Where are the goals going to come from?
Boavista have already proven this season that they are resolute enough at the back to battle well against relegation but if they are to beat the drop then they are going to need to find some goalscorers. Only Farense have scored fewer goals than them so far and that will need to change quickly.
Predicted lineup: Cesar (GK), Gomes, Ferreira, Onyemaechi, Dabo, Camara, Silva, Vukotic, Reisinho, Bozenik, Agra
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25
L
FC Porto
2
Boavista
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 05/05/25
W
AVS
1
Boavista
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
L
Sporting
5
Boavista
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25
W
SC Farense
0
Boavista
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25
L
Nacional
1
Boavista
0
Player to watch: Nelson Oliveira
What Vitoria perhaps lack at this moment in time is a regular goalscorer who can fire them into the top three. Their first-choice striker, Nelson Oliveira, has only scored twice all season in all competitions and at the age of 33 it's unlikely that he is suddenly going to become an elite finisher. However, a match against Boavista should provide him with enough opportunities to get on the scoresheet.