Bottom-of-the-table Derby County will be looking to make the most of their home advantage when they take on play-off hopefuls Blackburn Rovers on Saturday.
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Derby vs Blackburn prediction: Away win on the cards?
Key Stats
- Blackburn have won each of their last five league meetings with Derby, running out 4-2 winners in August's reverse league fixture.
- Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 65% of Derby's home games in the Championship.
- 59% of Blackburn's away games in the league this season have produced under 2.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: Derby 0-1 Blackburn
Whilst Derby play their best football at Pride Park they are still conceding an average of 0.94 goals per game in their own backyard and although Blackburn don't score a lot of goals on their travels (0.88 per game on average), we're backing the visitors who have outperformed their hosts in most departments this season to claim a 1-0 victory on Saturday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Nothing to separate the pair
- HOME: 9/5 (2.80)– 35.7%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 9/5 (2.80)– 35.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
There is nothing to separate these two sides according to the latest odds which have both teams as the expected winners with 35.7% but we make Blackburn the favourite to secure all three points.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Blackburn dominate
Saturday's guests have won each of their last five league meetings with Derby spanning back to 2020.
England Championship 09/08/24
Blackburn
Derby
France Super Cup 09/08/24
Blackburn
Derby
England Championship 15/03/22
Blackburn
Derby
England Championship 30/10/21
Derby
Blackburn
England Championship 16/04/21
Blackburn
Derby
Derby preview: Narrowly defeated at the Riverside
Struggling Derby County made the trip up north to face Middlesbrough at the Riverside Stadium last weekend where a solitary goal proved enough to decide the destination of all three points.
With the game looking like it was going to head for a bore draw, Middlesbrough's Finn Azaz found the back of the net with ten minutes left on the clock, much to the dismay of the travelling Rams' fans.
Defenders Curtis Nelson and Kane Wilson along with forward Dajaune Brown make up the list of injury concerns for the home side this weekend.
Predicted lineup: Widell Zetterstrom (GK), Forsyth, Elder, Nyambe, Langas, Harness, Adams, Armstrong, Barkhuizen, Jackson & Yates
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Stoke
0
Derby
0
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Hull
0
Derby
1
England Championship 21/04/25
W
West Brom
1
Derby
3
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Luton
1
Derby
0
England Championship 12/04/25
D
Portsmouth
2
Derby
2
Blackburn preview: Secured a dramatic point against the Canaries
Blackburn entertained Norwich at Ewood Park last time out for a match that turned out to be tight and tense throughout.
With the game heading for a draw, Norwich appeared to have pinched all three points when they scored in the 90th minute, only for Rovers' substitute Andreas Weimann to fire home an equaliser in the sixth minute of stoppage-time.
Blackburn substitute Emmanuel Dennis picked up two yellow cards during the draw with Norwich and will now miss the Derby game along with the injured Harry Pickering, Jack Vale, Danny Batth and Scott Wharton.
Predicted lineup: Pears (GK), Ribeiro, Hyam, Brittain, Carter, Forshaw, Travis, Cantwell, Dolan, Gueye & Kargbo
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Sheff Utd
1
Blackburn
1
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Watford
1
Blackburn
2
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Sunderland
0
Blackburn
1
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Millwall
1
Blackburn
4
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Luton
0
Blackburn
1
Player to watch – Andreas Weimann
Andreas Weimann has made as many starts in the Championship this season as he has substitute appearances but the 33-year-old has still managed to score seven goals for Blackburn Rovers.
Weimann, who joined the club in the summer, has provided some much-needed experience to the Rovers' frontline and currently top scores for Valerien Ismael's side.
Blackbrun's veteran forward saved the day against Norwich
We're backing Weimann, who used to play for Derby between 2015-2018, to haunt his former employers this weekend in what should prove to be a close game.